Tipps Albacete Eibar LaLiga 2 09/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Albacete wins the match

1. Albacete has shown a strong performance at home in their recent matches, with a win rate of 40% in their last 5 games. In contrast, Eibar has performed less well away from home, only winning in 20% of cases.

2. Albacete has a higher offensive potential at home with an average of 1.6 goals per game, compared to Eibar’s average of 2.2 goals per game away from home.

3. Based on the predicted success probabilities, Albacete has a 45.03% chance of winning the match, while Eibar only has a 25.65% chance. This means that Albacete has a statistical advantage to secure the victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. Goals Analysis: In their respective last five matches, Albacete has scored 8 goals and Eibar has scored 4. The average number of goals scored does not exceed 2.5 goals per match.
2. Match History: Looking at their recent matches, the majority have seen fewer than 2.5 goals.
3. Defensive Statistics: Over their last five matches, Albacete has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match, and Eibar has conceded the same average. This indicates solid defensive performances from both teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Performance History: In their recent matches, Albacete has shown the ability to score in every home game, scoring 8 goals in 5 matches, while Eibar has demonstrated a knack for scoring away from home, with 4 goals in 5 matches.

2. Defensive Capability: Both teams have displayed some defensive vulnerabilities, with Albacete conceding 10 goals in their last 5 home matches and Eibar conceding 4 goals in their last 5 away matches. This trend suggests that both teams are likely to concede goals.

3. Numerical Probability: Based on the provided probabilities, the “Both Teams to Score” option has a success probability of 53.93%. This is a positive quantitative indicator for this bet.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Eibar wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Albacete 1-1 Eibar

1. Eibar has a strong tendency to draw in their recent away matches, with 60% of draws in their last 5 away games. Combined with the fact that Albacete also draws in 20% of their home games, this provides a strong argument for a draw.

2. Both teams show similar statistics in terms of goals conceded per match, with an average of 0.8 conceded for both Albacete at home and Eibar away. Additionally, they both tend to score regularly in their respective matches, supporting the idea of a potentially balanced match in terms of goals scored.

3. The betting probabilities indicate under 2.5 goals as the most likely outcome, with a 94.24% success probability for fewer than 4.5 goals in the match. This aligns with the notion of a quite defensive match and hence a low-scoring result like a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Albacete wins 40% of their home matches, scoring 1.6 goals per game. Eibar only wins 20% away, but scores 2.2 goals. The defense remains the same, conceding 0.8 goals for both teams.

Albacete has a 45.03% chance of winning, better than Eibar’s 25.65%. However, a draw has odds of 3.20.

Albacete’s offensive potential is lower, at 57%, compared to Eibar’s 79%. Both teams have a chance to score, with a probability of 53.93%.

Albacete games often have less than 1.5 goals, with odds of 3.00 for under and 1.38 for over. Yet, the probability of over 2.5 goals is 45.03%.

In past matches, Albacete won 2 of their last 5 home games, while Eibar has one win and three draws away.

Therefore, Albacete seems slightly better positioned for this match, but a draw remains likely. Eibar has fewer wins but more goals. So, we can expect a close match with goals from both sides.

The potential number of goals

Albacete has performed well at home, winning 40% of its last 5 matches with a total of 8 goals. Their defensive weaknesses have allowed opponents to score 10 times. Eibar tends to draw away from home, with a 60% rate in their last 5 away games. They struggle to score, with only 4 goals, but compensate with a solid defense, conceding also 4 goals.

Albacete averages 1.6 goals per home match and concedes 0.8, with an offensive potential of 57% and defensive potential of 29%. Eibar performs better offensively away, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per match and conceding 0.8, with offensive potential of 79% and defensive potential of 29%.

Despite a low probability (25.65%), Eibar could turn things around with an attractive odds of 3.35. A safer bet would be a draw or Albacete’s win with a 74.35% probability at odds of 1.30. The probabilities suggest a low scoring game, with an 82.2% chance of less than 3.5 goals.

Analyzing recent results, both teams have chances to score with a 53.93% probability, which could lead to an interesting prediction.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Overall, this Segunda División match between Albacete and Eibar appears to be a tight and interesting game to keep an eye on. Albacete, boasting a strong home performance, seems to have a slight advantage, although Eibar’s solid defense should not be underestimated. Probability suggests Albacete could come out victorious, however, a draw, a 1-1 scoreline to be precise, is also a strong possibility.

As for betting, the Over/Under 2.5 bet seems to lean towards ‘Under’, indicating a low-scoring game. The BTTS bet suggests both teams will score, supported by their performance history and recent defensive vulnerabilities. A value bet could be placed on Eibar to win the match, considering the attractive odds despite their lower chances of victory.

In conclusion, whether you are a spectator or a bettor, this match offers elements of interest. As always, remember that sports betting involves risks and uncertainties, so always bet responsibly. Good luck!