Tipps Alanyaspor Rizespor Super Lig 28/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Alanyaspor wins the match

1. Alanyaspor has a defensive potential of 57% at home against Rizespor’s mere 14% offensive potential away. These statistics suggest that Alanyaspor has a stronger defense and is more likely to withstand Rizespor’s attacks in this match.

2. Previous match statistics show a trend of draws for Alanyaspor at home and poor performance from Rizespor away. For example, Alanyaspor has had 4 draws in their last 5 home matches while Rizespor lost 5-0 twice in their last 5 away matches. These past results may indicate that Alanyaspor is more likely to secure a draw or win against Rizespor.

3. According to the probability calculation for the prediction, “Draw or Alanyaspor wins the match” has a 70.16% chance of success. This is a relatively high probability compared to other predictions, suggesting that this tip is very plausible.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1- Alanyaspor has a low offensive potential, averaging only 1 goal per game at home in their last 5 matches. This trend suggests it is unlikely that they will score many goals in the upcoming match.
2- Rizespor also has a modest offensive performance away from home, averaging only 0.4 goals per game in their last 5 matches. Additionally, their offensive potential is relatively weak, indicating they may struggle to score more than one goal.
3- Both teams tend to concede goals, but typically no more than 2 to 3 goals are scored in total in their matches, with Alanyaspor conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game and Rizespor an average of 2.6. This, combined with their low offensive output, reinforces the likelihood of a low goal count in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that Alanyaspor has scored in each of their last 5 home matches, indicating a certain offensive consistency at home.
2. On the Rizespor side, despite suffering heavy defeats, the team has managed to score in three of their last five away matches. This indicates they have the potential to score even when playing away.
3. The defensive potential of both teams is quite weak, with Alanyaspor conceding an average of 1.6 goals per home match and Rizespor conceding an average of 2.6 goals per away match. This increases the likelihood of both teams scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match: 1.93

Bet on the exact result

Alanyaspor 1-2 Rizespor

1. Recent performances: Looking at the last 5 matches, Alanyaspor has had poor home performance, failing to win any of their last 5 matches and scoring only 4 goals. On the other hand, Rizespor, despite a leaky defense, has won 60% of their away matches.

2. Offensive and defensive statistics: Alanyaspor has a lower average goals scored per match compared to Rizespor, even when playing at home. Additionally, Rizespor has been able to score an average of 0.4 goals per match when playing away, which is lower than the average goals conceded by Alanyaspor at home (1.6 goals per match). These statistics suggest a likely victory for Rizespor.

3. Win probabilities: According to the calculated probabilities, the probability of Rizespor winning the match is 29.84%, just below the probability of Alanyaspor winning or the match ending in a draw. However, given Rizespor’s offensive potential and Alanyaspor’s weak defensive potential, a victory for Rizespor is a plausible scenario.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Alanyaspor is struggling at home with no recent victories. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5 in 5 matches. Rizespor performs better away from home, winning 60% of the time and scoring 8 goals. However, they have also conceded 13 goals, indicating a weak defense.

Alanyaspor’s average goals per match is 1, with a defense conceding 1.6 goals. Rizespor scores weakly at an average of 0.4 goals and concedes more generously at 2.6 goals. These indicators are important in assessing the teams’ offensive and defensive trends.

According to the probabilities, Alanyaspor has a 35.6% chance of winning, while Rizespor has 29.84%. A draw has a 34.55% chance. A draw or a win for either team has respective chances of 70.16% and 64.4% of occurring.

In terms of the number of goals, the probability of the match ending with over 1.5 goals is 71.2%, while that for over 2.5 goals is much more uncertain at 48.17%.

The likelihood of both teams scoring is 59.16%. This is a statistic to consider for goal-related bets.

Overall, Alanyaspor needs to bounce back at home, Rizespor needs to strengthen their defense, and a reasonable prediction could be that at least two goals will be scored in this match.

The potential number of goals

Alanyaspor has been struggling at home, with a 0% win rate in the last 5 matches and an average of 1 goal scored. Their defense is weak, having conceded 5 goals. On the other hand, Rizespor has been quite strong away from home, with a 60% win rate. However, they have a leaky defense, having conceded 13 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Alanyaspor has shown an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 57%. Rizespor, on the other hand, has an offensive potential of 14% and a solid 93% defense.

The probabilities slightly favor Alanyaspor with a 35.6% chance of winning, compared to 29.84% for Rizespor. A draw is possible at 34.55%.

The probability of Alanyaspor winning or a draw is 70.16%, while for Rizespor it is 64.4%.

Low scores are common, with a 71.2% probability of more than 1.5 goals and a 48.17% chance of more than 2.5 goals.

Both teams score in 59.16% of cases.

Based on these statistics, a low-scoring match is expected, with a possible win for Alanyaspor or a draw.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, if we were to summarize the predictions, upcoming key stats, and bets, we would say this: Alanyaspor has a relatively high chance of winning or drawing against Rizespor, reflecting their past home resilience and Rizespor’s weak offensive performance away. The prediction of “under 2.5 goals in the match” seems to be the best choice in terms of value, given the rather moderate offensive performances of both teams. While a bold prediction, a 2-1 victory for Rizespor could be interesting considering their past away performance and Alanyaspor’s defensive weaknesses at home.

An important point to note is that both teams tend to score in their encounters, giving the bet “Both teams to score: Yes” a strong likelihood.

Ultimately, the exact bets will depend on a number of factors, including player form and recent match history. However, considering the probabilities, a lower score, a win or draw for Alanyaspor, and both teams scoring seem to be the most reliable betting choices for this match.