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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Independiente San Lorenzo
Tipps Independiente San Lorenzo Liga Profesional 04/08/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Draw or Independiente wins the match.
1. The offensive potential of Independiente is relatively low (21%), while their defensive potential is slightly higher (36%). The probability of Independiente winning or a draw occurring is 73.42%, making it a likely option.
2. San Lorenzo de Almagro, despite having a better offensive potential (43%) away from home, has their own drawback with a weak defense (29%). Additionally, their away win rate is only 40%, which diminishes the likelihood of a victory for them.
3. Based on the recent matches of both teams, Independiente tends to have draws and has won once at home, while San Lorenzo has lost twice away, reinforcing the idea of a draw or a win for Independiente.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match.
1. Recent statistics show a trend of low goal production from both teams. Independiente has scored 6 goals and conceded 8 goals in their last 5 home matches, while San Lorenzo de Almagro has scored 4 goals and conceded 5 goals in their last 5 away matches.
2. The calculation of goal averages also points towards a low number of goals expected. On average, Independiente scores 0.6 goals but concedes 1.0 goal per home match. Meanwhile, San Lorenzo de Almagro averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per away match.
3. The probability for “Under 2.5 goals in the match” is 1.36, which is significantly higher than the probability for “Over 2.5 goals in the match” at 3.04. This odds forecast also indicates an anticipation of a low number of goals.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: No
1. The defensive performances of both teams: Independiente has conceded 8 goals at home in their last 5 matches (an average of 1.6 goals per match) and San Lorenzo de Almagro has conceded 5 goals away in their last 5 matches (an average of 1 goal per match). These numbers suggest a high likelihood of not seeing goals from either side.
2. The offensive performances of both teams: Independiente has scored an average of 0.6 goals per match at home in their last 5 matches, while San Lorenzo de Almagro has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match away in their last 5 matches. This low offensive productivity strengthens the argument that both teams may not score during the match.
3. Betting statistics: The probability of both teams not scoring is 60.76% with odds of 1.52, which is considered a relatively high probability in sports betting. Additionally, the probability for under 1.5 goals in the match is quite high (no odds given), suggesting that bookmakers also expect a low-scoring match, further supporting the argument that both teams may not score.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
San Lorenzo de Almagro wins the match
1. Historical away performance of San Lorenzo de Almagro: In its last 5 away matches, this team has won 40% of the games and has shown a solid defense by conceding only 0.8 goals on average per match.
2. Weakness of Independiente team at home: Independiente has won only 20% of its last 5 home matches, with an average of 0.6 goals scored per match but conceding an average of 1 goal per match.
3. Offensive and defensive potential: San Lorenzo de Almagro has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 29% away, while Independiente has an offensive potential of only 21% and a defensive potential of 36% at home. There is therefore a high probability that San Lorenzo de Almagro will score more than Independiente.
Bet on the exact result
Independiente 1-1 San Lorenzo de Almagro
1. The statistics from the last 5 matches show that Independiente has a slightly higher percentage of draws at home, while San Lorenzo de Almagro has an identical percentage of draws away, suggesting a potential draw.
2. The calculated probability for a draw is 31.65%, making it one of the three most likely outcomes of this match. Additionally, both teams have demonstrated defensive capabilities with a low number of goals conceded in the last 5 matches, indicating a low probability of a high-scoring game.
3. Analyzing the goals scored and conceded by both teams, Independiente has scored an average of 0.6 goals per home match, while San Lorenzo de Almagro has scored an average of 1.2 goals per away match. This further strengthens the likelihood of a 1-1 scoreline.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Independiente struggles at home, with only a 20% win rate. They have scored 6 goals in 5 matches, while conceding 8. Their offensive (21%) and defensive (36%) efficiency is low.
San Lorenzo, on the other hand, performs better away from home with a 40% win rate, scoring 4 goals and conceding 5. They have an offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 29%.
According to the probabilities, Independiente has a 41.77% chance of winning (odds of 2.30) and San Lorenzo 26.58% (odds of 3.50). It’s expected to be a close match.
The safest option is “under 4.5 goals in the match” with a probability of 96.2% and odds of 1.02. A secure bet.
However, “over 1.5 goals”, with interesting odds of 1.66, seems feasible with a 54.43% probability.
Statistics suggest that there is a higher chance of both teams not scoring (60.76% and odds of 1.52).
In conclusion, based on recent performances, the match appears close with an advantage for Independiente but a real risk of a draw. It will likely be a low-scoring encounter.
The potential number of goals
Independiente has won 20% of their last 5 home matches. They have scored 6 goals but conceded 8. The offensive performance is at 21%, with 0.6 goals per match. The defensive efficiency is at 36%.
