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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Independiente Medellin Junior
Tipps Independiente Medellin Junior Primera A 28/07/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
“Independiente Medellin wins the match”
1. Independiente Medellin has a stronger performance at home, winning 60% of their last 5 matches compared to Junior Barranquilla’s 40% away victories.
2. The offensive potential of Independiente Medellin at home is much better at 86% compared to 36% for Junior Barranquilla away.
3. Independiente Medellin has a higher probability of winning the match at 40.31% compared to Junior Barranquilla’s 24.61%.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match
1. The statistics of Junior Barranquilla’s last 5 away matches show they have a low rate of goals scored (0.8 goals per match) and a poor offensive performance (36% offensive potential). This means they score few goals on the road, contributing to a total goal count of less than 2.5 overall.
2. Independiente Medellin also has a rather low average of goals conceded at home in their last 5 matches (0.8 goals per match). This indicates a strong defensive performance at home, suggesting there would be fewer chances of a high number of goals scored by the visiting team.
3. The odds for under 2.5 goals in the match are 1.63, which also indicates that bookmakers are expecting a low-scoring game, further reinforcing the argument for a prediction of under 2.5 goals in the match.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. Recent performance statistics show that Independiente Medellin has a high offensive potential at home, with an average of 2.4 goals scored per match. Additionally, this team has scored in all of its recent home matches.
2. Junior Barranquilla, on the other hand, has a lower offensive potential away from home (1 goal per match on average), but has managed to score in 60% of its recent away matches. This indicates that they have the ability to score even when they are not winning.
3. Defensive statistics reveal that both teams regularly concede goals. Independiente Medellin has conceded 10 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Junior Barranquilla has conceded 4 goals in their last 5 away matches. These data suggest that both teams are likely to concede at least one goal.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”
1. Independiente Medellin is strong at home, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per match and having an attacking potential of 86%. Their last 5 home matches have all seen more than 2.5 goals, showcasing their scoring abilities.
2. Junior Barranquilla has scored in 60% of their recent away matches, increasing the likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the game. Additionally, they have conceded goals in 60% of their away matches, further boosting the chances of reaching this total.
3. The “over 2.5 goals in the match” prediction has odds of 2.25, offering potential value given the offensive performances of both teams and their recent results.
Bet on the exact result
Independiente Medellin 2-1 Junior Barranquilla
1. Independiente Medellin has an overall better performance at home, where they have won 60% of the cases, and individually they also have a better offensive performance by scoring an average of 2.4 goals per home match compared to 1 goal per match for Junior Barranquilla away.
2. The suggested score of 2-1 reflects the fact that both teams score in the match, an event that has a success probability of 54.45%. Junior Barranquilla has indeed managed to score in their away games in 3 out of their last 5 matches.
3. Independiente Medellin’s defense is not particularly strong, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per home match. This gives Junior Barranquilla a reasonable probability of scoring at least one goal despite their lower offensive performance in their away matches.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Medellin has shown good form at home, winning 60% of their matches. However, they struggle defensively, having conceded as many goals as they have scored (10).
Junior, on the other hand, has only won 40% of their away matches but boasts a solid defense, having scored and conceded the same number of goals (4).
Offensively, Medellin averages 2.4 goals per game at home, compared to Junior’s 1 goal away. Both teams have a similar defense, each conceding 0.8 goals per game.
Betting probabilities suggest the match is more likely to end in a Medellin win (40.31%) or a draw (35.08%). It is also probable that over 1.5 goals will be scored during the match (70.68%).
Based on these analyses, a cautious prediction could be a draw or a Medellin win, with over 1.5 goals scored in the match. However, as always in sports, nothing is certain!
The potential number of goals
Independiente Medellin, playing at home, has a good win rate of 60% but also shares the same number of goals scored and conceded, which is 10. On the other hand, Junior Barranquilla wins with less consistency away from home, at 40%, but scores and concedes fewer goals, only 4.
Independiente demonstrates a strong offensive ability, with an average of 2.4 goals per match, representing an 86% offensive potential. Their defense is also decent with a 29% potential. In contrast, Junior Barranquilla is more reserved offensively, averaging only 1 goal per match, with a 36% offensive potential, and a defense equivalent to 29% potential.
