Tipps Aberdeen Motherwell Premiership 27/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Aberdeen wins the match

1. Aberdeen’s home performance: In the last 5 home matches, Aberdeen has won 40% of the matches and drawn 20% of the time. Additionally, they have scored more goals than they have conceded, indicating a good home performance.

2. Aberdeen’s defensive potential: Aberdeen has a defensive potential of 14%, which is lower than Motherwell’s offensive potential away from home. Furthermore, they only concede an average of 0.4 goals per home match, suggesting they have a solid defense.

3. Success probability: Based on the probabilities, there is a 69.95% chance of the match ending in a draw or an Aberdeen win. This probability is higher than Motherwell winning the match or it ending in a draw, indicating a higher likelihood of Aberdeen winning or a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams show a high potential for goals. Aberdeen has scored 7 goals and conceded 9 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Motherwell has scored 11 goals and conceded 14 goals in their last 5 away matches. Both teams have therefore demonstrated an ability to score and a vulnerability in defense.

2. The average goals per match for both teams are above 1. Aberdeen averages 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 goals conceded per match, while Motherwell averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match. These averages suggest that it is likely that at least 3 goals will be scored in the match.

3. Analysis of Aberdeen’s recent home matches and Motherwell’s recent away matches shows that games are often high-scoring. For example, in their last match against Motherwell at home, Aberdeen recorded a 3-3 draw, indicating high levels of offensive activity from both teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent offensive performances: Statistics show that Motherwell has a good average of goals scored in their away matches with 1.4 goals per game, while Aberdeen has scored an average of 0.6 goals per game at home.

2. Recent defensive performances: Both teams tend to concede goals. Motherwell has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per away match, while Aberdeen has conceded an average of 0.4 goals per home match.

3. Recent head-to-head history: The recent meetings between the two teams have seen both teams scoring. For example, their recent encounters ended in a 3 – 3 draw between Aberdeen and Motherwell.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Aberdeen 1-1 Motherwell

1. Statistically speaking, Aberdeen has a strong tendency to draw at home (20% of their last 5 matches). Motherwell also has a 20% draw rate away from home. This trend for both clubs points to a potential scenario of a draw.

2. The average goals scored and conceded per match for each team are also significant factors. Aberdeen has an average of 0.6 goals scored at home per match, while Motherwell has an average of 1.4 goals scored away per match. Both teams also concede more goals than they score, leading to the likelihood of a 1-1 scoreline.

3. The odds highlight a significant probability of a draw (27.98%) and both teams scoring during the match (55.44%). By considering these probabilities and the fact that fewer than 1.5 goals in the match is not favored (3.50 odds), an exact score of 1-1 appears as a realistic possibility.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Aberdeen has an average performance at home. 40% wins and 20% draws in 5 matches. Goals scored are 7, but conceded 9.

Motherwell, on the other hand, has a better momentum away. 60% wins, 1 draw. Total of 11 goals scored and 14 conceded.

The numbers show an average of 0.6 goals for Aberdeen at home, compared to 1.4 for Motherwell away. However, the rate of goals conceded is almost the same: 0.4 against 1.2.

The odds slightly favor Aberdeen with a 41.97% chance of winning (odds: 2.10), compared to 30.05% for Motherwell (odds: 3.40).

There is a higher probability (72.54%) of seeing more than 1.5 goals in the match (odds: 1.30).

There is over a 50% chance that both teams will score. Odds are 1.75.

Recent statistics of both opponents also confirm the trend: most of their recent matches have ended with more than 1.5 goals and both teams have scored.

In summary, betting on “over 1.5 goals” and “both teams to score” could be considered. A potential draw or Aberdeen win could also be envisaged.

The potential number of goals

Aberdeen has an average home record, with only a 40% win rate and an offensive performance of 0.6 goals per match. In contrast, Motherwell shines away from home, winning 60% of their matches and scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match.

Aberdeen has conceded more goals (9) than scored (7) in their last 5 home matches. Their defense (14%) is less effective than their attack (21%). On the other hand, Motherwell has a solid defensive record on the road (43%) but boasts a remarkable offensive prowess (50%).

Regarding the match result, the probabilities favor a draw or an Aberdeen win (69.95%). However, a Motherwell victory should not be overlooked (30.05%).

The number of goals is expected to range from 1.5 to 2.5 according to the probabilities, with a high probability (72.54%) of at least 1.5 goals, and a significant probability (51.81%) of at least 2.5 goals. There’s also a strong likelihood (55.44%) of both teams scoring.

In conclusion, a rather offensive match appears to be on the cards between Aberdeen and Motherwell, with a slight edge for Aberdeen, but a Motherwell win cannot be ruled out.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

After conducting a thorough analysis of recent performances and statistics related to the matches between Aberdeen and Motherwell, several conclusions emerge. Firstly, the home performances of Aberdeen and the away performances of Motherwell suggest that a draw or an Aberdeen win is the most probable outcome. However, given the attacking performances of both teams, it is particularly likely that the match will see over 2.5 goals.

Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring during the match is quite high, aligning with the attacking profiles of Aberdeen and Motherwell. Looking at the odds, betting on a draw seems to offer good value. As for the exact score, a 1-1 draw appears to be the most plausible projection.

Lastly, analysis of the teams’ form indicates that a betting strategy on “over 1.5 goals” and “both teams to score” could be wise. A bet on a draw or an Aberdeen win could also be considered. On the other hand, fewer than 2.5 goals would be a surprise, and a Motherwell victory would be seen as a real upset. Nonetheless, the match promises to be attacking, competitive, and high-scoring.