Tipps Spartak Trnava FK Sarajevo UEFA Europa Conference League 31/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Spartak Trnava wins the match

1. Recent statistics show that Spartak Trnava has a strong home performance with a 60% win rate and a 40% draw rate, which could give them an edge in this match.

2. On the other hand, FK Sarajevo has shown a mixed away performance with only a 40% win rate and 20% draw rate, indicating they may struggle on the road.

3. In terms of probability percentages, the outcome “Draw or Spartak Trnava wins the match” has the highest probability of occurring (75.69%), confirming Spartak Trnava’s advantage as the home team.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics from Spartak Trnava’s last 5 home matches show an average score of 1.6 goals per game, which is below the 2.5 goals average. Additionally, Trnava has a low offensive potential of only 14%, reducing the likelihood of many goals.

2. Similarly, FK Sarajevo has scored an average of only 0.8 goals per game in their last five away matches. This also suggests a low-scoring match, supported by their offensive potential of only 29%.

3. Both teams tend to play more defensively, as reflected in their defensive percentages of 71% for Trnava and 57% for Sarajevo. Matches involving such teams typically result in fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Defensive performance: Spartak Trnava has a 71% defensive potential at home, showing a strong defensive performance. In addition, FK Sarajevo concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match away from home. It is therefore likely that at least one of the two teams will not score.

2. Offensive performance: Spartak Trnava has a weak offensive potential at home, scoring an average of only 0.4 goals per match. FK Sarajevo has slightly more offensive potential away from home with an average of 0.8 goals per match, but it is still quite low.

3. Analysis of past scores: The last home matches of Spartak Trnava have seen two matches where they failed to score, while FK Sarajevo also failed to score in two of its last five away matches. These historical data reinforce the prediction that both teams will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or FK Sarajevo wins the match – 1.70

Bet on the exact result

Spartak Trnava 1-1 FK Sarajevo

1. Past Statistics: Based on the results of their recent matches, both teams have shown the ability to score goals and concede them as well. Past statistics indicate that Spartak Trnava has a strong tendency to draw at home (40% of the time) and FK Sarajevo to score at least 1 goal away.

2. Probabilities: The forecast for a draw has a success probability of 30.39%, which is relatively high. Furthermore, the probabilities suggest that both teams have a high likelihood of not scoring more than one goal, with “Under 2.5 goals in the match” at 1.65.

3. Offensive and Defensive Potential: The offensive and defensive potential of both teams appears balanced. On average, Spartak Trnava scores 0.4 goals per home match and concedes 2 goals, while FK Sarajevo scores 0.8 goals per away match and concedes 1.6 goals. Therefore, predicting a 1-1 score is logical.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Spartak Trnava has a strong home record. They have won 60% of their matches and drawn 40%. Goal difference: 8 scored, 8 conceded. Offensive potential needs improvement though.

FK Sarajevo has an average away record. Only 40% wins and 20% draws. 7 goals scored against 9 conceded reveal a defensive weakness.

The odds indicate a higher chance of victory for Spartak Trnava, with a 45.3% probability.

The match could be low-scoring. Statistics suggest fewer than 2.5 goals with a 91.16% probability. A key consideration for bettors.

Trnava’s recent home performances show mixed results, with notable wins but also defeats.

FK Sarajevo also has a mixed away record, with some wins but also heavy defeats.

In final prediction, a home win for Spartak Trnava seems likely. However, both teams only score in 44.75% of cases.

The potential number of goals

Spartak Trnava, at home, showed resilience. The team wins 60% of matches, with 8 goals scored and 8 conceded in 5 matches. Offensive and defensive potential respectively at 14% and 71%.

FK Sarajevo, away, wins less, with 40% of victories. 7 goals scored, 9 conceded. Offense and defense at 29% and 57% respectively.

Spartak Trnava is more likely to win this match, with a probability of 45.3%. Let’s not forget the possibility of a draw estimated at 30.39%.

As for goals, there is a high probability of less than 3.5 goals, at 91.16%. A match with over 1.5 goals is also very likely, at 68.51%.

Spartak Trnava’s recent home matches show an ability to win, even by narrow margins. FK Sarajevo, away, shows more variation in its results.

Friendly reminder: sports betting involves risks.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Spartak Trnava and FK Sarajevo appears to be leaning towards the local team, Spartak Trnava, who have shown a strong performance at home. However, it is important to note that the match may not be high-scoring, as indicated by the statistics of under 2.5 goals. Furthermore, the likelihood of both teams not scoring increases due to the lack of proven offensive potential from each team. The bet with interesting value seems to be a draw or FK Sarajevo to win the match.

Despite these statistical advantages, it is essential to remember that a football match is unpredictable, and statistics are merely guides, not guaranteeing systematic winnings. It is advisable to bet responsibly, relying not only on statistics but also on a precise understanding of the teams, players, and match conditions. Sports betting carries risks, including the loss of the initial stake, and should not be the sole decision criterion for following a sports event.