Tipps Al Jabalain Al Najma Division 1 24/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the statistics provided, it is difficult to determine a clear winner. Both teams have relatively low win rates, with a strong tendency for draws. The offensive and defensive potential is also quite similar. However, Al Najma seems to have a slight edge in terms of away goals scored. Therefore, my prediction would be “Draw or Al Najma wins the match”.

1. Both teams have shown a tendency to draw in their recent matches, with a rate of 40%. The uncertainty about the final result is therefore high.

2. Al Najma has a higher average of goals scored away from home compared to Al Jabalain at home. This indicates a slight offensive advantage for Al Najma over Al Jabalain, which could tilt the balance in its favor.

3. The offensive potential of Al Najma is higher than that of Al Jabalain (50% versus 29%). This, combined with the fact that both teams have a similar defensive potential, suggests that Al Najma is more likely to score, thus increasing its chances of winning or drawing.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. Over their respective last 5 matches, Al Jabalain and Al Najma have shown a relatively low number of goals. Al Jabalain scored 5 goals, averaging 1 goal per match, while Al Najma scored 8 goals, averaging 1.6 goals per match. The trend suggests an average of 2.6 goals per match, making the under 2.5 goals hypothesis favorable.

2. Al Jabalain’s home performance and Al Najma’s away performance indicate a rather effective defense. Al Jabalain conceded 6 goals at home (1.2 per match) and Al Najma conceded 8 goals away (1.6 per match). Together, it is likely that they will not allow more than 2.5 goals in the match in question.

3. Looking at previous match statistics, it is clear that very few matches have recorded more than 2.5 goals. For example, in Al Jabalain’s last 5 home matches, only 1 match exceeded the 2.5 goals threshold. Similarly, only 3 matches out of the last 5 played away by Al Najma saw more than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from previous matches clearly show that Al Jabalain concedes more goals than they score at home. On the other hand, Al Najma has a balanced record of goals scored and conceded in their away matches, which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring during the game.

2. Both teams have a strong tendency to score goals away or at home respectively. Al Jabalain has scored in all of their last 5 home matches, while Al Najma has not had a goalless away match in their last 5 games.

3. Al Najma’s offensive potential in away matches is significantly higher than that of Al Jabalain at home, with 50% and 29% respectively. This suggests that Al Najma has a greater ability to score against Al Jabalain’s defense.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Al Jabalain 1-2 Al Najma.

1. Recent away match history of Al Najma shows a trend of scoring at least one goal and conceding as well – in four out of their last five matches, the team has scored and conceded at least one goal, which supports a score of 2 for Al Najma.

2. At home, Al Jabalain has managed to score at least one goal in four of their last five matches, indicating a likelihood that they will score at least one goal in the match against Al Najma.

3. Despite the offensive performances of Al Jabalain, the team’s defensive display is weaker, having conceded more goals on average than they score. Furthermore, Al Najma has a higher offensive potential, which could lead them to score more than one goal against Al Jabalain.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Let’s analyze the data. Al Jabalain rarely wins at home, only 20% of the time. However, they score consistently, with 5 goals in 5 matches. The downside is they concede a lot of goals, 6 goals against.

On the other hand, Al Najma away from home also doesn’t shine with only a 20% win rate. However, they score a bit more, with 8 goals in their last 5 matches. They have also conceded 8 goals, showing a defense that leaves something to be desired.

Per game, Al Jabalain at home has an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 64%. Al Najma away from home shows 50% offensive potential and 64% defensive potential.

It seems unlikely that Al Jabalain or Al Najma will win the match, or even a draw. It’s not advisable to bet on the outcome of the match here.

Two bets could be interesting: ‘under 3.5 goals in the match’ and ‘under 4.5 goals in the match’. Their chances of success are 100%.

Lastly, both teams don’t often score together. The bet ‘both teams to score – no’ has a 100% chance of success.

Based on the stats, it’s prudent to bet on a low number of goals and both teams not scoring. We might not see a high-scoring match.

The potential number of goals

Al Jabalain won 20% of their home matches. They also had 40% draws. They scored 5 goals but conceded 6.
Al Najma, when playing away, has the same record: 20% wins, 40% draws. They scored 8 goals and conceded the same.
Al Jabalain is less prolific at home on average with 0.8 goals per match. They are defensively more vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.8 goals.
Al Najma, on the other hand, is more offensive with an average of 1.4 goals scored away. Their defense is also fragile, conceding 1.8 goals.
100% of Al Jabalain’s home matches had less than 3.5 goals. The same scenario for 4.5 goals. No match saw both teams score.
Regarding recent matches, Al Jabalain had close scores at home. Al Najma, when away, had several high-scoring matches.
Based on these data, the match between Al Jabalain and Al Najma is expected to end with a low score, given the defensive and offensive statistics of both teams.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Al Jabalain and Al Najma presents interesting details to study for bettors. Both teams are quite similar in terms of performance, both defensively and offensively, which could lead to a very balanced match. However, Al Najma seems to have a slight offensive advantage, which could tip the scales in their favor.

Nevertheless, statistics also suggest a relatively low number of goals, with a recommendation to bet ‘Under 2.5’. The probability of both teams scoring is high, increasing the appeal of ‘Both Teams To Score’ bets.

Ultimately, betting on the exact score is tricky given the balance between the two teams, but a scoreline of 1-2 in favor of Al Najma seems like a good option. As for the value bet, a draw appears to be the riskiest but potentially most rewarding choice.

From a tactical standpoint, it will be important to monitor each team’s performance early in the match, a data point that could prove valuable for live betting. Nonetheless, as with any sports bet, nothing is guaranteed, and luck will have its say.