Tipps AC Milan Liverpool UEFA Champions League 17/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Liverpool wins the match

1. Liverpool has an impressive away performance with an average of 2.8 goals per match and a solid defense that concedes only 0.2 goals per match on average. Its offensive potential is estimated at 100% and its defensive potential at 7%, which is significantly stronger than AC Milan.
2. Probability statistics predict that Liverpool has the best chance of winning, with a success probability of 50.88% for this match compared to AC Milan’s 27.49%.
3. Analyzing recent performances, Liverpool has shown consistency in its results by winning or drawing in 100% of its away matches. Furthermore, in their respective clashes with teams like Manchester United, Liverpool has managed to score three goals, demonstrating its striking power.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The assessment of the last five home matches of AC Milan and away matches of Liverpool indicate a high number of goals scored and conceded. Milan has scored 14 and conceded 15 goals while Liverpool has scored 13 and conceded 15 goals. This suggests that both teams are both offensive and have leaky defenses, which could lead to a high-scoring match.

2. The average statistics of goals scored and conceded per match for both teams are above 2.5. Specifically, AC Milan averages 2 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per match, while Liverpool averages 2.8 goals scored and 0.2 goals conceded. Such statistics indicate a high potential for over 2.5 goals in the match.

3. The initial prediction already indicates a success probability of 58.48% for over 2.5 goals in the match, representing a significant chance of seeing more than 2.5 goals. Furthermore, both teams have a high probability of scoring, which increases the chances of more than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The offensive statistics of both teams are quite strong, with AC Milan and Liverpool averaging 2 and 2.8 goals per match respectively in their last 5 appearances. These numbers show that they both have a good ability to find the net, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

2. AC Milan has a defensive potential of 64%, meaning they tend to concede goals. Furthermore, although Liverpool’s defensive potential is 7%, they have still conceded 15 goals in their last 5 away matches. This indicates a higher probability of both teams scoring.

3. The previous home matches of AC Milan and away matches of Liverpool show a trend of both teams scoring and conceding. For instance, in AC Milan’s last 5 home matches, they have always scored, and in Liverpool’s last 5 away matches, they have also always scored. This strengthens the argument that both teams will score in the upcoming match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

AC Milan wins the match – 27.49% chance of success: 3.80

Bet on the exact result

AC Milan 2-3 Liverpool

1. The statistics of both teams show a strong tendency to score goals. AC Milan has scored an average of 2 goals per match in their recent home performances, while Liverpool has scored an average of 2.8 goals in their last away matches. This makes a score of 2-3 plausible.

2. The probabilities indicate that Liverpool has a higher chance of winning the match (50.88%) compared to AC Milan (27.49%). This strengthens the hypothesis of a final score in favor of Liverpool.

3. Finally, the analysis of recent matches shows that AC Milan tends to concede goals at home (15 goals conceded in the last 5 matches), while Liverpool has shown a strong ability to score away from home. Therefore, it is possible that Liverpool will score 3 goals against 2 for AC Milan.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

AC Milan has won 60% of their last 5 home matches, without any draws. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 15, averaging 2 goals scored per match and 1.8 goals conceded. Their probability of winning against Liverpool is only 27.49%.

On the other hand, Liverpool has won 60% of their last 5 away matches and drawn 40% of the time. They have scored 13 goals and conceded 2, averaging 2.8 goals scored per match and 0.2 goals conceded. Their probability of winning the match is higher, at 50.88%.

There is a probability of 82.46% for more than 1.5 goals and a probability of 58.48% for more than 2.5 goals in the match. Both teams have chances of scoring, with a probability of 63.16%.

Based on these stats, the advantage leans towards Liverpool. However, past performance does not guarantee future results. Good luck with your bets!

The potential number of goals

AC Milan has won 60% of their last 5 home matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game. However, they have conceded 15 goals during this period, revealing a defensive weakness.

Liverpool has also performed well, winning 60% of their last 5 away matches, but has shown a better defense by conceding only 0.2 goals on average per match.

Probabilities suggest that Liverpool is more likely to win the match with a success rate of 50.88%.

Liverpool has a higher offensive potential with a probability of 100%, compared to 71% for AC Milan.

In terms of defense, Liverpool is also in a better position with 7% compared to 64% for AC Milan.

Recent match history shows a high probability that both teams will score, with a success rate of 63.16%.

In terms of the number of goals, it is more likely to have over 1.5 goals in the match with a probability of 82.46%.

Finally, based on these statistics and probabilities, an interesting bet would be to bet on a Liverpool win with over 1.5 goals in the match and both teams scoring. However, it is important to keep in mind that these probabilities do not guarantee a result and every bet carries a risk.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the precise analysis of statistics, past scores, and current performances, Liverpool is the favorite team, with a 50.88% probability of winning the match against AC Milan, who have a success probability of 27.49%. Furthermore, the data suggests that it’s highly likely the match will end with over 2.5 goals, with a probability of 58.48%. It is also probable that both teams will score, given their offensive capabilities and past performance trends. However, despite evidence of a Liverpool victory probability, an alternative bet could be to wager on an AC Milan win, with an attractive odds of 3.80.

In sports betting, it is essential to remember that no result is guaranteed, and everything depends on the competition unfolding on the field. We advise considering all influencing factors conceivably and betting wisely. Good luck to all bettors, and may the best outcome prevail!