Tipps Fenerbahce FC Lugano UEFA Champions League 30/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Fenerbahce wins the match.

1. Home Record: In their last 5 home matches, Fenerbahce has a significantly favorable record with a win rate of 80% and has shown to be rather offensive by scoring 13 goals.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential Comparison: Fenerbahce demonstrates an offensive potential of 79% with an average of 2.2 goals scored per match compared to 2.6 for Lugano, and a defensive potential of 43% by conceding 1.2 goals per match compared to 1.6 for Lugano, indicating a certain superiority of Fenerbahce in terms of defense.

3. Recent Performance: Fenerbahce has won the majority of their recent home matches, notably against reputable teams like Besiktas or Kayserispor, which speaks to their current form and their ability to lead and win important matches.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. Effective attack: Over the last 5 matches, Fenerbahce has an average of 2.2 goals per home match and Lugano has an average of 2.6 goals per away match. This indicates a high potential for offensive exchanges.

2. Vulnerable defenses: Fenerbahce and Lugano have conceded an average of 1.2 and 1.6 goals per match respectively in their last 5 matches. This suggests that defenses are likely to be breached, increasing the chances of a high-scoring match.

3. Head-to-head history: By analyzing the recent matches of Fenerbahce at home and Lugano away, they have generally been involved in high-scoring matches. For example, the Fenerbahce 6 – 0 İstanbulspor match or the Bellinzona 1 – 5 Lugano match indicate a potential for over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Previous statistics demonstrate a strong offensive performance from both sides. Fenerbahce averages 2.2 goals per home match, while Lugano averages 2.6 goals per away match. These high goal-scoring statistics suggest that both teams have good chances of scoring in this match.

2. In their last 5 matches, Fenerbahce and Lugano have conceded an average of 1.2 and 1.6 goals per match, respectively. These data reveal some defensive weaknesses, increasing the probability of both teams scoring during the match.

3. Looking at past matches, particularly Lugano’s away games, they have managed to score in 80% of their matches. Likewise, Fenerbahce has scored in all but one of their home matches (i.e., 80% of their home matches). These past performances suggest that both teams have consistently found the back of the net in their previous encounters, further supporting the prediction that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 1.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Fenerbahce 2-2 Lugano

1. Based on previous matches, Fenerbahce has a strong home performance with significant attacking capabilities while Lugano also has a good away record. This suggests there could be a number of goals in this match from both teams, justifying a high-scoring prediction like 2-2.
2. Both teams have also shown a tendency to concede goals in their previous matches, particularly Fenerbahce who have conceded 14 goals in their last 5 home matches. This, combined with Lugano also conceding goals in their outings, suggests potential for goals from both sides.
3. Detailed offensive and defensive statistics also point towards a high-scoring match. Fenerbahce averages 2.6 goals per home match while Lugano averages 2.2 goals away. Taking into account their average defensive performances as well, a 2-2 result seems like a plausible prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Fenerbahce has been impressive at home with an 80% win rate in the last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals. However, they have conceded 14 goals.

Lugano has a strong away performance: 60% win rate, 9 goals scored, but they have also conceded 9 goals.

Fenerbahce has less defensive potential (43%) than Lugano (57%). On the other hand, Fenerbahce (79%) has more offensive potential than Lugano (93%).

Analysis of previous scores: Fenerbahce lost 1-0 to Hajduk Split, but showed better results at home with a 6-0 victory against İstanbulspor. Lugano scored 5 goals against Bellinzona away and won against Young Boys and Sion.

Noteworthy point: the probability for fewer than 3.5 and fewer than 4.5 goals is 100%. Both teams not scoring also has a 100% probability.

The balance is delicate. Fenerbahce has the edge in offensive potential, while Lugano is stronger defensively. However, the limited number of goals could favor Lugano, who concedes fewer goals.

The potential number of goals

Fenerbahce shows a strong home performance, with an 80% win rate. They often score, with 13 goals in 5 matches. However, their defense has been leaky, conceding 14 goals.

As for Lugano, their away performance remains solid with a 60% win rate. They also have a strong offense with 9 goals scored and a solid defense conceding 9 goals as well.

Fenerbahce’s offensive potential is estimated at 79%, confirming their attacking nature. However, their defense only shows a 43% potential, which is low.

On the other hand, Lugano plays a more balanced game with an offensive potential of 93% and a defensive potential of 57%.

Previous matches also reflect the performances: Fenerbahce has won 4 matches by scoring multiple goals but also conceding. Meanwhile, Lugano scores many goals away and has only suffered one defeat against Zurich.

Statistics do not favor either team. Both teams are capable of scoring but also of conceding.

We are 100% confident that both teams will not score together. Additionally, fewer than 3.5 or 4.5 goals are expected with a 100% certainty.

The match promises to be tight and competitive. We could expect a game with few goals. Lugano’s solid defense and Fenerbahce’s tendency to concede could dampen offensive efforts.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, given Fenerbahce’s offensive potential and Lugano’s strong defensive capabilities, the match is shaping up to be intense. There are likely to be goal-scoring opportunities, but the total number of goals could be limited based on the statistics. Therefore, a safe bet would be to go for “Over 1.5 goals in the match.” The statistics also indicate a high probability of both teams scoring.

Moreover, considering the delicate balance between the two teams and their recent statistical performances in both scoring and defending, a 2-2 scoreline could be a plausible prediction. However, these are forecasts based on available data and past performances, and as we know, anything can happen on a football pitch. While these predictions provide insight into the potential direction of the match, they do not guarantee the outcome. Betting in an informed manner increases your chances of success but never guarantees it. Play smart and only wager what you can afford to lose.