Tipps Atletico Goianiense Botafogo Serie A 04/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Botafogo RJ wins the match.

1. Atletico Goianiense has a poor home performance: they have not won any of their last five matches, scoring an average of only 0.6 goals per game and conceding 2 goals per game on average. This is an indication of their weak ability to defend their home turf and score goals against their opponents.
2. Botafogo RJ, despite playing away, has had a decent performance in their recent matches: they have won or drawn in 80% of cases, scoring an average of 1 goal per game and also conceding 1 goal per game. This demonstrates their ability to withstand pressure away from home and respond in terms of attack.
3. Probability statistics also favor a better outcome for Botafogo RJ: they have a 42.56% chance of winning the match, which is significantly higher than Atletico Goianiense’s win probability (25.13%). Furthermore, the probability of a draw or Botafogo RJ winning the match is high at 74.87%, indicating a strong likelihood that the team will not lose the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Analysis of average score: In their last 5 home matches, Atletico Goianiense averages 0.6 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Similarly, Botafogo RJ away from home averages 1 goal scored and 1 goal conceded per match. These statistics suggest that the total goals in the match would likely be under 2.5 goals.

2. Recent match history: Atletico Goianiense’s recent home matches have all had fewer than 2.5 goals (except for one match with exactly 3 goals). Botafogo RJ’s away matches have mostly had fewer than 2.5 goals, with two matches having exactly 3 goals. This indicates a trend towards low-scoring matches between these two teams.

3. Bookmakers’ probabilities: Bookmakers give a higher probability of success (exact probability not specified) to “under 2.5 goals in the match” compared to “over 2.5 goals in the match,” which has a 40% chance of success. These organizations have a lot of experience and expertise in predicting match scores, so it would be logical to follow their predictions.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Atletico Goianiense has shown a lack of offensive power in their recent home matches, averaging only 0.6 goals per game. This indicates that the team may struggle to score in this match.

2. Botafogo RJ has a modest defensive performance away from home, conceding an average of 1 goal per game. This relatively low average for an away team suggests that they could be able to limit Atletico Goianiense’s scoring opportunities.

3. The recent home matches of Atletico Goianiense and away matches of Botafogo RJ have seen a tendency towards low scores, especially from Atletico Goianiense who have not won their last 5 matches. Therefore, it is likely that one of the two sides may fail to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Atletico Goianiense 1-2 Botafogo RJ.

1. Over the last five home matches of Atletico Goianiense, it appears that the team hasn’t won any match, but managed to score one goal per match on average. This lends credibility to the prediction of a goal from the team in the upcoming match.

2. Botafogo RJ has shown a balanced offensive and defensive performance in their last five away matches, scoring and conceding one goal per match on average. Additionally, they have won 40% of these matches and drawn in 40% of cases, which bodes well for the prediction of a victory with two goals scored.

3. Lastly, the probability analysis strengthens the prediction. Botafogo RJ has a win probability of 42.56%. Moreover, the probability of the scenario where the total goals in the match would be over 1.5 is 65.64%. These statistical data support the forecast of a 1-2 scoreline in favor of Botafogo RJ.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Atletico Goianiense has not won any of their last 5 home matches and has conceded more goals than they have scored. Victory has been elusive for them, reflected in their low 25.13% probability of winning this match.

On the other hand, Botafogo RJ has shown a decent away performance, with a 40% win rate and an equal number of goals scored and conceded – a better attacking potential compared to Atletico Goianiense, at 36%.

The match could result in a draw, with a 32.31% probability. However, Botafogo RJ has a higher probability of winning at 42.56%.

When it comes to goals, more than 1.5 goals in the match is very likely at 65.64% probability. However, the probabilities suggest that the total number of goals could stay under 3.5, with a probability of 78.46%.

Overall, the stats slightly favor Botafogo RJ, but the probability of a draw is significant. A cautious bet would be to go for ‘Botafogo RJ to win or draw’ with a 74.87% success probability at odds of 1.30. Alternatively, a riskier but more profitable option is to bet on over 2.5 goals in the match, with a 40% probability and odds of 2.20.

The potential number of goals

Atletico Goianiense has not won any of their last 5 home matches, scoring only 4 goals. Their defensive capability at home is weaker, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. On the other hand, Botafogo RJ has shown better performance away, winning two out of five matches and scoring an average of one goal per match. Their defensive capability is balanced, also conceding one goal per match.

The odds indicate that Botafogo RJ has a 42.56% chance of winning the match, while Atletico Goianiense has only a 25.13% chance of winning. There is also a 32.31% chance of a draw.

Regarding goals, the match could see less than 1.5 goals, with odds of 2.95. However, there is a 65.64% probability for more than 1.5 goals. Above 2.5 goals, the probability drops to 40%.

In conclusion, based on the data, Botafogo RJ seems to have a slight advantage despite playing away. However, considering the low number of goals scored by both teams recently and their defenses, it is prudent to expect a low-scoring match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, it seems that Botafogo RJ holds a certain advantage in this match despite playing away from home. Furthermore, with Atletico Goianiense’s poor performance at home and the statistics favoring Botafogo RJ, it is suggested to bet on a win for this team or a draw. However, the trend of low-scoring matches for both teams adds weight to a prediction of under 2.5 goals.

The value in the bet lies in the draw, given the high percentage of draws in both teams’ previous encounters. Predictions also suggest an exact score of 1-2 in favor of Botafogo RJ. Ultimately, while considering all these analyses, it remains that the bettor must take into account the associated risk and their own judgment to ultimately make an informed bet.