Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Independiente Barracas Central
1. Recent home statistics for Independiente show a tendency to score goals: they have scored in 100% of their last 5 home matches, with an average of 0.8 goals per match. On the other hand, Barracas Central concedes an average of 1.4 goals per away match, giving Independiente opportunities to score.
2. Despite the losses, Independiente shows a higher defensive potential compared to Barracas Central (36% vs. 50%). This means they are more likely to keep their goal intact, limiting opportunities for Barracas Central to score.
3. The calculated probability of success for Independiente stands at 52.97%, with odds of 1.75, which is higher than Barracas Central’s success percentage (20%). This indicates that according to sports betting algorithms, Independiente have a higher chance of winning the match.
1. The goal production statistics for both teams are low. At home, Independiente scores an average of 0.8 goals per match, and away, Barracas Central only scores an average of 0.4 goals per match.
2. The defensive numbers also support this prediction. Independiente concedes an average of 1 goal per match at home, while Barracas Central concedes an average of 1.4 goals away from home.
3. The recent matches of both teams also show a trend towards low scores. In Independiente’s last 5 home matches, 4 had less than 3 goals. Similarly, in Barracas Central’s last 5 away matches, all but one had less than 3 goals.
1. Independiente has a lower offensive potential at home (29%) compared to their defensive potential (36%), suggesting that it is more likely for them to keep a clean sheet rather than score a goal.
2. Barracas Central has very weak offensive performances away from home, with an offensive potential of only 14%. Additionally, they have only managed to score 3 goals in their last 5 away matches.
3. Odds analysis: “Both teams to score” has a slightly higher success probability (50.27%) with a more interesting odds (1.67) than “Both teams do not score”. This makes this option more attractive for betting.
1. Barracas Central has a better recent away win performance (40%) compared to Independiente at home (20%), suggesting a stronger form for Barracas Central away from home.
2. Independiente has a weaker home offensive potential (0.8 goals per match, 29%) than Barracas Central’s defensive potential away from home (1.4 goals per match, 50%), which may give Barracas Central an advantage.
3. The odds offered for Barracas Central to win are 4.85 with a success probability of 20%. Considering the first two arguments, this represents a ‘value bet’, with statistics indicating a higher likelihood for Barracas Central to win than that implied by the odds.
1. Independiente has a stronger home performance in their last 5 matches compared to Barracas Central’s away record, with a 40% win rate against 20%. Despite having a slightly weaker defense at Independiente, their offensive potential is twice as high, which could lead to a low-scoring match in their favor.
2. Statistics suggest low goal production from both sides. Independiente only averages 0.8 goals per home match, while Barracas Central scores 0.4 goals away from home. This supports the prediction of a low-scoring game, like a 1-0 result.
3. The probabilities indicate an 80% chance of a draw or Independiente win. Furthermore, there is an 83.78% probability of less than 3.5 goals being scored in the match. These factors support the prediction of a 1-0 victory for Independiente.
Indépendiente has only won 20% of their last home matches, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game. Their defense is unreliable, conceding 1 goal per game on average.
Barracas Central has won 40% of their away matches, scoring few goals (0.4 per game) but also conceding more (1.4 goals per game).
The probability of Independiente winning the match is 52.97% while Barracas’ is 20%.
A low-scoring match is expected, with a 68.11% probability of under 1.5 goals, but there is also a 42.7% chance of a surprise with over 2.5 goals.
The safest bet would be to wager on “under 4.5 goals in the match” with a 96.22% probability of success.
Analyzing the scores of their recent matches, both Independiente and Barracas have the potential to score in this match, with an almost equal probability of 49.73%.
In conclusion, Independiente is in better form at home than Barracas is away. The safer bets would be Independiente to win or a match with under 4.5 goals.
The Independiente, at home, has had a mixed performance in their last 5 matches, with a victory in only 20% of cases. Their offensive performance, although at 0.8 goals per match, doesn’t always give them the upper hand with a goal deficit of -1 overall.
