Tipps Alaves Girona La Liga 10/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Girona wins the match”

1. Girona has a higher offensive potential: In their last 5 away matches, Girona scored an average of 2.8 goals per game, compared to Alavès’ 1.2 goals at home. This indicates that Girona has the ability to break through Alavès’ defense, even though they are playing away.

2. Statistics favor Girona: The success probability for Girona is 50%, which is higher than that of Alavès or a draw. It’s a sign that analysts predict Girona has a better chance of winning.

3. Girona has shown an ability to score against strong teams: In their recent away matches, they managed to score 2 goals against Las Palmas and 1 goal against a strong team like Atletico Madrid. This suggests that, despite their low win percentage away from home, they can score and potentially win against Alavès.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Girona’s attacking capability away from home is very high with an average of 2.8 goals per game. This shows that the team is capable of scoring many goals when playing away from their stadium.

2. Alavès has also shown some ability to score at home with an average of 1.2 goals per game. Additionally, they have scored a total of 7 goals in their last 5 home games.

3. Alavès has a low defensive potential at home with 21%, and Girona also has a low defensive potential away from home with 57%. These statistics indicate a real possibility that both teams could concede goals during the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Girona’s statistics show that they have a 100% offensive potential away from home, with an average of 2.8 goals per match, and they have managed to score in most of their recent away matches.

2. Alavès has scored in the majority of their home matches, with a total of 7 goals in their last 5 matches. They also have a reasonable offensive potential of 43%.

3. Both teams seem to have relatively weak defenses, with Alavès conceding 8 goals at home and Girona conceding 8 goals away in their last 5 matches. This could increase the probability of both teams scoring in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Alavès 1-2 Girona.

1. In their last 5 away matches, Girona’s offensive potential is 100%, averaging 2.8 goals per game, suggesting a strong ability to score at least 2 goals.

2. Alavès has an average of 1.2 goals scored per home match in their last 5 games, consistent with them scoring at least 1 goal in this match.

3. Girona has a 50% probability of winning according to the odds, which is the highest among the three possible outcomes (Alavès win, draw, Girona win), indicating a higher likelihood of a score in their favor.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The Alavès vs Girona match looks promising. At their home ground, Alavès has a good record, winning 60% of their last 5 matches and scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game. However, they have also conceded 8 goals, showing a potentially vulnerable defense.

On the other hand, Girona has struggled away from home, winning only 20% of their last 5 matches and scoring an average of 2.8 goals per game. Their defense has also been shaky, conceding 8 goals as well.

In terms of probabilities, Girona is more likely to win the match with a 50% chance compared to Alavès’ 24.47%. The chances of a draw are 25.53%.

Recent home matches for Alavès have seen them beat Celta Vigo and Atletico Madrid without conceding, which is a positive sign. For Girona, their only away win in the last 5 matches was against Las Palmas.

The probability of more than 1.5 goals being scored in the match is high at 82.45%, as both teams tend to score and concede multiple goals on average.

Another interesting stat is that both teams are likely to score in the match, with a probability of 61.7%. Therefore, a balanced and competitive match can be expected. In conclusion, the match could go either way, but Girona seems to have a slight edge.

The potential number of goals

Alavès has a strong home performance with a 60% win rate in their recent matches. Their home offensive potential is at 43%, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match.

On the other hand, Girona has struggled away from home, only winning 20% of their matches. However, their offensive potential is at 100%, with an impressive average of 2.8 goals scored per match.

However, with 8 goals conceded in their last 5 matches, Alavès has shown a defensive weakness. Girona has also conceded 8 goals, showing that their defense is not flawless either.

The probabilities suggest that the match favors Girona to win, with a probability of 50%, compared to Alavès where this probability drops to 24.47%.

Regarding goals, a high probability, 82.45%, suggests more than 1.5 goals in the match. There is also a 61.7% chance that both teams will score.

In recent performances, Alavès kept clean sheets against Celta Vigo and Atletico Madrid. Girona has scored in all their recent away visits, except against Getafe and Mallorca.

In summary, this match could see goals from both sides, with Girona having a slight advantage away from home.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Alavès and Girona promises to be high-scoring. Indeed, considering the performance of both teams in previous matches, the likelihood of seeing over 2.5 goals seems very probable. Statistics suggest that Girona is in a better position to win the match due to their superior attacking potential, especially away from home. However, Alavès has also shown solid performances at home, contributing to the likelihood of both teams scoring during the match. Nevertheless, sports betting always remains uncertain and it is important to bet responsibly.