Tipps Aalborg Aarhus Superligaen 23/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Aarhus wins the match

1. Aarhus has a higher probability of winning the match with a 50.54% success rate, the highest among all other potential outcomes.
2. Aarhus’ offensive potential away from home is significantly superior to Aalborg’s at home, at 93% versus 36%. This indicates that Aarhus scores many more goals when playing away.
3. In their recent away matches, Aarhus has demonstrated a strong defensive performance by conceding on average only 1 goal per game, while Aalborg concedes an average of 2.4 goals at home. This increases Aarhus’ chances of winning the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The statistics reveal a strong offensive tendency from both teams. Aalborg, at home, scores an average of 1 goal per match and Aarhus, away, scores an average of 2.6 goals per match. As a result, both teams have significant offensive potential.

2. Both Aalborg and Aarhus also have a weak defensive potential. Aalborg concedes an average of 2.4 goals per match at home, while Aarhus concedes an average of 1 goal per match away. Consequently, there is a strong chance that each team will concede at least one goal.

3. Observing the last five matches of each team indicates a very clear tendency to score and concede goals. For example, in the last 5 home matches of Aalborg, the total number of goals per match exceeded 2.5 in 4 matches. Similarly, in the last 5 away matches of Aarhus, the total number of goals per match exceeded 2.5 in 4 matches. This highlights the probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent match statistics show that both teams tend to score in their matches. Specifically, Aalborg has scored in 4 out of their last 5 home matches, and Aarhus has scored in all of their last 5 away matches.

2. The offensive and defensive statistics we have for these two teams are high. For Aalborg at home, they have an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 86%. For Aarhus away, they have an offensive potential of 93% and a defensive potential of 36%. These numbers indicate that both teams have a high likelihood of scoring a goal.

3. Finally, the “Both teams to score” prediction has a success probability of 61.96% based on estimated success probabilities, which is higher than the “Both teams not to score” prediction with a probability of 38.04%.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Aarhus wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Aalborg 1-2 Aarhus

1. Aarhus has a higher attacking potential than Aalborg with 93% against 36% respectively, making it more likely to score at least 2 goals.
2. Aarhus has a 50.54% probability of winning the match, which is higher than Aalborg’s probability of winning the match (22.83%). Therefore, it is likely that Aarhus will score more goals.
3. The probability of both teams scoring is quite high (61.96%), which would be consistent with a scoreline of 1-2, as Aalborg has an average of 1 goal scored at home per match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Aalborg seems less efficient at home recently, with a victory in only 60% of matches. Their home attack only averages one goal per game. The defense appears vulnerable, conceding 2.4 goals per match. Aarhus, on the other hand, shows more strength away by winning 60% of their matches. They have a formidable attack, scoring 2.6 goals per match, and a solid defense, conceding only one goal per match on average. The odds predict that Aarhus has a 50.54% chance of winning. Over 1.5 goals during the match is a favored prediction with a 79.35% probability. Both teams scoring is likely at 61.96%. Based on these statistics, Aarhus seems to be the favorite for this match.

The potential number of goals

Aalborg has been fairly average at home with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches. Perfect equality in terms of goals: 8 scored and 8 conceded.

Aarhus is a strong away team. 3 wins in their last 5 matches, but no draws. Like Aalborg, Aarhus has scored 8 goals but has also conceded 8 goals.

We can say that Aalborg’s offensive strength at home is moderate. An average of one goal per match, but their defensive weaknesses are evident. They concede an average of 2.4 goals per match.

Aarhus is formidable offensively away from home, scoring 2.6 goals per match. Their defense is also solid, conceding only one goal on average per match.

Aarhus has a 50.54% chance of winning, with odds of 1.95. The chance of a draw is 26.63%, with odds of 3.65.

It is likely that more than 1.5 goals will be scored in the match, with a probability of 79.35% and odds of 1.25. On the other hand, the probability of both teams scoring is 61.96%, with odds of 1.65.

Considering these factors, the match seems to lean towards Aarhus, with a high probability of both teams scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, all indications point towards a victory for Aarhus. Recent statistics, match history, the offensive and defensive potential of the teams, everything suggests that Aarhus is in better form and has a higher probability of success against Aalborg. It is also likely that the match will see over 2.5 goals, considering the offensive potential of both teams and their tendency to score and concede goals in their recent matches.

However, it is important to remember that despite all calculations and analyses, a football match always involves a level of uncertainty and unpredictability. Bets should be placed carefully, taking into account all relevant factors, but also being aware that there is never a guarantee of winning. Betting on a victory for Aarhus seems to be the most prudent choice, but considering the inherent risk in any sports bet.