San Lorenzo de Almagro has won 40% of their last 5 away matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5. Their offensive efficiency stands at 43% with 1.2 goals per match. Their defensive efficiency is at 29%.
The success probability for Independiente is 41.77%. For a draw, it’s 31.65%. San Lorenzo de Almagro has a probability of 26.58%.
In terms of goals, the match has a 54.43% chance of having over 1.5 goals, and a 32.91% chance of having over 2.5 goals. Less than 3.5 goals are highly likely at 87.34%.
Finally, there is a 39.24% chance of both teams scoring. If neither team scores, the probability is 60.76%.
In summary, modest home performances for Independiente may be balanced by similarly modest away performances for San Lorenzo de Almagro. A likely tight match with reasonable chances of under 3.5 goals.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
After analyzing the recent performances of both teams, the probabilities and odds offered by bookmakers, we conclude that the match between Independiente and San Lorenzo de Almagro should be closely contested. Independiente has an advantage on paper considering their past home matches and San Lorenzo’s weak away performances, but a draw remains a real possibility. However, the low offensive potential of both teams suggests a low-scoring match, making the “under 2.5 goals in the match” option a safe bet. Similarly, the probability of both teams failing to score is rather high. Furthermore, despite San Lorenzo having lower chances of winning the match, a potential victory from them could represent an interesting value bet for bettors. In summary, this match should be a balanced showdown with a slight lean towards Independiente, but specific predictions will depend mainly on both teams’ performances on match day.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Independiente against San Lorenzo on 04/08/2024
1. The offensive potential of Independiente is relatively low (21%), while their defensive potential is slightly higher (36%). The probability of Independiente winning or a draw occurring is 73.42%, making it a likely option.
2. San Lorenzo de Almagro, despite having a better offensive potential (43%) away from home, has their own drawback with a weak defense (29%). Additionally, their away win rate is only 40%, which diminishes the likelihood of a victory for them.
3. Based on the recent matches of both teams, Independiente tends to have draws and has won once at home, while San Lorenzo has lost twice away, reinforcing the idea of a draw or a win for Independiente.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Independiente vs San Lorenzo match!
To not miss anything from the Independiente vs San Lorenzo match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 04/08/2024 in the Liga Profesional live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Independiente vs San Lorenzo
Lineups Independiente
Lineups San Lorenzo
Match Highlights Independiente vs San Lorenzo on 04/08/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Independiente vs San Lorenzo match on 04/08/2024 at Estadio Libertadores de América stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Independiente and San Lorenzo
All statistics for the match between Independiente and San Lorenzo will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Independiente against San Lorenzo!
Form state of Independiente in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Independiente has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Independiente has a form rating of %.
Form state of San Lorenzo in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, San Lorenzo has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that San Lorenzo has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Independiente against San Lorenzo!
Average goals scored by Independiente in the current season.
Goals scored by Independiente in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Independiente
Independiente has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Independiente in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Independiente
Independiente has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by San Lorenzo in the current season
Goals scored by San Lorenzo in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by San Lorenzo in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Independiente and San Lorenzo, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Independiente vs San Lorenzo: Probabilities for the outcome
1. Recent statistics show a trend of low goal production from both teams. Independiente has scored 6 goals and conceded 8 goals in their last 5 home matches, while San Lorenzo de Almagro has scored 4 goals and conceded 5 goals in their last 5 away matches.
2. The calculation of goal averages also points towards a low number of goals expected. On average, Independiente scores 0.6 goals but concedes 1.0 goal per home match. Meanwhile, San Lorenzo de Almagro averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per away match.
3. The probability for “Under 2.5 goals in the match” is 1.36, which is significantly higher than the probability for “Over 2.5 goals in the match” at 3.04. This odds forecast also indicates an anticipation of a low number of goals.
Forecast results from winflix for Independiente and San Lorenzo!
The last 5 winning predictions für Independiente
The last 5 winning predictions für San Lorenzo
How do I find the best forecast for Independiente San Lorenzo?
Finding a forecast for the Independiente San Lorenzo match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Independiente San Lorenzo on 04/08/2024 in Estadio Libertadores de América are the team's past performance in the Liga Profesional, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Independiente at home and San Lorenzo away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 04/08/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Independiente and San Lorenzo on 04/08/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Liga Profesional, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Libertadores de América, Independiente could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Independiente and San Lorenzo, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Independiente and the away win rate of San Lorenzo, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 04/08/2024!
The individual performances of players from Independiente and San Lorenzo can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 04/08/2024 at Estadio Libertadores de América.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Independiente and San Lorenzo, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Independiente or San Lorenzo on 04/08/2024.
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