Tipps A. Italiano Cobresal Primera Division 30/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or A. Italiano wins the match

1. A. Italiano’s home performance has been solid, with 80% of their last 5 matches ending in a draw. This suggests that they are tough to beat on their own turf.

2. Cobresal’s away performances have been poor, with none of their last 5 matches won. This, combined with A. Italiano’s strong draw rate at home, strengthens the possibility of a draw or A. Italiano win.

3. The odds for this prediction are favorable. The probability of A. Italiano winning the match or it ending in a draw is 72.63%. This probability is significantly higher than that of a Cobresal victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. In their last 5 matches, A. Italiano and Cobresal have not shown much offensive dynamism. A. Italiano has scored 4 goals at home and Cobresal 3 goals away, highlighting a weakness in these teams’ goal-scoring abilities.

2. Their defensive performances seem quite good, with A. Italiano conceding 5 goals at home and Cobresal away in their last 5 matches. This indicates that both teams are tough to break down and could potentially cancel each other out in this match.

3. Advanced statistics show that matches involving these two teams tend to be low-scoring. Betting on under 2.5 goals in the match seems logical, with odds of 1.87, indicating a high probability of fewer than 2.5 goals. The low average of goals scored and conceded per match by both teams reinforces this argument.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have a similar offensive potential (36%) and tend to score at least 1 goal per match on average in their last 5 games.
2. A. Italiano has always conceded at least one goal in their last 5 home games, and Cobresal has also scored in most of their recent away games.
3. The probability of both teams scoring is quite high at 61.05% according to the available statistics.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

A. Italiano 1-1 Cobresal

1. Home and Away Team Performance: A. Italiano has drawn in 80% of their last 5 home games, while Cobresal has drawn in 20% of their last 5 away games. This indicates a high probability that neither team will be able to defeat the other.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Both A. Italiano and Cobresal have averaged 1 goal scored per game in their last 5 matches at home and away respectively. Additionally, A. Italiano has conceded an average of 1 goal per game at home and Cobresal has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game away. These statistics suggest that both teams have the ability to score goals but also to concede them, reinforcing the likelihood of a 1-1 draw.

3. Goal Statistics: There is a 76.32% probability of more than 1.5 goals in the match and a 78.95% probability of less than 3.5 goals in the match. A 1-1 score clearly falls between these two limits, confirming an exact score prediction of 1-1 between A. Italiano and Cobresal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

A. Italiano, at home, has a record of 80% draws and no wins. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5. Cobresal, away, has not won and only drawn in 20% of cases with 3 goals scored and 5 conceded.

Both teams show similar offensive and defensive capabilities. A. Italiano scores and concedes 1 goal per match on average, while Cobresal scores 1 goal but concedes 1.6 per match.

Statistics predict a potential win for A. Italiano at 42.11% with odds of 2.10, while Cobresal has a chance of winning at 27.37% with odds of 3.30.

The most likely outcome is either a draw or a win for A. Italiano, with a combined probability of 72.63%. The odds are 1.33.

Most statistics suggest a match with under 3.5 goals, with a probability of 78.95%. The odds for this are 1.33.

An interesting possibility could be both teams scoring, with a probability of 61.05% and odds of 1.75.

In summary, based on recent performances and offensive/defensive capabilities, A. Italiano seems to have the advantage at home. However, a low-scoring match and potentially a draw or a win for A. Italiano seem to be the most probable outcomes.

The potential number of goals

A. Italiano struggles defensively at home, conceding an average of 1 goal per match. They have not won in their last 5 matches. Their defensive potential is at 36%.

Cobresal scores an average of 1 goal away from home but concedes more, with an average of 1.6 goals per match. They also have not won in their last 5 matches. Their defensive potential stands at 57%.

Both teams have a similar offensive potential of 36%.

The most likely outcome is either a draw or a win for A. Italiano with a 72.63% chance.

The number of goals is likely to be under 4.5 with a probability of 94.21%.

There is a 61.05% chance of both teams scoring.

Recent performances of both teams suggest a close match. A. Italiano’s last five home matches produced scores of 2, 0, 2, 0, and 0. Cobresal’s last five away matches yielded scores of 0, 0, 2, 0, and 1.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this prediction suggests that it would be wise to place a bet on a draw or a victory for A. Italiano, with a combined probability of 72.63%. A bet on under 2.5 goals in the match also seems logical given the offensive and defensive performances of both teams. It can also be anticipated that both teams will score, strengthened by a probability of 61.05%. Finally, an interesting bet to consider would be on the exact score, predicted at 1-1, considering the recent performances and goal statistics of both teams. However, every bettor should take these information into account based on their risk assessment and betting strategy. This is what makes sports betting so exciting and unpredictable.