On the other hand, Barracas Central has a 40% victory rate in away matches. Their attack remains limited, with an average of 0.4 goals per match. Defense also seems to be a concern for them, with more goals conceded than goals scored.
The probability of Independiente winning is 52.97% with odds of 1.75. Whereas Barracas Central has only a 20% chance of winning the match, with odds of 4.85.
We can see that matches are generally low-scoring. The probabilities indicate a high likelihood of scoring less than 4.5 goals in the match, with a probability of 96.22%.
Analyzing Independiente’s recent home matches and Barracas Central’s away matches, it’s clear that the teams struggle to maintain a solid defense, allowing the opposing team to score in many cases.
Based on these statistics, a competitive match can be expected, but with few goals scored. A safe bet would be to wager on under 2.5 goals in the match with odds at 1.61.
In summary, the analysis and probabilities suggest a win for Independiente due to their more convincing recent home statistics. However, considering the low average goals scored by both teams, the most likely prediction would be a low-scoring match. A final score of 1-0 in favor of Independiente seems to be a reasonable bet. Furthermore, given the high defensive potential of both teams, it is unlikely that both teams will score in this match. On the other hand, the bet of “Barracas Central to win the match” offers an interesting value bet considering the lower home offensive potential of Independiente compared to the greater defensive potential of Barracas Central. However, this is a high-risk bet and should be approached with caution. In summary, the safest option seems to be betting on “under 4.5 goals in the match.” It is always advisable to bet responsibly, taking into account all available data and information.
1. Recent home statistics for Independiente show a tendency to score goals: they have scored in 100% of their last 5 home matches, with an average of 0.8 goals per match. On the other hand, Barracas Central concedes an average of 1.4 goals per away match, giving Independiente opportunities to score.
2. Despite the losses, Independiente shows a higher defensive potential compared to Barracas Central (36% vs. 50%). This means they are more likely to keep their goal intact, limiting opportunities for Barracas Central to score.
3. The calculated probability of success for Independiente stands at 52.97%, with odds of 1.75, which is higher than Barracas Central’s success percentage (20%). This indicates that according to sports betting algorithms, Independiente have a higher chance of winning the match.
To not miss anything from the Independiente vs Barracas Central match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 24/07/2024 in the Liga Profesional live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
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In its last 5 matches, the team Independiente has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Independiente has a form rating of %.
In its last 5 matches, Barracas Central has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Barracas Central has a form rating of %.
Goal prediction for goals scored by Independiente
Independiente has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Independiente
Independiente has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Goal prediction for goals scored by Barracas Central
Barracas Central has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Barracas Central
Barracas Central has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Independiente and Barracas Central, we should have a total of goals in this match.
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1. The goal production statistics for both teams are low. At home, Independiente scores an average of 0.8 goals per match, and away, Barracas Central only scores an average of 0.4 goals per match.
2. The defensive numbers also support this prediction. Independiente concedes an average of 1 goal per match at home, while Barracas Central concedes an average of 1.4 goals away from home.
3. The recent matches of both teams also show a trend towards low scores. In Independiente’s last 5 home matches, 4 had less than 3 goals. Similarly, in Barracas Central’s last 5 away matches, all but one had less than 3 goals.
Finding a forecast for the Independiente Barracas Central match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Independiente Barracas Central on 24/07/2024 in Estadio Libertadores de América are the team's past performance in the Liga Profesional, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Independiente at home and Barracas Central away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 24/07/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Independiente and Barracas Central on 24/07/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Liga Profesional, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Libertadores de América, Independiente could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Independiente and Barracas Central, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Independiente and the away win rate of Barracas Central, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 24/07/2024!
The individual performances of players from Independiente and Barracas Central can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 24/07/2024 at Estadio Libertadores de América.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Independiente and Barracas Central, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Independiente or Barracas Central on 24/07/2024.
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