In terms of prediction, Independiente slightly comes out on top with a success probability of 40.31% compared to 24.61% for Junior Barranquilla. However, if we combine a draw and a win, Independiente still leads with a 75.39% chance of not losing, compared to 59.69% for Junior.
Regarding the expected number of goals, over 1.5 goals seem likely with a 70.68% chance and a gain of 1.42. Less than 3.5 goals is highly probable with an 80.63% chance and a gain of 1.22. In summary, it is highly likely that both teams will score, with a 54.45% occurrence, but it is less likely that the score will exceed 4.5 goals, with only a 6.28% occurrence.
Taking all these numbers into account, my prediction would be a match in favor of Independiente Medellin, with a probability of more than 1.5 goals scored by both teams.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, the statistics and analysis presented indicate that Independiente Medellin has a significant probability of winning the match against Junior Barranquilla, mainly due to their strong home performance and offensive potential. However, there is also a possibility of goals from both sides, adding an interesting dimension to the bet.
Furthermore, it is advisable to bet on under 2.5 goals for this match, considering Junior Barranquilla’s limited offensive potential away from home and Independiente Medellin’s strong defense at home. Nevertheless, a value bet on “over 2.5 goals in the match” could be interesting, given Independiente Medellin’s offensive performances and the probability of Junior Barranquilla scoring at least one goal.
Ultimately, any prediction should be taken with caution as past performances do not guarantee future results. It is therefore crucial to stay informed and follow team news to refine predictions as the match approaches.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Independiente Medellin against Junior on 28/07/2024
1. Independiente Medellin has a stronger performance at home, winning 60% of their last 5 matches compared to Junior Barranquilla’s 40% away victories.
2. The offensive potential of Independiente Medellin at home is much better at 86% compared to 36% for Junior Barranquilla away.
3. Independiente Medellin has a higher probability of winning the match at 40.31% compared to Junior Barranquilla’s 24.61%.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Independiente Medellin vs Junior match!
To not miss anything from the Independiente Medellin vs Junior match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 28/07/2024 in the Primera A live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Independiente Medellin vs Junior
Lineups Independiente Medellin
Lineups Junior
Match Highlights Independiente Medellin vs Junior on 28/07/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Independiente Medellin vs Junior match on 28/07/2024 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Independiente Medellin and Junior
All statistics for the match between Independiente Medellin and Junior will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Independiente Medellin against Junior!
Form state of Independiente Medellin in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Independiente Medellin has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Independiente Medellin has a form rating of %.
Form state of Junior in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Junior has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Junior has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Independiente Medellin against Junior!
Average goals scored by Independiente Medellin in the current season.
Goals scored by Independiente Medellin in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Independiente Medellin in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Junior in the current season
Goals scored by Junior in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Junior
Junior has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Junior in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Junior
Junior has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Independiente Medellin and Junior, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Independiente Medellin vs Junior: Probabilities for the outcome
1. The statistics of Junior Barranquilla’s last 5 away matches show they have a low rate of goals scored (0.8 goals per match) and a poor offensive performance (36% offensive potential). This means they score few goals on the road, contributing to a total goal count of less than 2.5 overall.
2. Independiente Medellin also has a rather low average of goals conceded at home in their last 5 matches (0.8 goals per match). This indicates a strong defensive performance at home, suggesting there would be fewer chances of a high number of goals scored by the visiting team.
3. The odds for under 2.5 goals in the match are 1.63, which also indicates that bookmakers are expecting a low-scoring game, further reinforcing the argument for a prediction of under 2.5 goals in the match.
Forecast results from winflix for Independiente Medellin and Junior!
The last 5 winning predictions für Independiente Medellin
The last 5 winning predictions für Junior
How do I find the best forecast for Independiente Medellin Junior?
Finding a forecast for the Independiente Medellin Junior match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Independiente Medellin Junior on 28/07/2024 in Estadio Atanasio Girardot are the team's past performance in the Primera A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Independiente Medellin at home and Junior away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 28/07/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Independiente Medellin and Junior on 28/07/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Primera A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Independiente Medellin could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Independiente Medellin and Junior, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Independiente Medellin and the away win rate of Junior, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 28/07/2024!
The individual performances of players from Independiente Medellin and Junior can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 28/07/2024 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Independiente Medellin and Junior, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Independiente Medellin or Junior on 28/07/2024.
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