Tipps Alaves Valladolid La Liga 18/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Alavès wins the match”

1. Alavès has shown better performance at home in their last 5 matches with a win in 40% of the cases and a draw in 20% of the cases. On the other hand, Valladolid only wins in 20% of the cases when playing away.

2. When analyzing offensive and defensive performances, Alavès has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 86% at home, which is significantly higher than Valladolid who has an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 64% away.

3. The probability for Alavès to win the match is 54.64%, which is much higher than Valladolid’s 20.22% probability of winning. This statistic indicates that the chances of winning are significantly in favor of Alavès.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. By analyzing Alavès’ last five home matches, they have scored 5 goals, averaging 1 goal per match, and conceded 6 goals, averaging 1.2 goals per match: this leaves little room for over 2.5 goals in total in the match.

2. On the other hand, Valladolid, in their last five away matches, have scored 4 goals, averaging 0.8 goals per match, and conceded 4 goals, also averaging 0.8 goals per match. This statistic also suggests a lower total goals in the match.

3. Looking at the head-to-head history between the two teams, the majority of matches have ended with less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Alavès has an offensive potential of 43% in their home games and has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match in their last 5 home games, showing an ability to score goals. On the other hand, Valladolid, with a defensive potential of 64%, has struggled to keep a clean sheet in their away matches.

2. Valladolid has scored an average of 0.8 goals per match in their last 5 away games. Despite a lower offensive potential of 29%, the team has still managed to score in their away matches. Alavès, on the other hand, concedes an average of 2.4 goals at home, suggesting that Valladolid could score in this match.

3. By looking at the recent scores of both teams, it can be seen that both Alavès and Valladolid have scored and conceded goals, indicating a trend where both teams have the potential to score at least one goal during the game. The “Both Teams to Score” prediction has a success probability of 50.27%, which is close to the balanced betting odds and reinforces this possibility.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Valladolid wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Alavès 1-0 Valladolid

1. Alavès, at home, shows a better performance than Valladolid away. Indeed, Alavès has a 40% win rate in their last home matches compared to Valladolid’s 20% away. Additionally, Alavès, while conceding 6 goals in their last 5 matches, managed to score 5 goals, indicating some offensive potential.

2. Analyzing the offensive and defensive potential of both teams in their recent matches, Alavès has a 43% offensive potential at home, higher than Valladolid’s 29% away. Moreover, Alavès’ defensive potential is at 86%, showing defensive solidity despite some lapses.

3. Looking at Valladolid’s away match history, it can be seen that Valladolid struggles to score. They have only scored in two of their last five matches away from home. Furthermore, Alavès has only conceded 6 goals in their last 5 home matches. These data suggest that it is likely Valladolid won’t score in this match, supporting the predicted score of 1-0 in favor of Alavès.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Alavès has shown solid form at home, winning 40% of their last 5 matches with only 20% ending in a draw. They have scored a total of 5 goals and conceded 6. On the other hand, Valladolid has struggled away from home, winning only 20% of their last 5 matches with no draws, scoring just 4 goals and conceding the same amount.

Alavès displays an attacking potential of 43% and a strong defensive level of 86%. They average 1.2 goals scored per match but concede a bit more at 2.4 goals. Valladolid, when playing away, has a lower attacking potential at 29% and only 64% defensively. They average just 0.8 goals scored and concede 1.8 goals per match.

According to the probabilities, Alavès has a 54.64% chance of winning this match, with odds at 1.78. A draw has a 25.14% chance, with odds at 3.60. A Valladolid win has only a 20.22% chance but offers higher odds at 5.00.

A relatively low number of goals is expected in this match. Over 1.5 goals is the most likely outcome with a 72.13% chance and odds at 1.40. Under 3.5 goals has a high probability of 88.52% with odds at 1.25. There is a 50.27% chance that both teams will score, with odds at 2.05.

In summary, a victory for Alavès seems probable, with a relatively low number of goals expected. This match could potentially see both teams scoring.

The potential number of goals

Alavès has a home win record of 40%, with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded in their last 5 matches, showing a relatively weak defense. They have an offensive potential of 43% and a defense at 86%.

Valladolid away has only achieved a 20% win rate, scoring 4 goals while also conceding 4. Their offensive potential is at 29% and their defense is at 64%, which is weaker than Alavès.

There is a 54.64% probability of Alavès winning, with odds of 1.78. A draw stands at 25.14% with odds of 3.60. Valladolid has only a 20.22% chance of winning, with odds of 5.00.

More than 1.5 goals have been scored in the match with a probability of 72.13% and odds of 1.40. The probability of under 3.5 goals is very high at 88.52% with odds of 1.25.

There is a 50/50 chance of both teams scoring, with a probability of 50.27% and odds of 2.05.

Based on these statistics, a possible prediction is a match with under 3.5 goals and Alavès as the likely winner.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the past performances of both teams and their recent home and away statistics, Alavès appears to be the favorite for this match. Their home form and defensive potential are significantly superior to Valladolid’s. This does not completely rule out the possibility of a Valladolid win, especially for bettors looking for a ‘value bet’. However, a safer bet would be to wager on fewer than 3.5 goals being scored during the match, taking into account the average number of goals in both teams’ recent games. Finally, there is a 50.27% probability of both teams scoring, which could also be an interesting bet to consider.