Tipps Heerenveen PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie 25/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

PSV Eindhoven wins the match.

1. Match History: In their last 5 away games, PSV Eindhoven has a superior winning performance with 60% victories, while Heerenveen has only 20% home victories. It appears that PSV Eindhoven performs better even when playing away.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: PSV Eindhoven averages more goals scored (3 goals per game) and concedes fewer goals (0.8 goals per game) compared to Heerenveen (2 goals scored per game and 2 goals conceded per game). Additionally, the offensive and defensive potential of PSV is higher (offensive potential of 107%, defensive potential of 29%) than that of Heerenveen (offensive potential of 71%, defensive potential of 71%). This indicates that PSV Eindhoven could be more effective both offensively and defensively.

3. Probability of Success: The probability of PSV Eindhoven winning the match is significantly higher than that of Heerenveen (71.05% compared to 13.16%). This statistic generally has a significant impact on the match outcome, and based on the available data, PSV Eindhoven has a better chance of winning the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Examining the scores of the last matches of both teams often reveals a total number of goals exceeding 2.5. For example, in the last five home matches of Heerenveen, all but one have seen more than 2.5 goals. Additionally, four out of the last five away matches of PSV Eindhoven have also totaled more than 2.5 goals.

2. Statistics show that Heerenveen and PSV Eindhoven have an average of 2 and 3 goals scored per match respectively. This suggests a significant offensive potential on both sides, increasing the likelihood of more than 2.5 goals during the match.

3. The average goals conceded per match for both teams are quite high. Heerenveen concedes an average of 2 goals per match in their home games, while PSV Eindhoven concedes 0.8 on average in their away games. This notable trend of conceding goals from both sides means there are higher chances of having more than 2.5 total goals in the game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Based on previous match statistics, Heerenveen has shown a consistent trend of scoring goals at home, with a total of 9 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 1.8 goals per game.

2. PSV Eindhoven has displayed strong offensive performance away from home, scoring a total of 11 goals in their last 5 away matches, averaging 2.2 goals per game.

3. Both teams have relatively weak defensive potential, as they have conceded more goals than they have scored in their last 5 matches, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Heerenveen wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Heerenveen 2-3 PSV Eindhoven.

1. PSV Eindhoven has a superior offensive performance compared to Heerenveen, with an average of 3 goals scored per match against 2 for Heerenveen. This, coupled with the fact that PSV has won 60% of their recent away games, supports the idea that they are likely to score at least 3 goals.

2. Heerenveen’s defensive potential at home is relatively weak (71%), meaning they tend to concede goals. Moreover, in their last five home matches, they conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game. This indicates that Heerenveen is likely to concede at least 3 goals against a team with a strong offensive potential like PSV Eindhoven.

3. However, Heerenveen also has some offensive capability at home, scoring an average of 2 goals per match in their last five games. PSV Eindhoven has a weak defensive potential away from home (29%), suggesting they are likely to concede goals. This supports the prediction of at least two goals scored by Heerenveen.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Heerenveen have struggled at home with only 1 win in 5 matches. They have had multiple draws, with a 60% draw rate.

PSV Eindhoven have been rather confident away from home, winning in 60% of cases. However, their defense has been breached on several occasions, conceding 12 goals.

Heerenveen have a 71% offensive and defensive potential, a balanced team. On the other hand, PSV Eindhoven is more offensive with an impressive 107% offensive potential.

According to the stats, PSV Eindhoven has a 71.05% chance of winning. The likely score will be over 1.5 goals (81.05% chance), but under 3.5 goals (67.37% chance).

Lastly, both teams often score in their respective matches, with a probability of 51.58%.

In conclusion, it would be wise to bet on a PSV Eindhoven victory with a chance for both teams to score.

The potential number of goals

Heerenveen has been relatively stable at home, with 60% of draws and 20% of wins in their recent matches. However, their defense is a bit vulnerable, having conceded 11 goals.

PSV Eindhoven, on the other hand, is stronger away from home. They win 60% of the time, scoring 11 goals. Yet, their defense can be breached as they have conceded 12 goals.

On average, Heerenveen scores and concedes 2 goals per match, showing a balance between offense and defense. PSV Eindhoven, when playing away, is stronger offensively, scoring an average of 3 goals per match and conceding only 0.8.

The probabilities strongly favor PSV Eindhoven with a winning probability of 71.05%. A draw is at 15.79% and Heerenveen’s victory at 13.16%.

Regarding the total goals, the highest probability (81.05%) is for over 1.5 goals in the match. Both teams are also likely to score, with a probability of 51.58%.

In conclusion, PSV Eindhoven seems well-positioned to win this match. However, the outcome of the match could be influenced by the balance of Heerenveen’s defense and offense.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this forecast anticipates a relatively intense and offensive match between Heerenveen and PSV Eindhoven. Given the past performance of both teams and their offensive and defensive potential, PSV Eindhoven appears to be the favorite to win this match, even though they are playing away from home.

Statistics also suggest a high probability of there being over 2.5 goals in total in the match, which could be the result of a strong offensive performance from PSV Eindhoven and Heerenveen’s strong potential to score at home. This also supports the prediction that both teams are likely to score.

However, the performance of Heerenveen at home should not be underestimated, as they have shown a strong tendency to secure draws. This factor could make betting on a draw or a Heerenveen victory interesting in terms of risk-to-reward ratio.

In summary, despite the apparent superiority of PSV Eindhoven, it is important for bettors to consider all factors at play to make an informed decision.