Tipps Aucas Mushuc Runa SC Liga Pro 15/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Aucas win the match

1. Match history: Aucas has an improved home performance, winning 20% of the time and drawing 40% of the time, indicating a strong possibility of a draw or an Aucas win.
2. Superior defensive potential: Aucas has a 64% defensive potential at home, while Mushuc Runa SC has a 57% offensive potential away, which could make it difficult for Mushuc Runa SC to score against Aucas.
3. Success probability: The success probability of a draw or an Aucas win is 73.8%, which is significantly higher than the success probability of Mushuc Runa SC (26.2%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Aucas team, in their last 5 home matches, has shown a poor offensive performance by averaging only 0 goals per game. This lack of offensive efficiency is a significant indicator towards a potentially low-scoring match.

2. Statistics also show that Mushuc Runa SC, in their last 5 away matches, scores an average of 1.6 goals per game and in total, they have scored 7 goals. When combined with Aucas’ average of 0 goals conceded, there is a high probability that the total goals in the match will be under 2.5.

3. By analyzing the probabilities and specific odds for the total number of goals in the match, there is a higher chance (82.89%) that there will be fewer than 3.5 goals in the match, which also supports the prediction of under 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The match history shows a clear trend of both teams scoring in their matches. In Aucas’ last 5 home matches, the team scored in 3 out of 5 games. As for Mushuc Runa SC, the team scored in 4 out of their last 5 away matches.

2. The offensive and defensive data of both teams also support this prediction. Aucas, despite a weak offensive performance at home, has a relatively weak defense, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. On the other hand, Mushuc Runa SC has a higher offensive potential, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match and an average defense conceding 1.4 goals.

3. The calculated probabilities predict that both teams will score with a probability of 57.22%. This is a rather high rate that reinforces the prediction that both teams will score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match: 1.85

Bet on the exact result

Aucas 1-1 Mushuc Runa SC

1. Recent statistics show a trend towards a draw for both teams. Aucas has drawn in 40% of their last home matches and Mushuc Runa SC has done the same in 40% of their last away matches.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of each team has also been considered. Aucas has a weak offensive potential at home with an average of 0 goals per match, but a stronger defense with a defensive potential of 64%. In contrast, Mushuc Runa SC has an offensive potential away of 57% with an average of 1.6 goals per match, and an average defense with a potential of 50%.

3. The probabilities indicate that the match is more likely to end with less than 3.5 goals (82.89% probability) and both teams scoring (57.22% probability). These indicators correspond to a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Aucas appears to show weakness at home, having only won 20% of their last 5 matches. They have a balanced record with 6 goals scored and 6 goals conceded. In their last 5 matches, they have an offensive potential of 0% and a defensive potential of 64%.

Mushuc Runa SC shows some strength away from home, with a 40% win rate and 40% draws. They have scored 7 goals and conceded the same in their last 5 matches. Their offensive potential is 57% and defensive potential is 50%.

Regarding the match outcome, Aucas seems more likely to win with an estimated success probability of 44.39%, compared to 26.2% for Mushuc Runa SC.

The statistics also suggest a high probability of less than 3.5 goals in the match, with a success probability of 82.89%. Therefore, betting on “Under 3.5 goals in the match” seems like a reasonable option.

Furthermore, the history of both teams suggests a 57.22% chance of both teams scoring.

Taking these factors into account, a close match could be expected with a slight probability of victory for Aucas and less than 3.5 goals scored in the match.

The potential number of goals

Aucas has only won 20% of their last home matches and drawn 40% of them. Specifically, they seem to lack some offensive performance, scoring only 6 goals in these games.
On the other hand, Mushuc Runa SC has a fairly balanced performance away from home. They have won 40% of their matches, drawn 40%, and scored a total of 7 goals.
In terms of potential, Aucas has not shined offensively with 0% offensive potential but has shown a fairly solid defense with 64%.
On the flip side, Mushuc Runa SC has 57% offensive potential and a 50% defense, which seems more balanced.
Looking at the probabilities, Aucas have a slight chance of winning the match with a 44.39% probability at odds of 2.10. However, a draw is also highly likely at 29.41%.
Nevertheless, it is likely that there will be fewer than 3.5 goals in the match with an 82.89% probability, indicating that both teams might be a bit defensive in this game.
Based on these data, I predict a fairly close match, possibly a draw, with fewer than 3.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the analyses and statistics presented, the upcoming match between Aucas and Mushuc Runa SC in the Liga Pro is expected to be a close one, potentially resulting in a win for Aucas or a draw. The indicators also suggest a match with fewer than 3.5 goals, which could offer value for bettors in terms of over/under bets.

It is also likely that both teams will score during the match, with the probability estimated at 57.22%. The most probable exact score, taking all these factors into account, would be 1-1.

It is important to remember that while these statistical analyses provide guidance, the final outcome of a football match can always bring surprises. Sports betting should always be done with strict and responsible risk management.