Tipps Academico Viseu Maritimo Segunda Liga 13/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Academico Viseu wins the match

1. Recent statistics favor Academico Viseu. At home, in their last 5 matches, Academico Viseu won in 60% of cases and drew in 40% of cases. This contrasts with Maritimo, who, away from home in their last 5 matches, only won in 20% of cases and drew in 40% of cases.

2. Academico Viseu has a better offensive and defensive potential at home than Maritimo away. Indeed, Academico Viseu has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and also conceded 1.4 goals per match at home, with an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 50%. On the other hand, Maritimo has scored an average of 1 goal per match and conceded 2 goals per match away, with an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 71%.

3. The probabilities of success for the bet “Draw or Academico Viseu wins the match” are the highest among all available options. Indeed, with a success probability of 69.74%, this scenario is more likely than Maritimo winning the match (30.26% probability) or a draw (32.82% probability). The odds for this scenario are also quite appealing (1.40).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive level of these two teams in their respective last 5 matches is quite low, with an average of goals scored per match not exceeding 1.4 goals, indicating weak offensive tendencies from both teams.
2. The defensive performances of Academico Viseu and Maritimo are 50% and 71% respectively, meaning that these two teams have the ability to limit each other’s offense and thus, keep the total number of goals in the match relatively low.
3. Recent statistics on the total number of goals in matches involving these two teams also point towards a total of less than 2.5 goals. This is particularly evident with Academico Viseu, where three out of their last five home matches had a total of less than 2.5 goals. Maritimo’s away matches show a similar trend with four out of the last five matches ending with less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Academico Viseu and Maritimo have both shown a similar average of goals scored and conceded in their respective last 5 matches, suggesting that they both have the ability to score and concede a goal when playing against each other.

2. The probability of “Both teams to score” is 51.79%, which indicates that based on previous statistics and the offensive and defensive capabilities of both teams, there is a higher likelihood that both teams will manage to score a goal during the match.

3. Match histories show that both Academico Viseu at home and Maritimo away have a tendency to see goals scored by both sides. For instance, in Maritimo’s last 5 away matches, there have been both teams scoring in 3 matches, and for Viseu at home, this has happened in 2 of the last 5 matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

“Academico Viseu 1-1 Maritimo”

1. Offensive and defensive potential: Both teams have similar averages of goals scored and conceded with 1.4 goals for Academico Viseu at home and 1 goal for Maritimo away. Additionally, the offensive and defensive potential of both teams are quite similar, which could suggest a balanced match and therefore a draw.

2. Draw tendency: Both teams have a propensity for draws. Academico Viseu draws in 40% of their home matches, while Maritimo also draws in 40% of their away matches. This increases the possibility of a 1-1 scoreline.

3. Probability of over 1.5 goals in the match: The probability of the match having over 1.5 goals is 68.72%, which suggests at least one goal from each side. Looking at the match histories of both teams, it is rare for there to be more than three goals per match. A 1-1 scoreline therefore seems like a plausible scenario.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Match analysis Academico Viseu vs Maritimo:

Academico Viseu is in good form at home with a 60% win rate. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7. Their offensive and defensive potentials are both at 50%.

Maritimo, away from home, is less successful with only a 20% win rate. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7 goals. Their offensive potential is at 36% and their defensive potential is at 71%.

The probability of victory favors Academico Viseu at 36.92%. A draw is possible at 32.82%. Maritimo has a 30.26% chance of winning.

There is a 68.72% probability of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match and a 41.03% probability of there being more than 2.5 goals.

The match could see both teams score with a probability of 51.79%.

Based on the data, Academico Viseu appears more likely to win, despite a high chance of a draw. It is likely that the match will see more than 1.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Academico Viseu shows some strength at home, winning 60% of their matches. However, they score and concede an average of 1.4 goals per match, giving them a 50% offensive and defensive potential.

On the Maritimo side, playing away is a challenge. They only win 20% of their matches, with an average of 1 goal scored per match and two conceded.

Overall, the match seems balanced. Probability of success for Academico Viseu: 36.92%, for Maritimo: 30.26%.

Historically, both teams have a tendency to score in their encounters: 51.79% chance that both teams score. There is also a 68.72% probability that the match will have more than 1.5 goals.

It seems prudent to bet on a draw or a victory for Academico Viseu with a 69.74% chance of success. A low-risk option could be to bet on under 3.5 goals in the match, with a success probability of 81.03%.

Therefore, it is reasonable to expect a rather strategic match, without a flurry of goals. Past performances indicate that Academico Viseu has a slight edge over Maritimo, especially when they play at home.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Academico Viseu and Maritimo appears to be marked by a possible win or draw in favor of Academico Viseu, considering past performances and current statistics. Statistics favor Academico Viseu especially at home with a 50% offensive and defensive potential, while Maritimo seems to struggle more away. However, the game seems balanced with the possibility of both teams scoring.

Another probable scenario, supported by statistics, suggests a match with less than 2.5 goals, reflecting the limited offense of both teams. Regarding the exact score, a potential 1-1 draw can be envisaged due to the similar offensive and defensive potential of both teams and their tendency for draws.

Overall, bettors are advised to carefully assess the cues and trends associated with this match to maximize their chances of success in their bets. The bet with the best value seems to be “Under 3.5 goals in the match” with a 81.03% success probability, making it an interesting “value bet”. Whatever the final decision, it is crucial to bet responsibly.