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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Lanus Independiente
Tipps Lanus Independiente Liga Profesional 19/10/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Independiente wins the match.
1. Independiente has a better defensive performance when playing away: Independiente has conceded fewer goals than Lanus in their last 5 away matches (0.8 goals on average per match compared to 1.2 for Lanus at home), indicating superior defensive solidity.
2. Independiente’s offensive potential is superior to that of Lanus: Indeed, on average, Independiente scores more goals away from home (1 goal on average per match) than Lanus does at home (0.4 goals on average per match), demonstrating a more effective attack.
3. The overall statistics favor Independiente: According to the given probabilities, Independiente has a higher chance of winning the match (37.8% compared to 32.28% for Lanus). Furthermore, the probability of the match ending in a draw or an Independiente victory is higher (67.72%).
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match
1. Defensively, both teams have shown solidity in their recent matches, with Lanus conceding an average of only 1.2 goals at home and Independiente conceding just 0.8 goals away. This could limit the total number of goals scored in the match.
2. From an offensive perspective, neither Lanus nor Independiente are particularly prolific at scoring goals, with respective averages of 0.4 and 1 goal per match, which could also limit the total number of goals scored.
3. Recent match statistics for both teams also show a tendency towards low scores, with several matches ending goalless or with a single goal scored.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: No
1. Offensive and defensive statistics at home/away: Lanus has only scored 0.4 goals per match at home and conceded 1.2 goals per match. In addition, Independiente has scored only one goal per match and conceded 0.8 goals per match away. This indicates a lack of offensive power from both sides, making it less likely for both teams to score.
2. Previous match results: In their last 5 matches at home and away respectively, Lanus and Independiente have had several matches with few goals scored. Lanus had 4 out of 5 matches where fewer than 2 goals were scored, and Independiente had 3 out of 5 matches with fewer than 2 goals. This confirms again the trend that both teams struggle to score.
3. Betting probabilities: The bet “Under 2.5 goals in the match” has a higher success probability (88.19%) compared to the bet “Both teams to score” (50.39%). Moreover, the probability of “Both teams not to score” is almost equal to 50%, suggesting a strong possibility of this scenario occurring.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Independiente wins the match
1. Independiente has a better offensive and defensive potential: in their last 5 away matches, Independiente scored an average of 1 goal per match and conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match, giving them an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 29%. This is compared to Lanus, who has an offensive potential of 14% and a defensive potential of 43% at home.
2. Independiente has shown better recent form: despite similar win rates, Independiente managed to draw in 60% of their last 5 away matches compared to 0% for Lanus at home. This demonstrates Independiente’s resilience even away from home, which could work in their favor.
3. The probability of Independiente winning the match is higher: with a success probability of 37.8% compared to 32.28% for Lanus, Independiente is seen as the favorite in this match, indicating greater value in the bet.
Bet on the exact result
Lanus 1-1 Independiente
1. Since their recent matches, Independiente has been accustomed to drawing away from home. They have drawn in 60% of their last 5 away matches. Furthermore, their recent away scores include many matches ending in a 1-1 draw.
2. Lanus, despite having a potential for home victory, displays a rather weak offensive potential of 14% with an average of 0.4 goals per match in their last 5 home games, which may suggest they could struggle to score more than one goal.
3. Statistics also show that Lanus tends to concede goals at home with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match. Independiente’s defensive potential away from home is also quite high at 29%, indicating they could well score a goal. The probability of both teams scoring is also close to 50%, supporting the prediction of a 1-1 draw.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Lanus, at home, has shown recent poor form with only one win in the last 5 matches. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6.
Independiente, away from home, also has delicate form with only one win in the last 5 away matches. However, they appear more solid in defense with 5 goals conceded and 5 scored.
Lanus has an offensive potential of 14% and defensive potential of 43%. They score an average of 0.4 goals per home match and concede an average of 1.2 goals.
On the other hand, Independiente has an offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 29% in their away matches. They score an average of 1 goal per match and concede 0.8 goals.
The probabilities suggest that Independiente has a higher chance of winning (37.8%) than Lanus (32.28%) with respective odds of 3.00 and 2.60. The draw is at 2.88 with a probability of 29.92%.
The probability of having less than 1.5 goals in the match is at 2.25. More than 1.5 goals is more likely with odds of 1.62 and a probability of 66.93%.
Regarding both teams to score, the probability is quite balanced. There’s a 50.39% chance for a ‘Yes’ at 2.26 and 49.61% for a ‘No’ at 1.58.
