Tipps Deportes Tolima Deportivo Pasto Primera A 24/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Deportes Tolima wins the match.

1. Deportes Tolima has shown good results at home, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. It is therefore more likely that they will be able to win or draw.

2. Deportivo Pasto has a weaker away performance, with only a 40% win rate on the road, reducing their chances of victory against Deportes Tolima on their turf.

3. The total probability of Deportes Tolima winning or a draw is 85.71%, which is significantly higher than their chance of losing the match. This is a statistical reinforcement of the prediction “Draw or Deportes Tolima wins the match”.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Both teams have a high offensive potential: Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Pasto score an average of 1.8 goals per match, which promises a goal-rich encounter.

2. The recent performances of both teams indicate high-scoring matches: In their last 5 home matches, Deportes Tolima have scored 9 goals and conceded 10. Similarly, Deportivo Pasto, when playing away, has a record of 9 goals scored and 9 conceded in their last 5 games.

3. Probability statistics support the hypothesis of a match with over 2.5 goals: A success probability of 47.62% has been assigned to this scenario, a significant rate considering the offensive performances of both teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Deportes Tolima’s home defensive statistics are very strong, conceding only 1 goal on average per match, which decreases the chances of Deportivo Pasto scoring.
2. Deportivo Pasto, when playing away, scores an average of 1.8 goals per match but also concedes an average of 1.2 goals per match, indicating a tendency to take risks and leave opportunities for the opposing team.
3. The probability of both teams not scoring is estimated at 59.26%, which is higher than the probability of both teams scoring (40.74%). This suggests that, based on the probabilities, it is slightly more likely that both teams will not find the net.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Deportivo Pasto wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Deportes Tolima 2-1 Deportivo Pasto

1. Match History: Deportes Tolima has shown a strong performance at home in their last 5 matches with a 60% win rate, consistently scoring (9 goals in total). Furthermore, they have won their last two home matches with a score of 2-1 – which aligns with our prediction.

2. Deportivo Pasto’s Offensive Potential: Despite playing away, Deportivo Pasto has a strong offensive potential with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match. Therefore, they are likely to score a goal against Deportes Tolima, as per our prediction.

3. Match Result Probabilities: The probabilities also suggest that Deportes Tolima is the favorite to win the match with a success probability of 58.2%. Additionally, there is a high likelihood (73.02%) of more than 1.5 goals being scored in the match, in line with the prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Both Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Pasto are showing decent form. At home, Tolima has a 60% win rate, but their defense has weaknesses, conceding 10 goals. However, with an offensive potential of 64%, they have a good scoring instinct.

Deportivo Pasto, although less victorious at 40%, has managed to draw 40% of the time. Their offensive potential equals that of Tolima at 64%, but their defensive potential is slightly higher at 43%.

Predictions favor Deportes Tolima with a 58.2% chance of winning against 14.29% for Deportivo Pasto. The likelihood of a draw is estimated at 27.51%.

The safest option seems to be a draw or a Tolima win with a success probability of 85.71%.

Goals could be on the cards with a 73.02% probability of more than 1.5 goals in the match. However, there is an 81.48% chance of fewer than 3.5 goals, suggesting a potentially tight game.

Both teams are likely to score, with a 40.74% probability. However, the probability of both teams not scoring is slightly higher at 59.26%.

Prediction: Draw or Deportes Tolima win.

The potential number of goals

Let’s analyze the match between Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Pasto. First, looking at the last 5 home matches of Deportes Tolima, they win 60% of the time, scoring 9 goals and conceding 10. On average, Deportes Tolima has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 36%.

On the other hand, Deportivo Pasto, in their last 5 away matches, has a 40% win rate and a 40% draw rate, having scored and conceded 9 goals each. They have a similar offensive potential of 64% and a slightly higher defensive potential of 43%.

In terms of result probabilities, Deportes Tolima has a winning probability of 58.2%, the draw has a chance of 27.51%, and Deportivo Pasto has a winning probability of 14.29%.

Regarding goals, it is more likely to have over 2.5 goals in the match with a probability of 47.62%. However, the option of fewer than 3.5 goals in the match has a high probability of 81.48%.

In summary, Deportes Tolima seems to be in better form and a match with fewer than 3.5 goals is highly probable. This information is crucial for bettors.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistical analysis identifies Deportes Tolima as the favorite for this match, with a higher probability of victory or a draw. Both teams showing sustained offensive capabilities, bettors could consider an Over 2.5 option for this match as a potentially profitable choice. The possibility of both teams not scoring seems slightly higher, due to Deportes Tolima’s strong home defense.

However, an interesting value bet would be to bet on “Draw or Deportivo Pasto to win the match”, with statistics supporting Deportivo Pasto’s strong away performances.

Regarding the exact score, the most likely outcome appears to be 2-1 in favor of Deportes Tolima, reflecting the teams’ recent performances.

Lastly, it’s important to remember that sports betting always carries risks despite the available information and statistics. Bettors should always gamble responsibly and carefully consider all relevant variables and information before placing a bet on a sports event.