Tipps Alaves Real Betis La Liga 25/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Alavès wins the match.

1. Alavès has a stronger home record than Betis does away from home, with Alavès winning 40% of their home matches and Betis only winning 20% of their away matches.

2. The probability of a draw or Alavès winning the match is higher, with a probability rate of 68.95% compared to other betting options.

3. The defensive performance potential of Alavès is equal to that of Betis Seville, and their offensive potential is close. This suggests that Alavès has a good chance of drawing or winning the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Past statistics show a relatively low offensive potential for Alavès and Real Betis. With an average of 1.2 goals scored for Alavès and 1.6 for Betis, the total number of goals in the match is likely to remain below 2.5.
2. In their last 5 respective matches, both Alavès and Real Betis Sevilla have conceded an average of fewer than 2 goals per match (1.2 for each team). This suggests that both teams have a strong defense, making them less likely to concede many goals in this match.
3. Analyzing the last 5 matches of Alavès at home and Real Betis Sevilla away, most of these matches have seen fewer than 2.5 goals scored. The trend of low scores in the recent matches of these two teams further reinforces the likelihood that this upcoming match will also see fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Considering the recent performances of both teams, Alavès has conceded at least one goal in all of their last five home matches while Betis Seville has managed to score in 60% of their last five away matches. This trend suggests a high likelihood that both teams will score in their encounter.
2. The average goals scored by Alavès at home and Betis Seville away (1.2 and 1.6 respectively) is above 1. This indicates a strong offensive capability from these teams, further supporting the probability that each of them will score in their head-to-head.
3. The calculated success probabilities reinforce this prediction. Indeed, with a success probability of 51.05%, the bet “both teams to score” is more likely than its opposite (48.95%) according to the provided odds.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Betis Seville wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Alavès 1-1 Betis Seville

1. The recent goal trends of both teams align with the predicted score. Alavès scores an average of 1.2 goals per home match, and Betis Seville scores an average of 1.6 goals away. This suggests it is likely that both teams will score at least one goal.

2. The teams’ performances in their previous matches show a tendency towards close scores. Four out of Alavès’ last five home matches resulted in a one-goal difference or less, and Betis Seville’s last two away matches ended in draws.

3. The betting odds highlight a high likelihood of a draw (34.74%) and nearly equal chances for each team to win the match (Alavès at 34.21% and Betis Seville at 31.05%). This suggests a highly competitive match with little to separate the teams.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Alavès has shown mixed performances at home, winning 40% of their recent matches. The Alavès team has scored 7 goals and conceded 9 goals in return. This results in an average of 1.2 goals scored and conceded per match.

Betis Sevilla struggles away from home, winning only 20% of their matches but drawing in 40% of cases. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 9 goals, resulting in an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.

Despite uneven performances, both teams have comparable chances of winning. Alavès has a 34.21% chance, while Betis Sevilla has a 31.05% chance. A draw is also a possibility, with a probability of 34.74%.

Regarding the number of goals, there is a 70.53% chance that the match will end with more than 1.5 goals, but only a 37.89% chance for over 2.5 goals. The most likely option is under 3.5 goals, with a probability of 88.42%.

For betting purposes, Alavès to win or draw is at 1.40, while Betis Sevilla to win or draw is at 1.55. A match with fewer than 4.5 goals is almost certain, with a probability of 99.47%.

Overall, a balanced match is expected between Alavès and Betis Sevilla, with a slight edge for Alavès at home. Bet on a match with under 3.5 goals to increase your chances of winning.

The potential number of goals

Alavès has recently shown good performances at home, winning 40% of their matches, but tends to concede as many goals as they score (7 goals for, 9 goals conceded). Their offensive and defensive potential is balanced at 43%.

On the other hand, Real Betis has struggled to win away from home, with only a 20% win rate. However, they have scored more goals than Alavès, with 8 goals, despite conceding the same number of goals. Their offensive potential is at 57%, but their defense is weaker at 43%.

Regarding the match outcome, the probability of Alavès winning is 34.21%, while Real Betis has a probability of 31.05%. A draw has similar chances at 34.74%.

Furthermore, there is a 70.53% chance of seeing over 1.5 goals, and a high probability of 88.42% of having less than 3.5 goals. Finally, both teams have almost equal chances of scoring, with a probability of 51.05%.

Given these statistics, a cautious prediction could be a match with less than 3.5 goals. The odds also indicate a strong likelihood that the match will end with fewer than 4.5 goals (99.47%).

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Alavès and Real Betis is likely to be tight and competitive, with an uncertain outcome regarding the winner. Statistics and betting odds suggest a slight advantage for Alavès at home, but the gap between the two teams remains negligible.

In terms of goals, a relatively low-scoring match is expected, as both teams have shown limited offensive potential but solid defense in their previous encounters. Betting on a match with less than 3.5 goals seems to be the safest choice based on current probabilities.

As for the ‘value bet’ alternative, despite a slight disadvantage in probabilities, betting on a Real Betis victory could offer a good risk/reward ratio given the odds offered. Lastly, betting on the exact score is uncertain, but all indications point to a close match with a score like 1-1 that could very well happen.

However, it is important to remember that sports betting always involves a risk of uncertainty, and it is recommended to only bet money that one is willing to lose. Betting should remain a form of entertainment, never a necessity. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues with gambling, do not hesitate to seek help from competent organizations.