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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Criciuma Atletico-MG
Tipps Criciuma Atletico-MG Serie A 04/08/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
“Atletico MG wins the match”
1. Atletico MG has a higher offensive potential (50% compared to 43% for Criciuma) and a higher defensive potential (43% compared to 50% for Criciuma). This suggests that Atletico MG has a better ability to score goals and prevent them.
2. Atletico MG’s win rate in their last 5 away games is 40%, which is equal to Criciuma’s home record. However, factoring in draws occurring 20% of the time for Atletico MG away, it means Atletico MG only loses 40% of their matches, which is lower than Criciuma’s home loss rate.
3. Considering the probability of success, Atletico MG has a 45.35% chance of winning, significantly higher than Criciuma’s win probability (25%) and the draw probability (29.65%). This favoritism towards the “Atletico MG wins” prediction is also reflected in the “draw or Atletico MG wins” option which has a high success probability of 75%.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match
1. The statistics of both teams show that they each score on average between 1.2 and 1.4 goals per match, which is relatively low. Therefore, the addition of these averages does not exceed 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency towards less than 2.5 goals in the match.
2. The home match history of Criciuma and the away match history of Atletico MG show a number of goals below 2.5 for the majority of matches.
3. The success probabilities proposed for the bet of under 2.5 goals in the match are higher than those for over 2.5 goals. Therefore, the hypothesis of under 2.5 goals is more likely based on the available data.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. The statistics of the last 5 matches of each team show a significant offensive potential for both teams: Criciuma has scored at least one goal in each of its last 5 home matches; likewise, Atletico MG has scored a goal in 80% of its last 5 away matches.
2. The defenses of both teams have shown signs of weakness, with an average of 1.4 goals conceded per match for Criciuma at home and 1.2 for Atletico MG away. Both teams regularly concede goals to their opponents.
3. The statistical probability of both teams scoring is 55.81% according to the data, which is above average and suggests that it is a very likely scenario for this match.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Over 2.5 goals in the match.
1. The statistics of both teams show a strong tendency to score and concede goals. Criciuma has an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match, while Atletico MG has an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded, suggesting a potentially high-scoring match.
2. Analysis of the last five matches of each team shows that Criciuma has scored and conceded at least once in each of their home matches, while Atletico MG has done the same in 4 of their last 5 away matches. These trends indicate a high probability of a match with over 2.5 goals.
3. The bet ‘Over 2.5 goals in the match’ has odds of 2.15, higher than most other possible bets for this match, despite a success probability of 47.09%, making it a ‘value bet’, i.e. a bet with positive expected value.
Bet on the exact result
Criciuma 1-2 Atletico MG
1. Statistical analysis of offensive and defensive potential indicates that Criciuma and Atletico MG are fairly evenly matched in terms of performance. Criciuma has a home goal scoring rate of 1.2 per match, while Atletico MG has an away goal scoring rate of 1.4 per match. This suggests that Atletico MG is slightly more effective in attack and may score more goals than Criciuma.
2. The win rates for both teams are similar, but Atletico MG has a slight advantage with a 45.35% probability of winning according to the betting odds. It’s important to note that this doesn’t guarantee a win, but indicates that Atletico MG is the favorite team in this match.
3. Recent data from Criciuma’s home matches and Atletico MG’s away matches show a trend towards tight scorelines. The majority of Criciuma’s home matches have ended in 1-1 or 1-0 results, while Atletico MG’s away matches have generally seen more than 2 goals scored. This suggests a likely exact score prediction of 1-2 in favor of Atletico MG.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Criciuma has won 40% of its home matches and scored 6 goals. Atletico MG has the same away win rate, but scored one more goal. However, both teams have conceded more goals than they have scored.
Criciuma has a home offensive potential of 43%, slightly below Atletico MG at 50%. Criciuma’s defensive potential exceeds Atletico MG’s, 50% to 43%.
The probability of an Atletico MG win is highest at 45.35%, followed by a draw at 29.65%. Criciuma at home has the lowest probability of winning at 25%.
The chances of both teams scoring are 55.81%. Additionally, there is a high probability of fewer than 3.5 goals in the match at 91.86%.
Based on these figures, a reliable prediction would be the bet ‘Draw or Atletico MG to win’, with a success probability of 75%, or to favor a match with under 3.5 goals.
Statistically, Atletico MG seems to have a slight edge for this match, despite having a similar win rate to Criciuma in terms of victories.
The potential number of goals
Criciuma and Atletico MG have both shown a similar performance level recently, each winning 40% of their last 5 matches. However, Atletico MG is slightly stronger away from home with a 20% draw rate, while Criciuma has not drawn any matches at home.
