Tipps Kazakhstan Slovenia UEFA Nations League 13/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Slovenia wins the match.”

1. Slovenia shows a better defensive potential than Kazakhstan in their away matches. Indeed, Slovenia concedes on average only 0.4 goals per match compared to 2 goals for Kazakhstan at home.

2. The analysis of success probabilities significantly favors Slovenia with a probability of 55.21% compared to only 17.71% for Kazakhstan. This indicates that Slovenia has a higher chance of winning this match according to statistical analysis.

3. The recent results of Slovenia’s away matches show a tendency to achieve draws or wins. For example, in their last 5 matches, Slovenia won or drew in 80% of cases.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The two teams have a low offensive potential as shown by their average goals scored per match: Kazakhstan averages 0.8 goals per match at home, while Slovenia averages 1 goal per match away.

2. Recent match statistics show that both teams have often played low-scoring games. Kazakhstan’s recent home matches have seen less than 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, and Slovenia’s recent away matches have also had less than 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games.

3. The meeting between these two teams appears to be balanced, which could lead to a match focused primarily on defense. According to the provided probabilities, the most likely scenario is that Slovenia wins (55.21%), followed by a draw (27.08%). More closed and defensive matches generally have fewer goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Both teams have solid defensive performances. Kazakhstan has a 71% clean sheet rate at home, while Slovenia only scores in 14% of their away matches. This suggests a low likelihood of both teams scoring during the game.

2. Kazakhstan has a low average of goals scored at home, only 0.8 per match on average, diminishing the probability of both teams scoring. Additionally, in their last 5 home matches, Kazakhstan only scored in 60% of the cases.

3. Similarly, Slovenia does not appear very offensive away, scoring in only 20% of their last 5 matches. Moreover, they only average one goal per away match, further reducing the possibility of both teams scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Kazakhstan 1-1 Slovenia.

1. According to statistics, Slovenia draws in 60% of cases in their away matches, which increases the likelihood of them ending with a draw against Kazakhstan.
2. On average, Kazakhstan scores only 0.8 goals per match, while Slovenia scores 1 goal per match. These statistics are very close to the exact predicted score of 1-1.
3. In terms of goal statistics, the match has a 73.96% probability of scoring more than 1.5 goals and a 45.31% probability of scoring more than 2.5 goals. These percentages support the exact score prediction of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Kazakhstan has managed to win 60% of their recent home matches, but has also conceded more goals than they have scored. On the other hand, Slovenia has only won 20% of their recent away matches, but has been able to keep the score close thanks to their solid defense.

Detailing further: at home, Kazakhstan has scored 6 goals and conceded 7 in their last 5 matches. Meanwhile, Slovenia has scored 4 goals and conceded 6 away from home. This suggests that Kazakhstan’s attack has more potential than Slovenia’s, but Slovenia’s defense is stronger.

Therefore, the highest probability of victory favors Slovenia at 55.21%, followed by a draw at 27.08%, and finally a Kazakhstan win at 17.71%. There is also a strong likelihood of less than 3.5 goals in the match (80.21%).

The key may lie in whether both teams score during the match. It’s almost a 50/50 chance, with a probability of 48.44% for “yes” and 51.56% for “no”. It’s very evenly balanced.

In summary, this prediction depicts a closely contested match with a slight advantage for Slovenia, although the outcome remains uncertain. It’s up to you to decide what seems wisest to bet on.

The potential number of goals

Kazakhstan has an average performance at home, with a 60% win rate and 20% draws. On the other hand, Slovenia is less strong away from home, winning only 20% and drawing 60% of the time.

Offensively, Kazakhstan scores an average of 0.8 goals at home, while Slovenia scores 1 goal away. Defensively, Kazakhstan struggles, conceding an average of 2 goals, compared to Slovenia which only concedes 0.4.

In terms of the probability of outcomes, Slovenia is the favorite, with a 55.21% chance of winning. A draw has a 27.08% chance of occurring. Kazakhstan has a low probability of winning, at only 17.71%.

Regarding the number of goals, there is a high probability of “Under 3.5 goals in the match” at 80.21%. Also, the likelihood of both teams scoring is almost balanced, at 48.44%.

Based on this data, a cautious prediction would be a draw or a win for Slovenia, with fewer than 3.5 goals scored during the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistics, defensive and offensive performances, as well as the current forms of both teams, tend to favor Slovenia. This translates into higher probabilities for a Slovenia win or a draw, and a strong likelihood of a total of goals less than 3.5. Therefore, the safest predictions for this match would be a Slovenia win or a draw, with less than 3.5 goals in the match. Additionally, the chances of both teams scoring in the match are nearly equal, making this bet riskier. However, making sports betting decisions requires not only statistical analysis but also considering the teams’ recent conditions, key players, and other factors that may influence the outcome of a match. It is advisable to take all of this information into account before placing a bet.