Tipps Albania Spain Euro 2024 24/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Spain wins the match.

1. Recent Performance: Referring to the given statistics, Spain has a superior performance compared to Albania in their last five matches. Spain has a win rate of 60%, while Albania also has the same win rate, but Spain has scored 11 goals compared to Albania’s 8, proving better offensive efficiency.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Spain has a higher average goals scored in their last 5 matches (3.4 goals per match) compared to Albania’s 1.8. Furthermore, Spain has conceded fewer goals (0.8 per match) compared to Albania (1.2 per match). These numbers demonstrate that Spain has a more solid offensive and defensive potential than Albania.

3. Success Probability: According to the provided odds and probabilities, Spain has a much higher chance of winning (77.48%) compared to Albania (5.41%). This significant difference in success probabilities is a strong indicator of Spain’s dominance in the upcoming match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Spain has shown a very high offensive potential in their recent away matches, with an average of 3.4 goals scored per game. This goal-scoring ability significantly contributes to reaching the 2.5 goals threshold.

2. Both teams have relatively weak defenses, with Albania conceding an average of 1.2 goals per home game and Spain conceding an average of 0.8 goals away. These defensive weaknesses could result in a high-scoring game.

3. The statistics and probabilities provided for this match indicate over 2.5 goals, with a success probability of 61.26%. The odds also favor a game with over 2.5 goals, further supporting this argument.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Spain’s offensive potential away from home is high, with an average of 3.4 goals per match, indicating a strong tendency to score in this match against Albania.
2. Albania has also shown an ability to score at home, with an average of 1.8 goals per match, so even though Spain is favored to win, Albania also has good chances of scoring.
3. Spain’s recent away matches have also shown a tendency for both teams to score, such as the matches against Cyprus (1-3) and against Georgia (1-7). Additionally, Albania has managed to score in 4 of their last 5 home matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Albania 1-3 Spain

1. Spain’s offensive performance away from home is very strong, with an average of 3.4 goals per match and an offensive potential of 121%. Faced with Albania’s defense, which has a defensive potential of 43%, it is highly likely that Spain could score at least 3 goals in this match.

2. Albania has a fairly solid home performance with a 60% win rate and an average of 1.8 goals per match. They will probably be able to score at least one goal despite Spain’s strong defense, which has only conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match away from home.

3. Spain has a strong 60% away win rate and a win probability rate for this match of 77.48%, suggesting strongly that they will have the advantage in this match and likely secure victory with a 3-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Albania, performing well at home, wins 60% of their matches but concedes 8 goals, indicating room for improvement in defense.

On the other hand, Spain maintains the same winning rate away from home but displays excellent offensive performance with 11 goals scored, albeit with a defensive slip-up by conceding 13 goals.

Perceived by the odds, Spain appears to have the edge with a high probability of winning the match (77.48%). Both teams have shown offensive potential, so there is a strong likelihood of seeing over 1.5 goals in the match (83.78%).

This match is uncertain, as while Spain is the favorite, Albania could also spring a surprise. Their recent victories over Azerbaijan (3-1) and Liechtenstein (3-0) are evidence of this. As for Spain, their impressive win over Georgia (7-1) showcases their potential dominance.

In conclusion, Spain seems more likely to win this match. However, the questionable defensive performances of both teams suggest that there could be over 1.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Albania shows balanced performances at home, with 60% of wins and an average of 1.8 goals scored per match. Spain, playing away, also boasts a 60% win rate, with a notable offensive record of 3.4 goals per match.

Comparing goals conceded, Albania demonstrates a solid defense at home, conceding 1.2 goals per match. Spain appears weak in defense when playing away, conceding 0.8 goals per match.

Spain is heavily favored with a probability of winning the match at 77.48%. Albania has only a 5.41% chance of winning. A draw or a Spain victory is more likely, with a probability of 94.59%.

Regarding goals, there is an 83.78% chance of seeing over 1.5 goals in the match, and a 61.26% chance of over 2.5 goals. Neither team clearly dominates, with a 50.45% probability of both teams scoring.

This analysis suggests a match with over 2.5 goals and a probable victory for Spain.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, Spain appears to be the clear favorite to win this match against Albania. The statistics, past performances, and odds all heavily favor Spain. However, Albania should not be underestimated, as they have shown offensive potential in their recent home games.

Fundamentally, the most convincing bet lies on over 2.5 goals in this match, given the offensive trend of both teams and their fairly leaky defenses. The “both teams to score” bet also seems like an interesting option, as both teams have displayed their ability to find the back of the net.

In terms of the exact score, the analysis suggests a match in favor of Spain with a likely score of 3-1. This reflects Spain’s offensive strength and the possibility of Albania scoring despite a probable defeat.

Nevertheless, it must be remembered that football is an unpredictable sport, and even though all statistics point towards a Spain win, Albania could spring a surprise. It is essential to consider all these factors before making a bet. Good luck to everyone.