Taking these data into account, a bet on a low number of goals seems appropriate. Under 2.5 goals in the match is at 1.39, with a high probability of over 3.5 goals at 88.19% with odds of 1.12.
The potential number of goals
In their last 5 home matches, Lanus has one win and 4 losses. Their attacks have resulted in 5 goals, while their defense has conceded 6 goals.
On the visitor’s side, Independiente has one win, 3 draws, and one loss. They have scored 5 goals and conceded the same.
Lanus has a low average of 0.4 goals scored per match at home, while they concede 1.2 goals per match (14% offensive potential and 43% defensive).
Independiente is more balanced away from home with an average of 1 goal scored and 0.8 conceded (36% offensive and 29% defensive).
The match has a 32.28% chance of Lanus winning (odds of 2.60), 29.92% chance of a draw (2.88), and 37.8% chance of Independiente winning (3.00).
There is a favorable chance of less than 4.5 goals in the match (98.43% at odds of 1.03). Between 66.93% and 43.31% chance of more than 1.5 and more than 2.5 goals respectively.
In terms of goal scorers, both teams have a 50.39% chance of scoring (at odds of 2.26).
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, the analysis of team statistics, examination of their recent form, as well as their offensive and defensive performances, indicate that the match between Lanus and Independiente could be tight. However, Independiente’s superior defensive form in their recent away matches, coupled with a slightly higher offensive potential, suggests they might be more likely to win this match. Furthermore, given both teams’ tendency to be involved in low-scoring matches, the bet “Under 2.5 goals in the match” seems like a solid betting option. The specific goal scorer remains uncertain given the low offensive potential of both teams and balanced odds for the “Both teams to score” bet. Overall, it is advised to bet on Independiente with a scoreline of 1-1 for this Argentine Professional League match.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Lanus against Independiente on 19/10/2024
1. Independiente has a better defensive performance when playing away: Independiente has conceded fewer goals than Lanus in their last 5 away matches (0.8 goals on average per match compared to 1.2 for Lanus at home), indicating superior defensive solidity.
2. Independiente’s offensive potential is superior to that of Lanus: Indeed, on average, Independiente scores more goals away from home (1 goal on average per match) than Lanus does at home (0.4 goals on average per match), demonstrating a more effective attack.
3. The overall statistics favor Independiente: According to the given probabilities, Independiente has a higher chance of winning the match (37.8% compared to 32.28% for Lanus). Furthermore, the probability of the match ending in a draw or an Independiente victory is higher (67.72%).
Live Match: Get all the details about the Lanus vs Independiente match!
To not miss anything from the Lanus vs Independiente match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 19/10/2024 in the Liga Profesional live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Lanus vs Independiente
Lineups Lanus
Lineups Independiente
Match Highlights Lanus vs Independiente on 19/10/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Lanus vs Independiente match on 19/10/2024 at Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Lanus and Independiente
All statistics for the match between Lanus and Independiente will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Lanus against Independiente!
Form state of Lanus in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Lanus has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Lanus has a form rating of %.
Form state of Independiente in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Independiente has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Independiente has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Lanus against Independiente!
Average goals scored by Lanus in the current season.
Goals scored by Lanus in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Lanus
Lanus has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Lanus in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Lanus
Lanus has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Independiente in the current season
Goals scored by Independiente in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Independiente
Independiente has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Independiente in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Independiente
Independiente has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Lanus and Independiente, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Lanus vs Independiente: Probabilities for the outcome
1. Defensively, both teams have shown solidity in their recent matches, with Lanus conceding an average of only 1.2 goals at home and Independiente conceding just 0.8 goals away. This could limit the total number of goals scored in the match.
2. From an offensive perspective, neither Lanus nor Independiente are particularly prolific at scoring goals, with respective averages of 0.4 and 1 goal per match, which could also limit the total number of goals scored.
3. Recent match statistics for both teams also show a tendency towards low scores, with several matches ending goalless or with a single goal scored.
Forecast results from winflix for Lanus and Independiente!
The last 5 winning predictions für Lanus
The last 5 winning predictions für Independiente
How do I find the best forecast for Lanus Independiente?
Finding a forecast for the Lanus Independiente match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Lanus Independiente on 19/10/2024 in Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez are the team's past performance in the Liga Profesional, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Lanus at home and Independiente away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 19/10/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Lanus and Independiente on 19/10/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Liga Profesional, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanus could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Lanus and Independiente, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Lanus and the away win rate of Independiente, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 19/10/2024!
The individual performances of players from Lanus and Independiente can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 19/10/2024 at Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Lanus and Independiente, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Lanus or Independiente on 19/10/2024.
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