Tipps The New Saints Aberystwyth Town Premier League 03/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on this data, taking into account recent performances and provided statistics, my prediction for this match would be: Aberystwyth Town wins the match or a draw.

1. The performances of both teams are quite similar in their last 5 matches, with Aberystwyth Town and The New Saints both winning in 40% of cases and drawing in 20% of cases. Our data shows that Aberystwyth Town has scored 6 goals and conceded 7 goals, while The New Saints have scored 9 goals and conceded 9 goals. Therefore, the probability of Aberystwyth Town winning the match or drawing is quite plausible.

2. Aberystwyth Town’s offensive and defensive statistics are superior to those of The New Saints. Aberystwyth Town has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 50%, while The New Saints have an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 14%. This suggests that Aberystwyth Town has better chances of scoring, reinforcing the idea that they could win the match or draw.

3. When examining the results of previous encounters, Aberystwyth Town appears to be in better form away from home compared to The New Saints at home. Aberystwyth Town’s recent away matches have resulted in two wins, one loss, and one draw. In contrast, The New Saints have experienced two losses, two draws, and one win in their last home matches. This recent trend suggests that Aberystwyth Town has a good chance of winning or drawing.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The recent home performances of The New Saints show a trend towards low-scoring matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per match. Additionally, they also concede very few goals: an average of 0.4.
2. Looking at Aberystwyth Town’s away matches, they score an average of 1.8 goals and concede 1.4 goals per match. Once again, this statistic hints at a low-scoring match.
3. The probabilities also indicate a high likelihood of fewer than 3.5 goals being scored and both teams not scoring, supporting the hypothesis of a low-scoring match, and therefore fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The New Saints’ impressive home defensive performance, conceding only an average of 0.4 goals per match, significantly reduces Aberystwyth Town’s chances of scoring.
2. Despite averaging 1.8 goals per match away from home, Aberystwyth Town has failed to score in two of its last five away matches (against Newtown AFC and Pontypridd Town). It appears that the team struggles to score in certain away matches.
3. Despite averaging 1.4 goals per match at home for The New Saints, the team has been unable to score in two of its last five home matches (against Panevėžys and Petrocub). This suggests some inconsistency in their ability to score at home.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

“The New Saints 2-1 Aberystwyth Town”

1. The New Saints’ home performance: In their last 5 home matches, The New Saints have shown their defensive efficiency, conceding only 0.4 goals per match on average, increasing the chances that the score will not exceed 1 for Aberystwyth Town.

2. Aberystwyth Town’s away performance: Despite an average of 1.8 goals scored per match away from home, Aberystwyth Town also has an average of 1.4 goals conceded. This indicates a certain vulnerability in defense that could be exploited by The New Saints.

3. Match history: When looking at The New Saints’ recent home matches and Aberystwyth Town’s away matches, a 2-1 scoreline seems plausible. The New Saints have scored 2 or more goals in 2 of their last 5 home matches. Additionally, Aberystwyth Town has conceded at least 1 goal in 4 of their last 5 away matches.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The New Saints have shown strength at home, with a victory in 40% of cases and a draw in 20% of cases. They have scored 9 goals, at the same rate as they have conceded.

Aberystwyth Town is also solid away from home, showing a similar performance with a victory in 40% of cases and a draw in 20% of cases. However, they have scored fewer goals (6) but also conceded fewer (7).

From an offensive standpoint at home, The New Saints have a 50% efficiency with an average of 1.4 goals per match, while Aberystwyth Town is more efficient away with an average of 1.8 goals per match and a 64% efficiency.

Defensively, The New Saints are strong at home, conceding only 0.4 goals per match (defensive efficiency of 14%), while Aberystwyth Town concedes 1.4 goals on average away from home (defensive efficiency of 50%).

Even though the success probabilities for each match outcome are not available, the data indicates generally low scores from both sides. Therefore, it is likely that there will be less than 3.5 goals in the match (probability of 100%) and that both teams will not score (probability of 100%).

Considering the last five matches of each team, we can see The New Saints’ consistency in getting results at home, with victories against Flint Town United and Dečić. Aberystwyth Town, on the other hand, has secured victories away against Colwyn Bay and a draw against Pontypridd Town.

This match could therefore result in a tight game with few goals.

The potential number of goals

The New Saints and Aberystwyth Town have been performing equally recently, with both having 40% of wins. The New Saints have an average of 1.4 goals per match at home, but their defense is solid, conceding only 0.4 goals. Aberystwyth scores a bit more away, averaging 1.8 goals, but also concedes more with 1.4 goals. Their offensive and defensive potentials are 50% and 14% for The Saints, and 64% and 50% for Aberystwyth.

Moving on to the recent matches of each team: The Saints had two consecutive goalless draws, but then scored 5 times against Flint Town United. Aberystwyth experienced wins and losses away, conceding 4 goals against Newtown AFC but scoring 2 goals twice against Colwyn Bay.

According to our information, the prediction for this match remains uncertain as the probabilities are not determined, but one thing is certain: both teams will not score with a probability of 100%. Moreover, there will be less than 3.5 or 4.5 goals in the match with a success probability of 100%. Therefore, a low-scoring match with few goals and a high possibility of only one team, or none, scoring is expected.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, considering the recent performances of both teams, their offensive and defensive efficiency, as well as the trends from previous matches, it is not easy to predict a clear winner. However, it seems possible that Aberystwyth Town will win the match or draw based on advanced statistics. Additionally, given the low-scoring performances of both teams, the match is likely to be closely contested with a probable number of goals under 3.5 and the possibility of both teams not scoring.

Taking into account these parameters, along with recent match data and both teams’ home and away performances, an exact score of 2-1 in favor of The New Saints is a plausible outcome.

These analyses are based on statistics, but it is important to note that sports betting involves an element of randomness that can always bring surprises. It is therefore advised to bet moderately and with awareness of the risks involved.