Tipps Aberystwyth Town Haverfordwest County AFC Premier League 20/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Haverfordwest County AFC wins the match

1. In their last 5 away matches, Haverfordwest County AFC has shown a better defensive performance compared to Aberystwyth Town at home. Haverfordwest County AFC concedes an average of 0.4 goals per match while Aberystwyth Town concedes an average of 2.4 goals at home. This gives Haverfordwest County AFC an advantage in terms of defensive resilience.

2. Haverfordwest County AFC has demonstrated a superior offensive potential to Aberystwyth Town in their respective last matches. They score an average of 0.6 goals per match away compared to Aberystwyth Town’s 0.4 goals on average at home. This presents an advantage for Haverfordwest County AFC to score in this match.

3. Haverfordwest County AFC has shown good form in their away performance, winning 60% of their last 5 matches and drawing in 20% of cases. This indicates that they are in a good dynamic and could have some confidence for this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 translates to “Under 2.5” in English.

1. The low offensive potential of both teams: With an average of 0.4 goals per game for Aberystwyth Town and 0.6 for Haverfordwest County AFC, their performances indicate a tendency to score few goals.
2. Aberystwyth Town’s defensive trend: With an average of 2.4 goals conceded per game, it is plausible that this team focuses more on defense, thus limiting the number of goals in the match.
3. The relatively low number of goals in their recent matches: By looking at Aberystwyth Town’s recent home matches and Haverfordwest County AFC’s away matches, the majority show a score not exceeding 2.5 goals, reinforcing our Under 2.5 prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No.

1. Aberystwyth Town’s offensive potential at home is quite low, with only 0.4 goals scored on average per match in their last 5 home games. This means they struggle to score goals.
2. Haverfordwest County AFC has a very strong defensive potential away from home, conceding only 0.4 goals per match on average in their last 5 away games, indicating a solid defense.
3. The predictions reveal a 100% probability that both teams will not score, supported by the past performance of both teams. This reinforces the idea that both teams will struggle to score in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 1.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Aberystwyth Town 1-1 Haverfordwest County AFC

1. The performance of both teams in their last 5 respective matches indicates that they are reasonably balanced, both at home for Aberystwyth Town and away for Haverfordwest County AFC, with a 60% win rate for each team. This factor therefore supports a draw prediction.

2. Calculating the average goals scored and conceded for Aberystwyth Town and Haverfordwest County AFC in their last 5 respective matches gives an average score close to 1-1, which aligns with the prediction.

3. The probability of each team scoring a goal is quite low as both teams show an offensive potential of less than 25% and a defensive potential of over 75%. This low offensive potential combined with a strong defensive potential is consistent with a final score prediction of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Aberystwyth Town at home is solid, winning 3 out of the last 5 matches. They have scored a total of 7 goals and conceded 7 goals. Being defensively vigilant will be crucial, as they have been conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match.

Haverfordwest have been performing well away from home, with 3 wins in their last 5 away matches. Their attack should not be underestimated, as they have scored 8 goals in these away games. They maintain an average of 0.4 goals conceded per match on the road.

Unfortunately, the provided odds are null, making a clear prediction difficult. However, it is worth noting that under 3.5 goals in the match has a 100% probability of success, aligning with the offensive and defensive performances of both teams.

Both teams not to score also has a 100% probability. A low-scoring game seems likely.

Aberystwyth’s last home match against Flint Town United ended in a 0 – 2 defeat, while Haverfordwest won 5 – 0 against Carmarthen Town away. This match could be tight, considering these recent performances.

The potential number of goals

The Aberystwyth Town vs. Haverfordwest County AFC match is expected to be competitive. Both teams have similar form, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. They also both score and concede a similar number of goals, 7 for Aberystwyth and 8 for Haverfordwest.

In their home matches, Aberystwyth has an offensive potential of 14% with an average of 0.4 goals per game. Their defense is stronger with an 86% efficiency and 2.4 goals conceded per game. On the other hand, Haverfordwest has an away offensive performance of 21% with 0.6 goals per game. Their defense is weaker, with only 14% efficiency and 0.4 goals conceded per game.

Predicting the match outcome based on these statistics is challenging as information on the probability of results is missing.

However, it is highly likely that the number of goals in the match will be less than 3.5 or 4.5, with a 100% probability of success. Another certainty is that both teams will not score in the match, with a 100% probability.

Looking at the teams’ recent matches, Aberystwyth tends to keep a clean sheet at home, while Haverfordwest regularly scores away.

In conclusion, the match is likely to be tight with few goals scored. A victory for Haverfordwest or a draw could be the most probable scenario.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary of the detailed predictive analysis above, the match between Aberystwyth Town and Haverfordwest County AFC seems to indicate a close outcome. Past statistics and the recent form of both teams support a scenario where the number of goals is likely to be low, with a probable victory for Haverfordwest County AFC or a draw.

This is further evidenced by the low offensive potential of both teams and Haverfordwest County AFC’s impressive defensive performances on the road, conceding on average only 0.4 goals per match. Additionally, the probability of both teams scoring is assessed at 0%, increasing the chances of a low-scoring game.

In conclusion, for sports bettors, the match offers interesting betting opportunities that may include a bet on Haverfordwest County AFC to win or both teams to draw, Under bets of 2.5, 3.5, or 4.5 goals in the match, and a bet on both teams not to score. However, as with all gambling, it is advisable to bet responsibly and consider all possible factors before making a decision.