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    Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Ajaccio Caen

    Tipps Ajaccio Caen Ligue 2 20/04/2024

    Last update : 20/04/2024
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    Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

    Caen wins the match.

    1. Recent success statistics favor Caen: Indeed, over the last five away matches, Caen has achieved a 40% win rate compared to only 40% for Ajaccio at home. Despite not having drawn any matches, Caen’s win ratio is promising.

    2. Offensive potential of Caen: According to the provided numbers, Caen has scored more goals than Ajaccio in their respective last 5 matches. With Caen scoring 7 goals compared to Ajaccio’s 6, this implies the team is capable of creating scoring opportunities and converting them into goals.

    3. The probability of success for the bet “Caen wins the match” is high: Based on the information provided, there is an 80% chance of Caen winning the match according to the odds. This provides a high level of confidence to bet on a Caen victory.

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    Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

    “Under 2.5”

    1. Ajaccio and Caen’s offensive performances are weak, with an average of 0.8 goals per game at home and away respectively, suggesting a low-scoring match.
    2. Ajaccio and Caen also have strong defensive performances, especially Ajaccio at home conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game, further limiting the potential for goals.
    3. Considering the last 5 home games of Ajaccio and the last 5 away games of Caen, it is more common to have fewer than 2.5 goals (7 out of 10 matches).

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    BTTS: Will both teams score ?

    Both teams to score: No

    1. Ajaccio’s defensive performances at home are relatively solid, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. It is therefore not unlikely that they will manage to keep a clean sheet against Caen.
    2. Caen’s low offensive efficiency away from home, scoring only an average of 0.8 goals per match, makes it unlikely that they will be able to find the back of the net against Ajaccio.
    3. The 60% success rate for the “Both teams to score: No” option shows that the statistical trend suggests that both teams are not expected to score in this match.

    Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

    Draw – 20% chance of success: 2.90

    1. Ajaccio has shown solid defensive performances in their recent home matches, conceding only 1.4 goals on average per game. This defensive solidity could make it difficult for Caen to score enough goals to win the match, increasing the likelihood of a draw.

    2. Caen’s recent away performances have shown an inability to secure a draw. In their last 5 matches, they have either won or lost, without any draws. This suggests that matches involving Caen tend to be more unpredictable, which could increase the likelihood of a draw against Ajaccio.

    3. Both teams have a similar offensive potential, each scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game in their respective last five matches. This similarity in offensive capabilities could make a draw more likely, as neither team seems to have a clear advantage in attack.

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    Bet on the exact result

    Ajaccio 1-2 Caen.

    1. The statistics from the last matches show that Ajaccio has an offensive potential of 29% and Caen also has an offensive potential of 29%. This indicates a high probability for each team to score at least one goal, corresponding to the exact score of 1-2 in favor of Caen.
    2. Caen has an 80% probability of winning the match, significantly higher than Ajaccio’s 0% probability of winning. This suggests that the odds are more in favor of Caen, justifying the exact score of 1-2 in favor of Caen.
    3. The statistics also show a 60% probability of more than 1.5 goals being scored during the match. This further supports the prediction of the exact score of 2 goals for Caen and 1 for Ajaccio.

    Game Analysis and Key Facts

    Team Form

    Ajaccio shows a balanced performance at home with 40% wins and 40% draws. Their last 5 matches have seen a total of 6 goals, both scored and conceded.

    As for Caen, when playing away, the team wins 40% of their matches but struggles to secure draws, with an average of 7 goals scored and 12 conceded in their last 5 games.

    At home, Ajaccio have an average of 0.8 goals scored per match but concede more with 1.4 goals per match. Offensive potential at 29% and defensive at 50%.

    Caen, on the road, presents similar statistics with 0.8 goals scored per match and an average of 1 goal conceded. Offensive and defensive potentials of 29% and 36% respectively.

    The odds suggest an advantage for Caen with a 80% success probability at 2.90, while a draw or Ajaccio win is estimated at 1.40 with a 20% success probability.

