Tipps A. Italiano O'Higgins Primera Division 01/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

A. Italiano wins the match

1. General statistics favoring A. Italiano: According to the win percentages, A. Italiano has a 48.92% probability of winning the match when playing at home, which is higher than O’Higgins’ win probability when playing away (40%).

2. A. Italiano’s superior defensive potential: When playing at home, A. Italiano has a defensive potential of 36% compared to O’Higgins’ 29% away. This indicates that A. Italiano has a defensive advantage, mitigating the risk of conceding goals.

3. Home record: A. Italiano has won three of their last five home matches, proving their strength on their own turf. In comparison, O’Higgins has lost three of their last five away matches, showing some vulnerability in games away from home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The recent performances of both teams show a trend towards low scores. Indeed, A. Italiano and O’Higgins have respectively scored an average of 1.2 goals per match in their last 5 home and away games.

2. Furthermore, the defensive statistics of both teams indicate that they concede few goals. A. Italiano has an average of 1 goal conceded per home match, and O’Higgins concedes an average of 0.8 goals per away match. These numbers suggest a potentially tight match with few goals.

3. The probabilities of specific match results also support the prediction of less than 2.5 goals in the match. The probability of this scenario is 79.03%, with odds of 1.78. Comparatively, the probability of over 2.5 goals in the match is lower, at 50.54%.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent history of matches between these two teams shows that they both have a similar offensive potential, averaging 1.2 goals per game. This demonstrates that they both have the ability to score during matches.

2. Both teams have shown some defensive weaknesses in their recent matches, with A. Italiano conceding 7 goals in their last 5 home games, and O’Higgins also conceding 7 goals in their last 5 away games. This indicates a certain defensive vulnerability that could allow each team to score.

3. Recent matches at home for A. Italiano and away for O’Higgins have often seen both teams scoring. For example, in the match A. Italiano vs Everton de Vina, the score was 1-2, and the same goes for the match A. Italiano against U. Catolica and the match Deportes Iquique against O’Higgins. These past matches indicate a pattern where both teams have the ability to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

A. Italiano 1-1 O’Higgins

1. The statistics show that both teams score an average of 1.2 goals per match, which exactly corresponds to the predicted score of 1-1.
2. The last five home matches of A. Italiano and away matches of O’Higgins reveal that these teams often have close scores of 1-1. In particular, A. Italiano drew 1-1 with Union Espanola and O’Higgins drew 1-1 with Everton de Vina.
3. The probability of the match ending in a draw is 20.97%, which is relatively low, but when combined with each team’s offensive efficiency and their recent match statistics, it supports the prediction of a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

A. Italiano has a good home record with 40% of wins and an equal amount of draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 6 goals but also conceded 7, indicating a slightly leaky defense.

O’Higgins is also not far behind with 40% of wins away and 20% of draws. Like A. Italiano, they have scored 6 goals but conceded 7 as well.

There seems to be parity in attack with an average of 1.2 goals per match for both teams. However, O’Higgins appears to be stronger defensively with an average of 0.8 goals conceded per match compared to 1 for A. Italiano.

The probability of A. Italiano winning the match is 48.92%, while O’Higgins stands at 30.11%. A draw seems less likely at 20.97%.

The match offers a strong chance of more than 1.5 goals (74.73% probability) and an even probability of both teams scoring (50%).

Based on recent performances, the match seems open with a slight edge for A. Italiano due to their home performance. However, watch out for O’Higgins’ defense which could make the difference.

The potential number of goals

A. Italiano seems to have a good performance at home, with a victory in 40% of cases and a draw also in 40% of situations. They have scored 6 goals in 5 matches, showing a moderate offensive performance.

O’Higgins, when playing away, is not far behind with 40% of their away matches won. They have also scored 6 goals in 5 matches, displaying an adequate attacking ability.

Defensively, both A. Italiano and O’Higgins have conceded 7 goals in their last 5 matches. A. Italiano has a defensive potential of 36%, while O’Higgins is slightly lower at 29%.

Despite almost similar performance, the match seems to lean in favor of A. Italiano with a win probability of 48.92%. Both teams have a 50% probability of scoring, which could result in a match with over 1.5 goals (74.73% probability).

So, if I were to bet, I would bet on a win for A. Italiano or a draw, with over 1.5 total goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between A. Italiano and O’Higgins presents several interesting opportunities for bettors. Considering the statistics, recent trends, and analysis of the offensive and defensive potential of each team, it appears that the safest bet would be a victory for A. Italiano or a draw, with less than 2.5 goals scored in total.

Furthermore, it is also likely that both teams will score at least one goal each, as suggested by their recent matches. However, for those looking to take a calculated risk, betting on “Over 2.5 goals in the match” could offer an interesting value bet, despite the higher risk involved.

It is important to note that these predictions are based on statistical analysis and trends, but football being an unpredictable sport, one must always be prepared for surprises. Good luck to all the bettors for this exciting Primera División match.