Tipps Atletico Nacional America de Cali Primera A 22/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Atletico Nacional wins the match.

1. Atletico Nacional has a fairly strong home performance, with an 80% probability of winning or drawing in their last 5 matches, favoring a draw or Atletico Nacional’s victory.
2. America de Cali has only a 60% probability of not losing away in their last 5 matches, suggesting that Atletico Nacional is more likely to win or draw.
3. Atletico Nacional’s offensive potential at home is significantly higher than America de Cali’s away from home (86% vs. 29%), meaning that Atletico Nacional has a greater probability of scoring goals and therefore winning or drawing.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Both teams have relatively low conceded goal rates, with Atletico Nacional conceding an average of 0.8 goals per home match and America de Cali also conceding an average of 0.8 goals per away match. This indicates strong defense from both teams, which could lead to a low total number of goals.

2. America de Cali has a weak offensive potential away, scoring only 4 goals in their last 5 matches. With such a lack of goal-scoring power, it is less likely that there will be more than 2.5 goals in the match.

3. Atletico Nacional’s recent home matches have mostly produced less than 2.5 goals per game (3 out of 5), and America de Cali’s recent away matches have also mostly produced less than 2.5 goals per game (4 out of 5). This suggests that their past encounters have been relatively low-scoring, and it is likely to be the same for their upcoming match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Goals History: Atletico Nacional has scored 8 goals and America de Cali has scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches. This indicates that they both have a fairly strong offensive capability that could be showcased in the upcoming match.

2. Defensive Performance: Atletico Nacional and America de Cali have both conceded goals in their last 5 matches (10 goals for Atletico Nacional, 5 for America de Cali). This suggests a certain weakness in their defense that could lead to goals being scored by both teams in the match.

3. Probability Statistics: Based on the data, there is a 52.41% probability that both teams will score. This, combined with the past offensive and defensive performances of both teams, strongly suggests that it is likely that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Atletico Nacional 2-1 America de Cali.

1. At home, Atletico Nacional has a significant offensive capacity with an average of 2.4 goals per match, which corresponds to the number of goals offered in the forecast.
2. Statistics also show a trend of Atletico Nacional conceding at least one goal in home matches with an average of 0.8 goals conceded per match. America de Cali’s statistics also confirm this result with an average of 0.8 goals scored per match away.
3. Atletico Nacional has a 33.69% probability of winning the home match, and statistics also suggest that both teams score in 52.41% of matches. Therefore, a 2-1 score in favor of Atletico Nacional seems likely.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Atletico Nacional is in great form at home with a win or draw in 80% of matches. Additionally, they have been scoring an average of 2.4 goals per home game, showcasing their offensive potential. However, they have also conceded more goals (10) than they have scored (8) in their last 5 matches.

On the other hand, America de Cali wins or draws in 60% of their away matches. They have an average of scoring and conceding 0.8 goals per away game. Nevertheless, they have scored fewer goals (4) and conceded more (5) in their last 5 away matches.

The odds suggest a higher probability of a draw (37.43%). However, the combined probability for a draw or an Atletico Nacional win is relatively high at 71.12%.

Regarding goals, the statistics imply a higher probability (67.38%) of over 1.5 goals in the match. Furthermore, there is a strong probability (86.63%) for under 3.5 goals in the match.

Lastly, betting on both teams to score could be a viable option given the 52.41% probability.

Analyzing the teams’ previous encounters may lead to a more accurate prediction. Notably, in Atletico’s recent home games, there have been over 1.5 goals in each match. Conversely, in America de Cali’s away matches, there have been fewer than 2.5 goals in each case, supporting a bet for under 2.5 goals in the match.

Based on this information, a tight and competitive final with a few goals is expected.

The potential number of goals

Atletico Nacional, at home, has a mixed form with only 40% of victories and as many draws. They have scored 8 goals, averaging 2.4 per match, and conceded 10. Their offensive potential is high (86%) but their defense is less solid (29%). Previous matches confirm this tendency.

On the other hand, America de Cali, away, has only triumphed in 40% of cases. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5, averaging 0.8 goals scored and conceded per match. Their offensive and defensive potential is moderate (29%).

The predefined probabilities are close, with a slight preference for a draw (37.43%) or a victory for Atletico Nacional (33.69%). Over 1.5 goals in the match are very likely, with a probability of 67.38%.

The likelihood of both teams scoring is real at 52.41%. Considering previous performances, a match with less than 3.5 goals seems most probable (86.63%).

In summary, Atletico Nacional has a better attack but a vulnerable defense. America de Cali struggles to score but has a solid defense. A tight match with few goals is therefore expected.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, it seems that the match between Atletico Nacional and America de Cali will be intense but likely low-scoring. In summary of the predictions, Atletico Nacional is expected to win or draw, with less than 2.5 total goals scored. An interesting bet could be a draw, given the probability of 37.43%. The exact predicted score is 2-1 in favor of Atletico Nacional.

Both teams have shown relatively strong attacking and defensive capabilities in their previous matches, despite some vulnerabilities, leaving the possibility for both teams to score. Considering their current form and statistics, bettors could expect a tight and competitive match.

It is important to keep in mind that while statistics and probabilities can provide an indication of the likely outcome of a match, football is an unpredictable sport and anything can happen on the field. Therefore, sports betting should always be done responsibly taking these factors into account.