Tipps Ajax Excelsior Eredivisie 24/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Ajax Amsterdam wins the match

1. Ajax Amsterdam’s offensive potential: In their last 5 home matches, Ajax Amsterdam scores on average 1.6 goals per match, compared to Excelsior’s 1.2 goals per match away.
2. Excelsior’s recent away performance: Excelsior has not won any of their last 5 away matches and has conceded more goals than they have scored.
3. Statistical probability: Ajax Amsterdam has a success probability of 78.35% to win the match, compared to only 5.15% for Excelsior.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. History of recent matches: Recent matches of Ajax Amsterdam and Excelsior have produced more than 2.5 goals. Ajax’s recent home matches have ended 2-1, 1-1, 2-2, 2-0, while Excelsior’s recent away matches have ended 2-1, 3-0, 4-0, 5-2, and 4-2.

2. Offensive Potential: At home, Ajax Amsterdam has an offensive potential of 57% with an average of 1.6 goals per match. On the other hand, Excelsior scores an average of 1.2 goals per match away.

3. Defensive Weakness: Both teams have defensive weaknesses. Ajax concedes an average of 2.2 goals at home, while Excelsior concedes an average of 1.6 goals away. These defensive weaknesses may favor a match with more than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Ajax Amsterdam and Excelsior have both scored and conceded goals in their recent matches. In their last 5 home matches, Ajax scored 7 goals and also conceded 7 goals. Excelsior, on the other hand, scored 5 goals and conceded 9 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. Both teams seem to have relatively leaky defenses. Ajax Amsterdam concedes an average of 2.2 goals per home match, while Excelsior also concedes an average of 1.6 goals per away match.

3. Betting statistics indicate a 50.52% probability of both teams scoring in their match. This is a relatively high percentage that suggests both teams have the ability to score against each other.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – odds 5.40.

Bet on the exact result

Ajax Amsterdam 2-1 Excelsior

1. The offensive potential of Ajax Amsterdam at home is 57%, and they have scored an average of 1.6 goals per match in their last 5 home games. This shows the team’s ability to score goals, in line with the predicted score of 2 goals.

2. Excelsior has a poor record in their last 5 away matches, winning in 0% of cases, indicating their struggle to dominate the game. However, they have an offensive capability of 43%, with an average of 1.2 goals per game, which could explain the predicted goal in this match.

3. Looking at the success probabilities, Ajax Amsterdam has a high probability of winning the match (78.35%). Furthermore, the probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored in the match is 68.04%, supporting the prediction of a 2-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Ajax Amsterdam is in average form at home, with only 40% of victories in their last 5 matches. They have scored 7 goals but have also conceded 7, highlighting defensive issues.

Excelsior, on the other hand, doesn’t shine away from home, having not won any of their last 5 matches. They have scored 5 goals but have conceded 9, showing a lack of defensive solidity.

In terms of goals per match, Ajax averages 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 goals conceded, while Excelsior averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match.

According to the probabilities, Ajax has a 78.35% chance of winning. The probability of a draw is 16.49%, while Excelsior has only a 5.15% chance of winning.

With an average of over 2.5 goals per match, the probability is 68.04%, and for over 1.5 goals, it’s 85.57%.

Interestingly, both teams to score have a success probability of 50.52%, indicating a potentially open game where both teams could find the back of the net.

In summary, Ajax Amsterdam seems to be the favorite for this match, although there are concerns regarding their defense. Let’s bet on a match with over 2.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Ajax Amsterdam, playing at home, wins 40% of the time and scores an average of 1.6 goals per match. However, they also concede 2.2 goals per match. They have an offensive potential of 57% but a fragile defense at 79%.

Excelsior, playing away, has not yet won a game. They score an average of 1.2 goals and concede 1.6 goals per match. They have a weak offensive potential at 43% and a defensive potential at 57%.

Ajax Amsterdam’s chances of winning the match are 78.35%. A draw seems unlikely at 16.49%. Excelsior has only a 5.15% chance of winning.

There is a 68.04% probability of more than 2.5 goals in the match. There is a 50.52% chance that both teams will score.

The last five home matches of Ajax have shown close scores. The last five away matches of Excelsior indicate a high number of goals conceded.

Based on this information, it would be wise to bet on Ajax winning with more than 2.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, the statistics and recent performance analysis of both teams suggest that Ajax Amsterdam will likely be the winner of the match. They are a team with strong home performances, with a significant average of goals scored. Excelsior, on the other hand, shows some defensive weaknesses, although their attack has potential. It is recommended to bet on over 2.5 goals in the match, as both teams have shown an ability to score despite their respective defensive weaknesses. However, despite being favorites, Ajax also shows defensive weaknesses, leaving a possibility for a draw that offers interesting odds. Nonetheless, the indication that both teams will score adds a level of uncertainty and excitement to this match. Overall, it will be interesting to see how these teams perform during the encounter.