Tipps A. Italiano Union La Calera Primera Division 15/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or A. Italiano wins the match

1. Over their last 5 home matches, A. Italiano has shown a stronger tendency to draw or win, with 100% of matches ending this way. They also have a defensive potential of 50%, indicating they have a good ability to resist the opponent’s offensive play.

2. Union La Calera, on the other hand, has a lower tendency to win or draw in their away matches, with only 80% of matches ending in this manner. Additionally, their defensive potential of 36% is lower than that of A. Italiano, suggesting a potential weakness in defense during away matches.

3. In terms of probabilities, the forecast “draw or A. Italiano wins” has a significantly higher success probability at 73.77%, compared to 56.83% for “draw or Union La Calera wins.” This suggests that the statistics strongly support the outcome where A. Italiano wins or draws.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Recent statistics for A. Italiano at home and Union La Calera away show a weak trend in scoring goals. A. Italiano has scored an average of 0.4 goals per match at home while Union La Calera has scored an average of 0.6 goals per match away in their last 5 matches.

2. Based on the recent matches of A. Italiano at home and Union La Calera away, the total number of goals has always been less than 2.5, reinforcing the hypothesis of a low-scoring match.

3. The success probabilities clearly show a trend in favor of “Under 2.5 goals in the match” with a percentage of 84.15% for “Under 3.5 goals in the match” and 97.81% for “Under 4.5 goals in the match”.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: No

1. A. Italiano has a weak offensive performance, scoring on average only 0.4 goals per home match. This means it is more likely that they will fail to score during the match.

2. Union La Calera has a strong defensive performance on the road, conceding on average only one goal per match. This indicates they have the potential to prevent A. Italiano from scoring during the match.

3. Looking at the match histories, it is common for either team to fail to score. In their last 5 matches, A. Italiano failed to score in 60% of the cases, and the same can be said for Union La Calera in 40% of the cases. These trends suggest it is quite likely that either side will fail to score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Union La Calera wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

A. Italiano 1-1 Union La Calera

1. The statistics of these two teams show a trend towards lower scores. With A. Italiano averaging 0.4 goals per home match and Union La Calera averaging 0.6 goals per away match, a 1-1 scoreline is a plausible prediction.

2. A. Italiano has a strong tendency towards draws at home, with an average of 80% in their last 5 matches. Considering this, a draw is a plausible outcome to consider.

3. Union La Calera has shown a strong defensive performance away from home, conceding an average of 1 goal per match. This indicates that they are capable of withstanding A. Italiano’s offensive threat, making a draw a likely result.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

A. Italiano has been struggling at home recently, with only a 20% win rate and 80% draws. Their offensive potential is at 14% by scoring 3 goals, while their defense has shown signs of weakness by also conceding 3 goals.

On the other hand, Union La Calera has shown better performance away from home with a 60% win rate. Their attack is slightly more efficient with 3 goals scored and an equally solid defense, conceding also 3 goals.

The probability of A. Italiano winning the match is 43.17%. The match could also end in a draw, with a probability of 30.6%. Union La Calera has less chance of winning with only 26.23% probability.

In terms of the number of goals, there is a 72.68% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, while there is an 84.15% chance of there being fewer than 3.5 goals. Both teams have a 53.01% chance of scoring.

In summary, the match history of both teams indicates a tight match with a slight advantage for A. Italiano. However, the higher probability of goals could favor Union La Calera, who has shown an ability to score away from home.

The potential number of goals

A. Italiano struggles at home, with only a 20% win rate and 80% draws in the last 5 matches. The record is, however, balanced with 3 goals scored and conceded.

Union La Calera has the upper hand away from home with a 60% win rate. With 3 goals scored and none conceded, their defense is solid.

In terms of potential, A. Italiano is not very offensive with a rate of 14% but boasts a good defense at 50%. Conversely, Union La Calera has a higher offensive rate at 21% but a slight dip in defense at 36%.

In terms of probabilities, A. Italiano is favored at 43.17%. A draw is estimated at 30.6%, while Union La Calera would have a 26.23% chance of winning. The option of a draw or A. Italiano win is the most likely at 73.77%.

In terms of goals, the probability leans towards a match with under 2.5 goals at 1.72, with a majority of under 1.5 goals at 72.68% and under 3.5 goals at 84.15%. Both teams scoring also have a higher likelihood with a 53.01% probability.

Based on this information and the recent match history, a reasonable prediction would be a draw or a win for A. Italiano, with probably fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the analysis and statistics presented, here are the most strategic bets for the match between A. Italiano and Union La Calera. The most likely prediction is either a draw or a win for A. Italiano, given the high rate of draws or wins for the home team. There is a significant probability of a low-scoring match, with a likelihood of less than 2.5 goals. It is less likely that both teams will score, considering their recent offensive and defensive performances.

However, an interesting bet to consider, although risky, would be a win for Union La Calera, offering an attractive value bet given the current odds.

Finally, our prediction for the exact score would be a 1-1 draw, due to the low number of goals typically scored by these two teams. Remember that sports betting always carries a risk and it is advisable to bet responsibly.