Tipps Junior Chico Primera A 22/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the statistics and recent matches of both teams, it can be seen that Junior Barranquilla has a better home record than Boyaca Chico does away. Additionally, Junior Barranquilla has a stronger defense than Boyaca Chico. Taking these factors into account, my prediction would be: Junior Barranquilla wins the match.

1. Junior Barranquilla has shown strength at home by winning 40% of their last 5 matches, while Boyaca Chico has shown weakness on the road by winning only 20% of their matches.

2. In terms of goals, Junior Barranquilla has a better defense at home than Boyaca Chico away, conceding on average only 0.4 goals per match compared to the 2 goals conceded on average by Boyaca Chico.

3. Analyzing recent performances, it can be seen that Junior Barranquilla manages to maintain a balance between their offensive and defensive scores by scoring and conceding a similar number of goals (6 goals scored, 7 goals conceded). On the other hand, Boyaca Chico seems to have an imbalance with a high number of goals conceded (8 goals) for an average offensive performance (6 goals scored).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Here is the translation in English:

1. Junior Barranquilla’s home scoring history: In the last five home matches, Junior Barranquilla has scored a total of only 6 goals, averaging 1.2 goals per match. This suggests some difficulty for this team in creating goal-scoring opportunities in home matches, which could result in a low total number of goals for this match.

2. Boyaca Chico’s defensive performance away: According to the data provided, Boyaca Chico concedes an average of 2 goals per match away, with a defensive potential of 71%. This indicates a strong ability of this team to limit the opposing team’s opportunities, which could also limit the total number of goals scored in this match.

3. Boyaca Chico’s offensive potential away: In their last 5 away matches, Boyaca Chico has scored an average of 1 goal per match, despite having an offensive potential of 36%. This means that despite some opportunities, this team struggles to convert their chances into goals, which could also contribute to a total number of goals under 2.5 for this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Recent statistics clearly show that Boyaca Chico concedes a lot more goals than they score when playing away. In their last 5 matches, they have conceded an average of 2 goals per game, which reduces the probability of them scoring as well.

2. Junior Barranquilla has a solid defensive structure in their home matches, conceding only 0.4 goals on average per home game. This means it is less likely for Boyaca Chico to score in this match.

3. In recent home matches of Junior Barranquilla, 40% of them ended without conceding a goal. Furthermore, in recent away matches of Boyaca Chico, 40% also ended without them scoring a goal. These two observations strengthen the argument that in this match, it is probable that both teams will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Under 3.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Junior Barranquilla 1-1 Boyaca Chico

1. Recent statistics: Recent match statistics show a trend towards similar scores for both teams. Junior Barranquilla averages 0.8 goals per match while Boyaca Chico scores 1 goal on average. Furthermore, Junior Barranquilla concedes an average of 0.4 goals while Boyaca Chico concedes 2 goals away. Junior Barranquilla’s defensive potential is at 14% and Boyaca Chico’s is at 71% away, indicating they concede fewer goals than average, strengthening the idea of a tight scoreline.

2. Head-to-head history: Looking at Junior Barranquilla’s recent home matches, there have been two draws and three wins. On the other hand, Boyaca Chico has lost all but one of their away matches. Therefore, the form of both teams suggests a draw is a plausible result.

3. Boyaca Chico’s lack of away victories: Boyaca Chico has a low probability of winning away, having won only once in their last 5 matches. This, combined with Junior Barranquilla’s ability to keep tight scores at home, lends weight to a prediction of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Junior Barranquilla shows solidity at home, with a victory in 40% of matches and a draw in 20% of cases. They have found the net 6 times, conceding only 7 goals in their own net.

Boyaca Chico, on the other hand, struggles away from home, with only a 20% win rate and no draws. They have also scored 6 goals but have conceded 8.

In terms of efficiency, Junior Barranquilla averages 0.8 goals per match at home and concedes only 0.4, demonstrating a solid defensive performance of 14%.

Meanwhile, Boyaca Chico averages 1 goal per match away from home but concedes 2, indicating a defensive weakness of 71%.

Junior Barranquilla’s recent home matches have seen instances of low scores, aligning our goal probabilities with a prediction of under 3.5 goals with 100% certainty.

On the other hand, Boyaca Chico’s recent away matches have seen high scores, despite a faltering defense.

Prediction based on past performances and current statistics:
Close match with a low score, likely under 3.5 goals throughout the match. Both teams may struggle to score simultaneously. Junior Barranquilla appears to have a slight advantage, thanks to their home performance.

The potential number of goals

At home, Junior Barranquilla has a 40% win rate and 20% draw rate. They have scored 6 goals but conceded 7 in their last 5 matches. There seems to be a fragile balance between their attack and defense.

Boyaca Chico, on the other hand, has a lower success rate when playing away, with only 20% wins. They have scored the same number of goals as Junior Barranquilla, but have conceded 8 goals, showing a vulnerable defense.

In terms of averages, Junior Barranquilla scores 0.8 goals per match and concedes 0.4. Boyaca Chico, on the other hand, scores once but concedes twice per match.

Junior Barranquilla has an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 14%. In comparison, Boyaca Chico has an attack rating of 36% and a defense rating of 71%.

Despite this imbalance, the forecasts do not indicate any probability of victory for either team.

For goal-related bets, it is worth noting that there is a 100% probability of having fewer than 3.5 and 4.5 goals per match. Similarly, the probability of both teams not scoring is also 100%.

Past performances reflect these trends with Junior Barranquilla not scoring more than two goals per match, and Boyaca Chico often conceding multiple goals.

In conclusion, a low-scoring match can be expected, potentially a draw, and a high likelihood that both teams will not score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account statistics and previous analysis, several key conclusions can be drawn for the match between Junior Barranquilla and Boyaca Chico. In terms of victory, Junior Barranquilla seems to have an advantage, mainly due to their strong defensive record at home. However, it is unlikely to be a high-scoring game, as both teams have shown difficulties in scoring. The bet “Under 3.5 goals in the match” offers interesting value based on both teams’ previous performances. Furthermore, it is highly likely that both teams will not score in this match.

There is also a possibility of a 1-1 exact score occurring, given the past performance and current statistics of these two teams. However, as always in sports betting, while statistics may help predict certain trends, they do not guarantee the final outcome. Therefore, it is essential to place your bets responsibly, taking into account all possible factors.