    More than 1.5 goals in the match seems likely with odds of 1.62 (60% chance of success), and both teams not scoring in 60% of cases (odds at 1.60).

    Based on these data and the recent performances of both teams, a match with under 2.5 goals could be conceivable.

    The potential number of goals

    Taking into account their last 5 matches, Ajaccio and Caen have a similar level of performance with a 40% win rate each. Ajaccio shows a capability to keep scores level, recording a draw in 40% of the matches. In terms of offense, Ajaccio and Caen have a similar average of 0.8 goals per game. However, Ajaccio defends better at home, conceding 1.4 goals per game compared to Caen’s 1 goal per game away.

    Probability analysis reveals that Caen has an 80% chance of winning the match. A draw or a Caen win have a success probability of 100%, which is a secure indicator for betting. On the other hand, betting on over 2.5 goals in the match seems risky with only a 20% chance of success.

    Statistics point towards a low-scoring match, confirmed by the odds of 1.40 for under 2.5 goals in the match. The probability of both teams scoring is 40%, so it’s more likely that one of them will fail to score.

    In summary, Caen has a strong chance of winning this match, probably with a low score. Consider betting on a Caen win or a draw with under 2.5 total goals.

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    Our conclusions and predictions for this match

    In conclusion, based on the various analyses presented, it can be inferred that the odds are clearly in favor of Caen for this match against Ajaccio. However, it is likely to be a low-scoring match, given the offensive performances of both teams and Ajaccio’s strong defensive record at home. A bet on a draw could also represent interesting value, considering Caen’s recent unpredictable away performances. On the other hand, the probability of both teams scoring in this match is relatively low. Overall, it is recommended for bettors to exercise caution, taking into account both statistics and the current form of the teams to make informed choices.

    Detailed Game Statistics

    Odds & Predictions

    Game Result Prediction Ajaccio against Caen on 20/04/2024

    1. Recent success statistics favor Caen: Indeed, over the last five away matches, Caen has achieved a 40% win rate compared to only 40% for Ajaccio at home. Despite not having drawn any matches, Caen’s win ratio is promising.

    2. Offensive potential of Caen: According to the provided numbers, Caen has scored more goals than Ajaccio in their respective last 5 matches. With Caen scoring 7 goals compared to Ajaccio’s 6, this implies the team is capable of creating scoring opportunities and converting them into goals.

    3. The probability of success for the bet “Caen wins the match” is high: Based on the information provided, there is an 80% chance of Caen winning the match according to the odds. This provides a high level of confidence to bet on a Caen victory.

    Result at the end of the game
    Bet option :Ajaccio to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Caen to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Ajaccio or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Caen or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Number of goals in the game
    Bet option :+1.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :+2.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-3.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-4.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: Yes
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: No
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Double Chance and Number of Goals
    Bet option :Ajaccio or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Caen or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Ajaccio or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Caen or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Live & Match Info

    Live Match: Get all the details about the Ajaccio vs Caen match!

    To not miss anything from the Ajaccio vs Caen match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 20/04/2024 in the Ligue 2 live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.

    Team Lineups: Ajaccio vs Caen

    logo team a
    composition
    16Sollacaro
    20Youssouf
    21Avinel
    5Vidal
    31Strata
    4Barreto
    26Jabol-Folcarelli
    6Mangani
    29Sakhi
    9Touzghar
    18Ibayi
    Lineups Ajaccio
    logo team a
    composition
    1Mandrea
    92Coeff
    29Thomas
    61Traoré
    2Abdi
    97Gaucho
    6Daubin
    21Brahimi
    11Le
    7Gomis
    19Mendy
    Lineups Caen

    Match Highlights Ajaccio vs Caen on 20/04/2024

    Don't miss any highlights of the Ajaccio vs Caen match on 20/04/2024 at Stade Michel-Moretti stadium.

