Tipps Bahia Internacional Serie A 28/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Bahia BA wins the match

1. Home/Away Performance: Bahia BA has a strong home performance, with a win rate of 60%, while Internacional RS has poor away performance, with no wins in their last 5 matches.

2. Offensive/Defensive Potential: Bahia BA has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 43% at home, significantly better than Internacional RS, which has an offensive potential of 21% and defensive potential of 43% away.

3. Betting Success Probability: The estimated probability of Bahia BA winning the match based on the odds is 48.69%, which is higher than for a draw (29.32%) or an Internacional RS win (21.99%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics from the previous match: Bahia BA and Internacional RS have relatively low goal averages for their recent home and away games respectively (Bahia BA with an average of 1.2 goals at home and Internacional RS with an average of 0.6 goals away), indicating that their offenses are not very impressive.

2. The defensive potential of both teams: Both have a defensive potential of 43%. This suggests that they are able to keep their nets almost half of the time, thus limiting scoring opportunities for the opposing team.

3. The average score of Bahia BA’s home matches and Internacional RS’s away matches: Taking these scores into account, the average goals for a match between these two teams is less than 2.5 during the observed period.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Bahia BA has shown a strong offensive performance in their recent home matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game. Furthermore, they have managed to score in 4 of their last 5 home games, suggesting a high likelihood that they will be able to score in the match against Internacional RS.
2. Internacional RS has failed to win a single game in their last 5 away matches, but they have managed to score in 3 of those games. Despite their lack of away victories, they have shown that they can score on the road.
3. The defensive potential of each team is at a medium level, with Bahia BA conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game at home and Internacional RS also conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game away. This implies some vulnerability in both defenses, increasing the likelihood that both teams may score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Internacional RS wins the match – 1.83

Bet on the exact result

Bahia BA 1-1 Internacional RS

1. Draw Stats: Based on the past performances of both teams, Bahia BA has drawn 40% of the time in their last 5 home matches, while Internacional RS has also drawn 60% of the time in their last 5 away matches. These data suggest a strong possibility of a draw.

2. Average Goals per Match: Analyzing the average goals per match for both teams, we see that Bahia BA scores an average of 1.2 goals per match at home and also concedes 1.2 goals. On the other hand, Internacional RS scores an average of 0.6 goals per match and concedes 1.2 away from home. These numbers suggest a potential scoreline of 1-1.

3. Market Probabilities: Market predictions attribute a 78.01% probability to a draw or a win for Bahia BA. The option for a match with under 2.5 goals has odds of 1.75 and a success probability of 48.17% for over 2.5 goals. These indications support a prediction of a tight scoreline. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 51.31%, further reinforcing the 1-1 prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bahia BA, at home, has a solid record with 60% wins and 40% draws. The team has scored 9 goals but also conceded 10 goals. They have an average of 1.2 goals scored and conceded per match, indicating a balanced offense and defense (potential of 43%).

On the other hand, Internacional RS struggles away, with no wins in their last 5 matches and 60% draws. The team has only scored 3 goals and conceded 4 goals. With an average of 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded, their offensive potential is low at 21%, while they also defend at 43%.

Based on recent performances, Bahia BA has a 48.69% chance of winning the match. The probability of a draw is 29.32% and Internacional RS has only a 21.99% chance of winning.

There is a 69.63% chance that over 1.5 goals will be scored during the match. The chances of both teams scoring are 51.31%, indicating a potentially close competition.

Note: In their recent home matches, Bahia BA won 4 – 1 against Cruzeiro MG. While away, Internacional RS has recorded three consecutive draws with the same score of 1 – 1.

The potential number of goals

Bahia BA has a good home form, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 9 goals, averaging 1.8 goals per match. However, they have also conceded 10 goals, raising concerns about their defense.

Internacional RS has no away wins in their last 5 matches. Only able to score 3 goals, their attack seems weak. With an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match, their defense is not very solid either.

Bahia BA’s offensive efficiency is 43%, while Internacional RS’s is only 21%. In terms of defense, both teams have an identical potential of 43%.

The probability of Bahia BA winning is 48.69% with odds of 2.00, while Internacional RS’s chance of winning is only 21.99% with odds of 3.75. A draw has a probability of 29.32% with odds of 3.40.

Now let’s look at the goal probabilities. There is a 69.63% probability of there being over 1.5 goals in the match, with odds of 1.36. The chances of both teams scoring are 51.31% with odds of 1.87, while the chances of neither team scoring are almost equal at 48.69% with odds of 1.90.

Final analysis: With a better home performance and superior offensive potential, Bahia BA seems to be the favorite. However, their defensive issues could give Internacional RS an opportunity to score. I would recommend a bet on ‘over 1.5 goals in the match’.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, although Bahia BA appears to be the favorite in the match due to better home performance and superior offensive efficiency, the identical defensive potential of both teams suggests a tight competition where both teams could score. With respect to statistics and recent performances, the most likely bet would be ‘over 1.5 goals in the match’ and a final score of 1-1. However, the uncertain and unpredictable nature of sports betting must always be considered. So, even with all these analyses, it is recommended to bet responsibly.