Tipps Alaves Sevilla La Liga 20/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Alavès wins the match.

1. Alavès has a better home record than Sevilla on the road: indeed, Alavès wins 40% of their home matches compared to just 20% for Sevilla away.
2. Statistics show that Alavès’ offensive potential at home is also better than Sevilla’s away, with an average of 1.4 goals scored compared to Sevilla’s 0.8.
3. Finally, the prediction “Draw or Alavès wins the match” has a higher probability of success, at 75.26%, compared to Sevilla winning the match, which stands at 24.74%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The recent performances of both teams show an average of less than 2.5 goals per match. Alavès scores an average of 1.4 goals per home match and Sevilla scores an average of 0.8 goals away. The combined total of 2.2 goals is below 2.5.

2. The defenses of both teams also appear quite solid, with Alavès conceding an average of 1.2 goals per home match and Sevilla conceding an average of 1.2 goals when playing away. This suggests that both teams could be able to effectively control the opposition’s attack, increasing the likelihood of a low-scoring encounter.

3. The recent home matches of Alavès and away matches of Sevilla also show a trend towards low-scoring games. Out of the last five matches of each team, three had fewer than 2.5 goals from Alavès and four for Sevilla. This suggests a trend that could continue in their upcoming meeting.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Over their last 5 matches, both Alavés and Sevilla have shown an ability to score goals with an average of 1.4 and 0.8 goals per match respectively. This indicates a high probability that both teams may score in this encounter.

2. Defensive statistics show that both teams regularly concede goals, with Alavés conceding 7 goals and Sevilla conceding 8 goals in their respective last 5 matches. This could suggest vulnerability in defense for both teams and increases the likelihood of both teams scoring in the match.

3. Recent matches for Alavés at home and Sevilla away show a trend of both teams scoring. In the last 5 home matches for Alavés, we see that in 3 of these matches, the opposing team managed to score. Similarly, in 4 of Sevilla’s last 5 away matches, the home team managed to score. This trend confirms the likelihood of both teams scoring in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Seville wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Alavès 1-1 Sevilla

1. The statistics show that Sevilla has not performed well away from home, winning only 20% of matches and drawing in 40% of cases. With an offensive potential of 29% and defensive potential of 43%, the probability of a draw is quite high.
2. On the other hand, Alavés has a better potential at home, but has failed to draw in any of their last 5 home matches. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per match against 1.2 goals conceded. This suggests that defense is not their strong point, increasing the probability of conceding a goal to Sevilla.
3. By analyzing the previous scores of each team, we can expect a match with few goals. Alavés has often finished with 1 goal or less in their recent home matches, while Sevilla does not score abundantly away from home. The prediction of a final score of 1-1 takes into account these data, reflecting a balanced and competitive match, with both teams struggling to score more than one goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Alavès has an average of 1.4 goals scored per match at home, which is better than Sevilla who has an average of 0.8 away. They also have a solid defense, conceding only 1.2 goals per match.

In the last 5 matches, Alavès has won in 40% of cases at home. Conversely, Sevilla only wins in 20% of cases away. Additionally, Alavès has not recently drawn at home.

In terms of probabilities, an Alavès victory is more likely at 43.16% compared to 24.74% for Sevilla. A probability of 75.26% is suggested for a draw or an Alavès win.

With a total goal average between 1.2 and 1.4 per match for both teams, the option of under 2.5 goals in the match seems credible, although over 1.5 goals have a probability of 74.21%.

Based on offensive and defensive potential, it is likely that both teams score with a probability of 56.84%.

Ultimately, based on past and current performances, Alavès seems to have a slight advantage for this match playing at home.

The potential number of goals

Alavès has scored six goals and conceded seven goals in five home matches. This is an average offensive performance but their defense could be stronger. On the other hand, Sevilla has scored six goals and conceded eight goals in five away matches, showing difficulties both in attack and defense.

Alavès wins 40% of their home matches, while Sevilla only wins 20% of their away matches. Alavès holds an advantage here.

On average, Alavès scores 1.4 goals and concedes 1.2 goals per home match. Sevilla, on the other hand, scores 0.8 goals and concedes 1.2 goals per away match.

It’s important to note that Alavès has a higher probability of winning (43.16%) compared to Sevilla (24.74%). However, the chances of a draw are also quite high (32.11%).

Overall, there is a high probability of having less than 3.5 goals in the match (79.47%), suggesting a more defensive game.

Both teams have scored in 56.84% of cases, which could indicate that both teams could potentially score in this match.

In conclusion, Alavès seems to be in a better position to win the match, although the probability of a draw is also significant. A low-scoring match is also likely given the defensive performances of both teams. However, the possibility of both teams scoring should not be excluded.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Our statistical analysis indicates that Alavès seems to have the advantage over Sevilla in this match, especially considering their strong home performance. However, as football is unpredictable, a reversal with Sevilla winning is also possible, which could present a good value bet.

Regarding the total number of goals, a low-scoring match is likely, probably under 2.5 goals. Both teams also appear likely to score based on our data. However, bettors are advised to exercise caution and place their bets considering their own analyses and the level of risk they are willing to take.

Lastly, it is important to note that sports betting does not guarantee a certain outcome, so it is crucial to bet responsibly.