    20'Mickaël Barreto
    picto
    21'Mickaël Barreto
    picto
    45'Christopher Ibayi
    picto
    46'Mickaël BarretoRiad Nouri
    picto
    59'Quentin DaubinValentin Henry
    picto
    59'Alexandre CoeffNoe Lebreton
    picto
    59'Bilal BrahimiAmine Salama
    picto
    67'Yoann TouzgharMoussa Soumano
    picto
    68'Tidiam GomisMathias Autret
    picto
    76'Didí GauchoHianga'a M'Bock
    picto
    83'Tim Jabol-FolcarelliJérémy De Bessa
    picto
    84'Tony StrataStephen Quemper
    picto
    88'Christopher IbayiValentin Jacob
    picto
    90'Francois-Joseph Sollacaro
    picto
    90'Alexandre Mendy
    picto

    Live Statistics for the match between Ajaccio and Caen

    All statistics for the match between Ajaccio and Caen will be displayed here once they are available live.

    logo team
    Ajaccio
    Caen
    logo team
    Ball Possession
    42%
    58%
    Total Shots
    7
    10
    Shots on Goal
    5
    3
    Shots off Goal
    2
    2
    Corner Kicks
    2
    2
    Passing Accuracy
    74%
    80%
    Total Passes
    423
    588
    Successful Passes
    315
    472
    Fouls Committed
    15
    9
    Yellow Cards
    2
    0
    Red Cards
    Statistics & 1VS1 Prediction

    Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Ajaccio against Caen!

    logo team

    Form state of Ajaccio in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, the team Ajaccio has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Ajaccio has a form rating of %.

    logo team

    Form state of Caen in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, Caen has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Caen has a form rating of %.

    buts
    Statistiken & Torprognosen

    Goal Prediction: In the match Ajaccio against Caen!

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Ajaccio in the current season.

    logo team

    Goals scored by Ajaccio in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Ajaccio
    Ajaccio has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Ajaccio in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Ajaccio
    Ajaccio has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Caen in the current season

    logo team

    Goals scored by Caen in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Caen
    Caen has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Caen in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Caen
    Caen has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    Conclusion: Which goal prediction?

    From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Ajaccio and Caen, we should have a total of goals in this match.

    Prognosis
    Total number of goals based on statistics About goals in the match
    The tool to use: Wingoal

    Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.

    Predict Exact Result

    Exact Result Predictions Ajaccio vs Caen: Probabilities for the outcome

    1. Ajaccio and Caen’s offensive performances are weak, with an average of 0.8 goals per game at home and away respectively, suggesting a low-scoring match.
    2. Ajaccio and Caen also have strong defensive performances, especially Ajaccio at home conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game, further limiting the potential for goals.
    3. Considering the last 5 home games of Ajaccio and the last 5 away games of Caen, it is more common to have fewer than 2.5 goals (7 out of 10 matches).

    Exact Results
    %
    Odds
    Forecast Results

    Forecast results from winflix for Ajaccio and Caen!

    The last 5 winning predictions für Ajaccio

    logo team a

    The last 5 winning predictions für Caen

    logo team a
    Frequently Asked Questions

    How do I find the best forecast for Ajaccio Caen?

    Finding a forecast for the Ajaccio Caen match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.

    The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Ajaccio Caen on 20/04/2024 in Stade Michel-Moretti are the team's past performance in the Ligue 2, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Ajaccio at home and Caen away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 20/04/2024.

    To evaluate the current form of Ajaccio and Caen on 20/04/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Ligue 2, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Stade Michel-Moretti, Ajaccio could have a slight home advantage in this football match.

    Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Ajaccio and Caen, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Ajaccio and the away win rate of Caen, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 20/04/2024!

    The individual performances of players from Ajaccio and Caen can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 20/04/2024 at Stade Michel-Moretti.

    To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Ajaccio and Caen, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Ajaccio or Caen on 20/04/2024.

    author
    Author
    Alex - Winflix

    "Ca arrive..."

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