Tipps A. Italiano Palestino Primera Division 02/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or A. Italiano wins the match.

1. A. Italiano’s home performance: In its last 5 home matches, A. Italiano has won or drawn in 80% of cases. This statistic shows a strong tendency towards a draw if they do not win at home.

2. Palestino’s away performance: Palestino has a poor away performance with only a 20% win rate in its last 5 away matches. Furthermore, with an offensive potential of only 21%, Palestino’s chances of winning are reduced.

3. Betting probabilities: With a probability of 70.16% for “Draw or A. Italiano wins the match”, the option to bet on this outcome is the safest based on the provided probabilities.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics of goals scored and conceded: At home A. Italiano scores an average of 1.6 goals per match and concedes 1.4. Away, Palestino scores 0.6 goals per match and concedes 1.4. This suggests that both teams tend to have low-scoring matches.

2. Recent performances: Looking at the last 5 matches, A. Italiano scored 5 goals (an average of 1 goal per match) and Palestino scored 5 goals (an average of 1 goal per match). These scores also suggest a tendency for low-scoring matches.

3. Betting probabilities: The bookmaker indicates a higher probability for “under 2.5 goals in the match” with odds of 1.78, which seems consistent with the first two arguments.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. In their last 5 matches, both A. Italiano and Palestino have shown a consistent ability to score goals (A. Italiano has scored 5 goals at home and Palestino has scored 5 goals away). It is likely that both teams will continue this trend and score in the match.

2. A. Italiano has a home offensive potential of 57% and Palestino has an away offensive potential of 21%, giving A. Italiano a slight advantage in scoring during the match. However, the defensive potential of each team is quite high (50% for each), suggesting that both teams could concede goals.

3. Statistics indicate that the match could be relatively balanced, with a 30.89% probability of a draw and relatively close win probabilities for both teams (39.27% for A. Italiano and 29.84% for Palestino). A close match could increase the chances for each team to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

“A. Italiano 1-1 Palestino” translates to “A. Italiano 1-1 Palestino” in English.

1. The frequency of draws: In its last 5 home matches, A. Italiano has drawn in 80% of cases, showing a tendency for this team to equalize with its opponents on their turf.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: At home, A. Italiano has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 50%. In comparison, Palestino has an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 50% away. These scores suggest a tight match, making it likely that both teams can score a goal each.

3. Odds given for the total score of the match: The odds suggest that it is much more likely that there will be less than 3.5 goals in the match with a success probability of 83.25%, corresponding to the exact predicted score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

A. Italiano has struggled at home recently, with no wins in their last 5 matches. They managed to score 5 goals during this time, while conceding 8. Draws account for 80% of their home results.

On the other hand, Palestino does not have an excellent record away from home, with only a 20% win rate and the same number of draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored and conceded the same number of goals: 5.

Analyzing the goal performance, A. Italiano has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match at home and conceded 1.4. Palestino, away, has only scored 0.6 goals per match on average, but has also conceded 1.4 goals per match.

The odds slightly favor A. Italiano to win the match at 39.27%. The draw is at 30.89%, while Palestino’s victory has 29.84% odds. However, there is a 74.87% probability that more than 1.5 goals will be scored in the match, even though A. Italiano’s recent home matches have mostly seen more than 2.5 goals. Furthermore, a 55.5% probability of both teams scoring is noted.

In conclusion, considering the recent performances of both teams, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw with more than 1.5 goals scored.

The potential number of goals

A. Italiano struggles at home. In 5 matches, they have scored 5 times but conceded 8 goals, and have not won any match. Draws have been the most frequent outcome at 80%. Palestine performs slightly better away from home with only one victory (20%) and one draw (20%). They have also scored and conceded 5 goals.

In terms of offensive potential, A. Italiano is stronger with 57% compared to Palestine’s 21%. However, their defensive potential is the same at 50%.

Based on the probabilities, a draw or a win for A. Italiano is more likely (70.16%) compared to a draw or a win for Palestine (60.73%). The probability of more than 1.5 goals being scored in the match is 74.87%, while the probability of less than 3.5 goals is 83.25%.

Previous performances of A. Italiano at home show difficulty in winning. They have lost 4 of their last 5 matches. Palestino away from home also struggles, winning only once in their last 5 away trips.

In conclusion, a draw or a win for A. Italiano seems probable. There is a high likelihood that less than 3.5 goals will be scored in the match. Moreover, both teams are likely to score based on their previous performances.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account recent performances, goals scored and conceded statistics, as well as provided probabilities and odds, the most plausible forecast for the match between A. Italiano and Palestino appears to be a draw or a win for A. Italiano.

Furthermore, the data suggests a trend towards low-scoring matches for both teams, strongly hinting at a total of under 3.5 goals scored in the match. Lastly, based on their past performances, it is likely that both teams will score during the match.

Overall, while sports betting always involves a certain level of risk, the available information and statistics indicate that the most probable outcome would be a draw or a victory for A. Italiano, with under 3.5 goals scored. That being said, as always, it is recommended for bettors to consider all relevant factors and to bet responsibly.