Tipps Fredrikstad Rosenborg Norvège 27/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Fredrikstad wins the match

1. Recent home performances of Fredrikstad are better than Rosenborg’s away performances. Fredrikstad has won 60% of their last 5 home matches while Rosenborg has not won any of their last 5 away matches.

2. Fredrikstad’s offensive potential in home matches is better than Rosenborg’s defensive potential in away matches. Fredrikstad scores an average of 0.6 goals per home match while Rosenborg concedes an average of 2 goals per away match.

3. Lastly, bookmakers give Fredrikstad a higher probability of winning the match, with a probability of 45.31% compared to 27.08% for Rosenborg.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The limited number of goals scored and conceded: Fredrikstad has scored 6 goals and conceded 6 goals in their last 5 home matches. Rosenborg, on the other hand, has scored 7 goals and conceded 10 goals in their last 5 away matches. Analyzing these statistics shows a moderate number of goals in both teams’ matches.

2. The low offensive potential at home for Fredrikstad: In their last 5 home matches, Fredrikstad has scored an average of 0.6 goals per match with an offensive potential of 21%, which is not very high. Rosenborg, on the other hand, has an offensive potential of 50% but a higher defensive potential of 71% away, which could also limit the number of goals.

3. Recent match results: The recent matches of Fredrikstad at home and Rosenborg away have shown a relatively low number of goals. Furthermore, it is noteworthy that in the last direct encounter at home between Fredrikstad and Rosenborg, the match ended with a modest 1-0 win for Fredrikstad.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Rosenborg has shown defensive weakness and offensive capability in their away games, as evidenced by the 10 goals conceded and 7 goals scored in their last 5 away matches.
2. Fredrikstad, despite some goalless matches, has shown their offensive potential at home by scoring in 3 of their last 5 matches and also conceding goals in these 5 matches.
3. Both teams have a relatively high probability of scoring in this match, with a success probability of 53.65% that both teams will score according to the statistics.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Fredrikstad wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Fredrikstad 1-1 Rosenborg

1. Goal Average: Based on the performance of both teams in their last 5 matches, Fredrikstad scores an average of 0.6 goals per match and Rosenborg scores 1.4 goals per match. This goal average suggests a tight match and a potential score of 1-1.

2. Home and Away Performance: Fredrikstad has not had any draws in their last 5 home matches, while Rosenborg has a 20% draw rate away from home. A draw is therefore a strong possibility as both teams favor a defensive strategy.

3. Probability of Success: The data suggests that the match will likely have less than 1.5 goals (3.60) and there is a 27.6% probability of a draw. These two factors combined strongly favor a prediction of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Fredrikstad has a strong home performance, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. However, they have conceded as many goals as they have scored (6).

On the other hand, Rosenborg struggles away from home. They haven’t won any of their last 5 matches and have a negative record of 7 goals scored against 10 conceded.

Fredrikstad’s offensive potential at home is at 21%, while their defense is at 29%. For Rosenborg away, the attack is at 50% and defense at 71%.

In terms of probabilities, Fredrikstad is the favorite with a 45.31% chance of winning (odds 2.05) compared to Rosenborg at 27.08% (odds 3.60). There is a 27.6% chance of a draw (odds 3.60).

The match is more likely to have less than 3.5 goals (77.6% probability, odds 1.33). However, the success rate for both teams to score is 53.65% (odds 1.75).

In summary, Fredrikstad is slightly favored, with a probability to score, but expect a match with less than 3.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Fredrikstad has shown a relatively stable performance at home, winning 60% of recent matches, but only averaging 0.6 goals scored per match. At the same time, they have maintained their defense and only conceded 6 goals.

On the other hand, Rosenborg has struggled away from home, with no wins and only one draw in their last 5 away matches. This team has scored more goals than Fredrikstad, averaging 1.4 per match, but has also conceded 10 goals.

The probability analysis gives a slight advantage to Fredrikstad with a 45.31% chance of winning the match and predicts a low probability of a draw (27.6%). However, the idea of a Rosenborg victory should not be ruled out (27.08%).

Regarding the number of goals, there is a probability of 69.27% that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match. It is also worth noting the 77.6% probability of scoring less than 3.5 goals, indicating a potentially low-scoring match.

Finally, our data suggest a balanced likelihood of both teams scoring, with a 53.65% chance for this scenario.

In summary, it seems probable that Fredrikstad could win the match, and a relatively low-scoring game is expected. The best strategy might be to bet on “under 3.5 goals in the match” with a 77.6% probability.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on my analysis of recent performances, statistics, and bookmakers’ odds, I predict a slight victory for Fredrikstad, with a low score, below 3.5 goals in the match. Both teams seem to have the potential to score goals, given their offensive performances, despite some obvious defensive weaknesses. Therefore, it seems wise to bet on “Fredrikstad to win and under 3.5 goals” to get the best possible value from this match. However, sports betting always carries a risk, and it is important to gamble responsibly.