Tipps AC Milan AS Roma UEFA Europa League 11/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

AC Milan wins the match.

1. AC Milan has a strong performance at home: in the last 5 matches, they have won 80% of the games and no draws, showing a strong home dominance.
2. AC Milan’s offensive potential at home is significantly higher than AS Roma’s away from home: AC Milan has scored an average of 2.4 goals per match compared to just 0.8 for AS Roma, giving AC Milan a greater ability to score.
3. Based on the percentage probabilities, AC Milan has a better chance of winning the match with 49.74% compared to 19.58% for AS Roma. This statistic indicates that in terms of probabilities, AC Milan is more favored to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The defensive performances of both teams: AC Milan concedes on average only 0.6 goals per match at home, while AS Roma also concedes only 0.6 goals away, indicating strong defensive resistance on each side.

2. The number of goals scored by the teams in their previous matches: in their last 5 matches, AC Milan has scored an average of 2.4 goals per match at home, while AS Roma has only scored an average of 0.8 goals away. This suggests that AS Roma may struggle to score, and the match could therefore end with fewer than 2.5 goals.

3. AS Roma’s previous away results: in three of their last five away matches, AS Roma scored zero or one goal, limiting the potential for goals in the match and making a total of less than 2.5 goals likely.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent statistics show that AC Milan has a strong offensive capability, having scored 12 goals in their last 5 home matches. This implies it is very likely they will score against AS Roma.

2. Similarly, AS Roma has demonstrated their ability to score in away matches, managing to score 9 goals in their last 5 away matches. It is therefore probable that they will also find the net.

3. Analyzing the defensive potential of each team reveals signs of weakness. AC Milan concedes an average of 0.6 goals per home match, while AS Roma also concedes an average of 0.6 goals per away match. This defensive vulnerability on both sides could often result in conceded goals.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Milan AC 2-1 AS Roma

1. AC Milan has a home win rate of 80% in their last 5 matches with an average of 2.4 goals scored per match, suggesting a high success rate and a strong ability to score, reinforcing the prediction of scoring 2 goals against AS Roma.
2. AS Roma has scored in 80% of their last 5 away matches with an average of 0.8 goals per match. Therefore, they have a solid probability of scoring at least 1 goal in the match.
3. The odds indicate a success rate of 49.74% for AC Milan to win the match and both teams to score have a probability of 53.97%, suggesting that a final score of 2-1 in favor of AC Milan is a prediction supported by data and probabilities.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

AC Milan is showing strong form at home with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. Additionally, they have scored 12 goals, averaging 2.4 goals per match. They have an 86% offensive strength.

AS Roma, on the other hand, has a more modest away performance with only a 40% win rate. In their last five matches, they have scored 9 goals, averaging 0.8 goals per match.

Both teams have a similar defensive record, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per match, giving them a defensive potential of 21%.

The odds have AC Milan as favorites with a 49.74% probability and odds of 1.95. A draw is given a 30.69% probability with odds of 3.65.

Looking at the goal probabilities, there is a 75.66% chance of over 1.5 goals with odds of 1.35, suggesting a potentially high-scoring match.

However, the probability of both teams scoring stands at 53.97%, indicating a potentially close match.

Taking all this information into account, a victory for AC Milan seems likely.

The potential number of goals

AC Milan is in good form at home, with an 80% recent win rate, including 3-0 victories against Lecce and Rennes. The offense is effective, scoring 12 goals in 5 matches, averaging 2.4 goals per game. Their defense remains solid, conceding only 0.6 goals per match.

On the other hand, AS Roma has had more mixed results away from home with a 40% win rate and 40% draws. They have scored 9 goals in 5 matches, averaging less than a goal per game. Their defense is similar to AC Milan’s, also conceding 0.6 goals per match on average.

The probabilities suggest a slight advantage for AC Milan with a 49.74% success rate, compared to 19.58% for AS Roma. A match with over 1.5 goals seems likely, with a success probability of 75.66%. There is also a strong chance that both teams will score, with a probability of 53.97%.

Based on these statistics, a win for AC Milan or a draw with over 1.5 goals in the match could be a prediction worth considering.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the in-depth analysis of recent performances, offensive and defensive capabilities, past results, and probabilities points towards a victory for AC Milan against AS Roma. The most likely prediction indicates a final score of 2-1 in favor of AC Milan. However, the trend also suggests a potentially high-scoring game with a strong likelihood that both teams will score. Bettors may also consider placing a bet on a match with over 2.5 goals.

These predictions are based on data and historical trends, so it is always prudent to stay informed about the latest team developments, such as possible injuries or tactical changes, that could affect the outcome of the match. Sports betting remains a game of uncertainty, and while statistical analysis can help make informed choices, the risk remains. Exercise caution, bet responsibly, and good luck.