Criciuma has scored 6 goals and conceded 7 goals at home, whereas Atletico MG has scored 7 goals and conceded 8 away from home. These statistics demonstrate a slight offensive edge for Atletico MG and a defensive weakness for both teams.
In terms of goal probabilities, there is a high likelihood of over 1.5 goals in the match at 73.84%. However, the probability of over 2.5 goals is less certain at 47.09%.
The most likely outcome for this match is an Atletico MG win or a draw, with a probability of 75%. Looking at their recent performances, Atletico MG’s ability to score away from home against various opponents is evident.
In conclusion, this match presents a potential betting opportunity with an Atletico MG win or draw, and likely over 1.5 total goals.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, the analysis of statistics and probabilities for this match between Criciuma and Atletico MG seems to show a slight superiority for Atletico MG, although both teams are very close in terms of performance. Atlético MG’s offensive ability combined with a solid defense, as well as their recent away record, position them as the favorites for the match. However, given Criciuma’s offensive potential, it is likely that both teams will score. Therefore, interesting bets to consider would be “Atletico MG to win the match” and “both teams to score – Yes”. Furthermore, considering the low average number of goals per match for both teams, a bet on “under 2.5 goals” in the match also seems sensible. Finally, keeping in mind the risk involved, a bet on “over 2.5 goals in the match” offers tempting odds and can be considered as a value bet. In terms of the exact score, a result of 1-2 in favor of Atletico MG seems to be a plausible possibility.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Criciuma against Atletico-MG on 04/08/2024
1. Atletico MG has a higher offensive potential (50% compared to 43% for Criciuma) and a higher defensive potential (43% compared to 50% for Criciuma). This suggests that Atletico MG has a better ability to score goals and prevent them.
2. Atletico MG’s win rate in their last 5 away games is 40%, which is equal to Criciuma’s home record. However, factoring in draws occurring 20% of the time for Atletico MG away, it means Atletico MG only loses 40% of their matches, which is lower than Criciuma’s home loss rate.
3. Considering the probability of success, Atletico MG has a 45.35% chance of winning, significantly higher than Criciuma’s win probability (25%) and the draw probability (29.65%). This favoritism towards the “Atletico MG wins” prediction is also reflected in the “draw or Atletico MG wins” option which has a high success probability of 75%.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Criciuma vs Atletico-MG match!
To not miss anything from the Criciuma vs Atletico-MG match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 04/08/2024 in the Serie A live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Criciuma vs Atletico-MG
Lineups Criciuma
Lineups Atletico-MG
Match Highlights Criciuma vs Atletico-MG on 04/08/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Criciuma vs Atletico-MG match on 04/08/2024 at Estádio Heriberto Hülse stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Criciuma and Atletico-MG
All statistics for the match between Criciuma and Atletico-MG will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Criciuma against Atletico-MG!
Form state of Criciuma in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Criciuma has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Criciuma has a form rating of %.
Form state of Atletico-MG in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Atletico-MG has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Atletico-MG has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Criciuma against Atletico-MG!
Average goals scored by Criciuma in the current season.
Goals scored by Criciuma in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Criciuma
Criciuma has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Criciuma in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Criciuma
Criciuma has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Atletico-MG in the current season
Goals scored by Atletico-MG in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Atletico-MG in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Criciuma and Atletico-MG, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Criciuma vs Atletico-MG: Probabilities for the outcome
1. The statistics of both teams show that they each score on average between 1.2 and 1.4 goals per match, which is relatively low. Therefore, the addition of these averages does not exceed 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency towards less than 2.5 goals in the match.
2. The home match history of Criciuma and the away match history of Atletico MG show a number of goals below 2.5 for the majority of matches.
3. The success probabilities proposed for the bet of under 2.5 goals in the match are higher than those for over 2.5 goals. Therefore, the hypothesis of under 2.5 goals is more likely based on the available data.
Forecast results from winflix for Criciuma and Atletico-MG!
The last 5 winning predictions für Criciuma
The last 5 winning predictions für Atletico-MG
How do I find the best forecast for Criciuma Atletico-MG?
Finding a forecast for the Criciuma Atletico-MG match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Criciuma Atletico-MG on 04/08/2024 in Estádio Heriberto Hülse are the team's past performance in the Serie A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Criciuma at home and Atletico-MG away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 04/08/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Criciuma and Atletico-MG on 04/08/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Serie A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciuma could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Criciuma and Atletico-MG, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Criciuma and the away win rate of Atletico-MG, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 04/08/2024!
The individual performances of players from Criciuma and Atletico-MG can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 04/08/2024 at Estádio Heriberto Hülse.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Criciuma and Atletico-MG, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Criciuma or Atletico-MG on 04/08/2024.
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