Tipps Albania Azerbaijan Matchs amicaux 07/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Albania wins the match

1. Albania has a better home performance with a win in 60% of cases compared to Azerbaijan’s 40% win rate when playing away. This clearly indicates Albania’s home advantage.
2. Albania has scored more goals at home (8 goals) compared to Azerbaijan playing away (6 goals). This demonstrates Albania’s stronger offensive potential when playing at home.
3. Azerbaijan’s recent away matches show a tendency to concede many goals, especially against Belgium, Sweden, and Austria. This hints at a possible defensive weakness for Azerbaijan when playing away.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics show that both teams have low offensive potential and relatively high defensive potential. Albania has an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 36%. Azerbaijan, on the other hand, has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 50%. These figures indicate that both teams are more likely to defend than attack, limiting the number of goals scored.

2. In their last 5 matches, Albania averaged 0.8 goals per match and Azerbaijan averaged 1 goal per match. These averages, below the 2.5 goals average, support the idea that the total number of goals scored during the match will likely be below 2.5.

3. Looking at the scores of the recent matches, there is also a trend towards low scores. For example, in the last 5 home matches of Albania and the last 5 away matches of Azerbaijan, none have seen more than 2.5 goals scored (with the exception of three matches where Azerbaijan conceded 5 goals). This suggests that matches between these two teams are generally low-scoring.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: No

1. The average number of goals scored by both teams in their last 5 matches is relatively low (0.8 goals per match for Albania and 1 goal per match for Azerbaijan), indicating a low-scoring match is likely.
2. Defensive statistics show that Albania demonstrates solidity at home with a 36% defensive potential, while Azerbaijan has a 50% defensive potential away from home, suggesting a high probability that one or both teams may not score.
3. In Albania’s last 5 home matches, there have been two instances where they failed to score (Albania 0 – 3 Chile, Albania 0 – 0 Faroe Islands). Additionally, in Azerbaijan’s last 5 away matches, there have been two instances where they have failed to score (Belgium 5 – 0 Azerbaijan, Sweden 5 – 0 Azerbaijan). These data suggest that both teams may struggle to score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Fewer than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Albania 1-1 Azerbaijan.

1. In the last 5 matches, Albania has shown some home stability, with an average of 0.8 goals scored per match and 1 goal conceded per match. Predicting a single goal scored by each side would therefore be a reasonable prediction based on these statistics.

2. Similarly, Azerbaijan has managed to score at least one goal in 80% of their last 5 away matches, with an average of exactly one goal scored per match. Therefore, they should be capable of scoring against Albania.

3. While this may seem contradictory given their respective past performances, both teams have shown they have a fairly solid defense, with Albania conceding an average of 1 goal per home match and Azerbaijan conceding an average of 1.4 goals per away match. This suggests the match could be tight and end in a draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Albania at home has a solid performance record, with a 60% win rate and a 20% draw rate. They have scored 8 goals but conceded 8 as well. Against Azerbaijan, who only wins 40% of their away matches, Albania seems to have a home advantage. Albania’s offense is average with 0.8 goals per match, equating to 29% attacking efficiency, compared to Azerbaijan’s 1 goal per match or 36%.

Overall, Albania has a stronger defense, conceding an average of 1 goal per match, compared to Azerbaijan’s 1.4. This is a positive sign, especially considering Azerbaijan conceded 7 goals in their last 5 away matches.

The statistics indicate a potentially close match, with a high probability of less than 3.5 goals scored. It’s also likely that both teams will not score, with a 100% chance.

Based on Albania’s past home performances and Azerbaijan’s away form, a win or draw for Albania seems likely. However, the final decision should consider additional factors not available in these statistics, such as injuries, suspensions, and other unpredictable circumstances.

The potential number of goals

Albania has a strong home record, winning 60% of their matches. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 8 goals as well. Their defensive performance seems as strong as their attacking.

Azerbaijan on previous grounds does not show the same assurance, with a win in only 40% of matches. They have scored 6 goals but have let in 7.

Based on the average number of goals, Albania has an average of 0.8 goals per match and concedes one goal per match. This reflects an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 36%.

On the other hand, Azerbaijan averages 1 goal per match and concedes 1.4 goals. Their offensive potential is 36% and their defensive potential is 50%, a slightly higher figure.

In the past, Albania has managed to maintain high scores at home with dominant victories against Liechtenstein and the Czech Republic.

In contrast, Azerbaijan has suffered more defeats, notably against Belgium and Sweden with a considerable margin of 5 goals.

According to these statistics, it seems likely that the match will end with less than 3.5 goals, and perhaps even less than 4.5 goals. The probability that both teams will not score also seems high. However, the exact outcome of the match remains uncertain. These statistics should be taken into account but in light of other factors as well.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering past performances, the current form of the teams, and a thorough analysis of the statistics, it appears that Albania has a slight advantage in this match due to their home performance. However, Azerbaijan should not be underestimated either, as they have shown strong defensive skills, especially in their away matches. It is likely that this match will be closely contested and result in fewer than 2.5 goals overall. Given these factors, an interesting bet with good value could be to wager on fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. However, remember that sports betting is unpredictable, and it is important to also consider other non-statistical factors such as key absences due to injuries or suspensions, unfavorable weather conditions, or the teams’ morale.