Tipps Patriotas Envigado Primera A 07/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Patriotas Boyaca wins the match.

1. In terms of their home and away performance, Patriotas Boyaca has a better performance, offering a 50% probability of winning the match and a 20% probability of a draw, while Envigado FC has only a 20% probability of winning the match and 40% for a draw.

2. Analysis of offensive and defensive potential shows that Patriotas Boyaca is superior. At home, they score an average of 1 goal per match with an offensive potential of 36%, while Envigado FC scores an average of 0.4 goals per match with only a 14% offensive potential.

3. Based on Patriotas Boyaca’s recent home matches, they managed not to lose in two out of five matches, demonstrating their ability to resist opposing teams at home. While Envigado FC’s away performances show that they struggle to win matches, only winning one out of the last five.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Both teams have a low offensive potential with an average of 1 goal per match for Patriotas Boyaca and 0.4 goals for Envigado FC. Fewer goals mean less chances of reaching a total score of over 2.5 goals.
2. Low scores have been recorded in their recent matches both at home and away. For Patriotas Boyaca at home, scores generally indicate less than 2.5 goals per match. For Envigado FC away, except for one match, all other games have had a total score of less than 2.5 goals.
3. Betting statistics show a higher probability for under 2.5 goals in the match with a success rate set at 87.1% for under 3.5 goals, which reinforces the validity of the prediction for under 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The offensive potential of the teams is relatively low, especially for Envigado FC who only scores an average of 0.4 goals per match in their away games.
2. The defensive statistics of Patriotas Boyaca at home and Envigado FC away are relatively high (57%), indicating a tendency for both teams to not concede goals.
3. The recent match history of these two teams shows low scores with several matches where either team did not score. Additionally, the probability of both teams not scoring is 57.53%.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Patriotas Boyaca 1-1 Envigado FC

1. The probability of a draw is quite high for both teams, especially for Envigado FC who has drawn in 40% of their recent away matches, making a 1-1 score more likely.

2. The past performances of both teams in terms of goals scored and conceded suggest that they both have the ability to score and concede. Patriotas Boyaca has an average of 1 goal scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match, while Envigado FC averages 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match. These statistics indicate that both teams are likely to score and concede during the match, leading to a possible 1-1 scoreline.

3. The recent performances of both teams in their previous matches also indicate the possibility of a draw. In the case of Patriotas Boyaca, two out of their last five home matches ended in a draw (0-0 and 1-1), and for Envigado FC, two out of their last five away matches also ended in a draw (0-0 and 1-1). This trend of drawing further strengthens the hypothesis of a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Patriotas Boyaca is relatively stable at home, with 20% of wins and 20% of draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 8.

Envigado FC is not in great form away, with only one win (20%) and two draws (40%) in 5 matches, scoring 5 goals and conceding 7.

On average, Patriotas Boyaca scores 1 goal and concedes 1.6 goals per home match, with an offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 57%. On the contrary, Envigado FC only scores 0.4 goals per away match, and concedes 1.6 goals (offensive potential 14% and defensive potential 57%).

The probabilities suggest that the most likely outcome is a win for Patriotas Boyaca (50%) with odds of 1.95, followed by a draw (31.72% chance) with odds of 3.25. An Envigado FC win is less likely (18.28%) with odds of 4.20.

There is a high probability (63.44%) of the match having over 1.5 goals, with odds of 1.50.

Based on this data, the safest bets seem to be: under 3.5 goals in the match with a probability of 87.1% (odds 1.17) and under 4.5 goals with a probability of 98.39% (odds 1.04).

However, there is a 57.53% probability that both teams will not score, with odds of 1.65.

It is worth noting that Patriotas Boyaca’s recent home matches included two draws, one win, and two losses, while Envigado FC’s away games resulted in two draws, one win, and two losses.

In conclusion, according to the statistics, Patriotas Boyaca seems slightly favored in this match, with a higher probability of scoring. However, a draw or few goals scored also seem likely.

The potential number of goals

Patriotas Boyaca seems to struggle at home, with only a 20% win rate and a goals scored/conceded ratio of 6/8. On the other hand, Envigado FC also doesn’t shine away from home, with only a 20% win rate and a lower number of goals scored compared to conceded, resulting in a ratio of 5/7.

A more detailed analysis of their performance reveals that Patriotas Boyaca scores an average of 1 goal per home match, but concedes 1.6 goals. Their offensive potential is at 36%. Envigado FC, in their away matches, scores much less, only 0.4 goals per match, and also concedes 1.6 goals. Their offensive potential stands at 14%.

The probabilities point clearly towards a victory for Patriotas Boyaca or a draw, with odds of 1.22 for a probability of 81.72%. Furthermore, a match with less than 3.5 goals seems very likely (87.1% success rate) with odds of 1.17.

Based on these elements, one can anticipate a low-scoring match, probably in favor of Patriotas Boyaca or ending in a draw.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on past performances, current statistics, and the offensive and defensive potential of both teams, Patriotas Boyaca has slightly higher chances of winning this match against Envigado FC or ending in a draw. However, given the low offensive potential of both teams, bettors may benefit from betting on a total of goals under 2.5. Additionally, there is a high likelihood that both teams will not score. Therefore, a cautious betting approach could be to bet on a draw or a Patriotas Boyaca win, under 2.5 total goals, and both teams not to score. However, it is important to remember that despite our statistical analysis, the outcome of a football match can be unpredictable – luck and unforeseen events play a part in this sport, adding to the enjoyment and excitement of betting.