Tipps Sweden Serbia Matchs amicaux 08/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Sweden wins the match

1. Sweden has a positive track record of home wins in their last 5 matches with a win rate of 80%. Furthermore, Sweden shows a better offensive performance at home with an average of 1.4 goals per match.
2. Serbia has a low win rate when playing away with only 20% of wins in their last 5 matches. Their offensive performance is also weaker with an average of only 0.8 goals per match.
3. The prediction “Draw or Sweden wins the match” has a success probability of 62.3%, which is relatively high compared to the prediction “Serbia wins the match” which has a success probability of 37.7%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent performance statistics show a low average number of goals per match for both teams. Sweden scores an average of 1.4 goals per home match and Serbia scores an average of 0.8 goals per away match. This does not encourage predicting a high-scoring match.
2. Their defensive performances are also strong, with Sweden conceding an average of 1.8 goals per home match and Serbia also conceding an average of 1.8 goals per away match. This further hampers the chances of a high-scoring match.
3. Looking at the five most recent home matches of Sweden and the five most recent away matches of Serbia, a low number of goals is predominantly observed (less than 2.5 goals in most games). These recent precedents further support the prediction of fewer than 2.5 goals for this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Statistically, Sweden’s home offense is quite efficient with an average of 1.4 goals per game. This clearly shows they have a scoring ability in every match, providing the initial justification for the prediction that both teams will score.

2. Despite a slightly lower performance on the road, Serbia has also shown their ability to score with an average of 0.8 goals per game in their recent away matches. This further strengthens the argument that both teams have the potential to score in this match.

3. Analyzing the recent results of both teams shows that they both tend to concede goals, with Sweden conceding 12 goals in their last 5 home matches and Serbia conceding 5 goals in their last 5 away matches. This trend of conceding goals increases the likelihood that both teams will score in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Serbia wins the match – 63.87% chance of success: 1.50

Bet on the exact result

Sweden 2-1 Serbia

1. Home and away performance history: Sweden has won 80% of their recent home matches, showcasing a strong home performance. In comparison, Serbia has a weaker away performance, with only 20% of wins in their last 5 away matches.

2. Average goals scored and conceded: Sweden on average scores more goals per match (1.4) than Serbia (0.8) when playing away. Additionally, Sweden does not concede more goals on average than Serbia when playing away (1.8).

3. Various probabilities: More than 2.5 goals in the match have a success probability of 54.45%, indicating chances of a 2-1 scoreline. Furthermore, both teams to score have a success probability of 61.26%, also supporting a 2-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sweden has shown good performance at home with an 80% win rate. In total, they have scored 9 goals at home in 5 matches.

The Swedish defense has conceded 12 goals, which averages to 1.8 goals per match.

Serbia, when playing away, also concedes an average of 1.8 goals per match. They have only won 20% of their games.

Their offense, with only 0.8 goals per match on average, is less impressive than Sweden’s.

Probabilities slightly favor Serbia to win, with a success rate of 37.7% or odds of 2.60.

Although both Sweden and Serbia have strong defensive potentials at 64%, Sweden’s offense is more potent, with a performance of 50% compared to Serbia’s 29%.

Both teams are likely to score with a probability of 61.26%, which equates to odds of 1.66.

The prediction leans towards more than 1.5 goals in the match with a 76.44% chance, or odds of 1.28.

Recent matches show that Sweden tends to win against weaker teams at home and that Serbia struggles away.

In conclusion, considering these statistics could lead to a prediction of over 1.5 goals in this match and a win for Sweden at home.

The potential number of goals

Sweden is strong at home, winning 80% of their recent matches. They have conceded more goals than they have scored, with a ratio of 9 goals scored against 12 goals conceded. Their offensive success rate is 50% and defensive success rate is 64%.

On the other hand, Serbia away from home is less impressive, winning only 20% of their matches. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 5. Their attacking potential is at 29% and their defense is at 64%.

The probability of a Swedish victory in the match is 36.13%, while the chances of a draw are 26.18%. Serbia has a 37.7% chance of winning the match.

Regarding the total number of goals, there is a 76.44% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match and a 54.45% chance of there being more than 2.5 goals. Each team has a 61.26% probability of scoring in the match.

Sweden’s recent home matches against Albania, Estonia, and Moldova have been successful, although Sweden lost to Austria. On the other hand, Serbia has had mixed results away from home, with losses against Austria, Russia, Belgium, and Hungary, and a victory against Cyprus.

Overall, Sweden seems to have the edge, with stronger performances at home and a consistent scoring record. However, Serbia’s defensive ability could contribute to a lower-than-average total number of goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the overall information and statistics previously analyzed, we can conclude that Sweden has an advantage over Serbia in this match, with a strong home winning rate and higher offensive performance. However, Serbia should not be underestimated, as their defensive performance could pose problems for the Swedish offense.

In terms of betting, the prediction “Draw or Sweden wins the match” seems promising, with a success probability of 62.3%. The bet “Under 2.5 goals in the match” is also interesting, supported by the recent performances of both teams. The bet “Both teams to score: Yes” could be a valid option, given both teams’ tendency to concede goals.

Nevertheless, despite Sweden’s strong home performance, the bet “Draw or Serbia wins the match” seems to offer an interesting value bet, with an estimated success probability of 63.87%. Finally, if you prefer betting on the final score, “Sweden 2-1 Serbia” could be an option to consider, taking into account the average goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Overall, this match looks interesting and could provide good opportunities in terms of sports betting. However, it is always recommended to approach betting with caution and never bet more than you are willing to lose. Good luck!