Tipps Albirex Niigata Consadole Sapporo J1 League 13/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

My prediction for this match is : Draw or Albirex Niigata wins the match.

1. Albirex Niigata has a strong home record with a 40% win rate and 20% draw rate, indicating their ability to handle the pressure of playing at home and either draw or win the match.

2. Consadole Sapporo has shown a poor away performance, winning only 20% of the time and drawing 40% of the time. Additionally, they have a high goals conceded rate (2.2 goals per match on average), which could favor Albirex Niigata to score goals and either win or draw the match.

3. In terms of probabilities, the forecast of “Draw or Albirex Niigata win” has a success rate of 72.16%, which is considerably higher than Consadole Sapporo’s win probability of 27.84%. This strongly suggests that Albirex Niigata is more likely to win or draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Poorer than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The previous performances of both teams show a tendency towards low scores. Albirex Niigata has only scored 3 goals in 5 home matches. On the other hand, Consadole Sapporo has only scored 7 goals in 5 away matches, averaging less than 2.5 goals per match for both teams.

2. Detailed statistics indicate that Albirex Niigata has an average offensive potential of only 29% at home, and Consadole Sapporo has the same offensive potential away. This suggests that it is unlikely that a large number of goals will be scored in this match.

3. Probability calculations show that the scenario of “under 2.5 goals in the match” has a higher success probability (53.61%) compared to the scenario of “over 2.5 goals in the match” (46.39%). These figures reinforce the idea that it is more likely that less than 2.5 goals will be scored in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

“Both teams score: Yes”

1. The statistics show that both teams have been scoring and conceding goals in their recent matches. Albirex Niigata has scored 3 times and conceded 3 times in 5 home matches, while Consadole Sapporo has scored 7 times and conceded 8 times in 5 away matches. This indicates that both teams have the ability to attack and score, but also show some vulnerability in defense which could lead to a match where both teams score.

2. Upon analyzing their previous matches, it can be observed that in their last 5 home matches, Albirex Niigata has scored on 3 occasions while Consadole Sapporo has scored in all their away matches. This suggests that both teams have a proven tendency to score when they play.

3. Consadole Sapporo’s offensive and defensive potential, with an away offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 79%, also suggests the possibility of both teams scoring. Their ability to score coupled with their defensive vulnerability could also lean towards a match where both teams find the back of the net.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Albirex Niigata wins the match – 1.42

Bet on the exact result

Albirex Niigata 1-1 Consadole Sapporo

1. The historical performances of these two teams show a very clear tendency towards a close score. Statistics demonstrate that Albirex Niigata draws at home 20% of the time and Consadole Sapporo draws away 40% of the time, suggesting a draw is a likely outcome.

2. Analysis of their offensive and defensive performance shows a strong similarity between the two teams. They score an average of the same number of goals per match (0.8) and concede at a similar frequency (1.2 for Albirex Niigata and 2.2 for Consadole Sapporo), indicating a comparable level that could result in a balanced score.

3. Their recent respective home and away matches also reveal relatively low scores. Neither Albirex Niigata nor Consadole Sapporo have exceeded the 2-goal threshold in the majority of these encounters, indicating a trend towards a low-scoring match – like a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Albirex Niigata, at home, has shown a decent performance with a win in 40% of its last 5 matches. They have scored 3 goals, balanced by conceding 3 goals as well.

Consadole Sapporo, on the other hand, struggles away from home, winning only 20% of their last 5 outings. With 7 goals scored and 8 conceded, their attacking prowess is more significant but their defense is lacking.

Based on calculations, Albirex Niigata seems to have an advantage with a 40.21% chance of winning compared to 27.84% for Consadole Sapporo. However, a draw is possible with nearly 1 in 3 chance.

A relatively low number of goals is expected, with a probability of over 70% for under 2.5 goals. The possibility of under 1.5 goals in the match is evaluated at 3.30.

Statistics suggest that both teams could score, with a probability of 53.61%.

Looking at their previous matches, Albirex Niigata has rarely allowed their opponents to score at home. On the other hand, Consadole Sapporo has struggled away, except in their last match against FC Tokyo.

Considering these factors, Albirex Niigata seems more favorable in this match but a low score is expected. Nonetheless, the unpredictable nature of football makes any prediction uncertain.

The potential number of goals

Albirex Niigata shows a strong home defense, having conceded only 3 goals in 5 matches. Their offensive potential is average, with 0.8 goals per match. As for Sapporo, they have scored 7 times and conceded 8 goals away from home. This demonstrates a strong defensive vulnerability, with a defensive potential of 79%.

In terms of probability, Niigata has a 40.21% chance of winning, while Sapporo has 27.84%. The draw stands at 31.96%. Therefore, the bet “Niigata wins or draw” has a probability of 72.16%.

The match is expected to be high-scoring. Over 1.5 goals has a probability of 72.68%. Considering Sapporo’s weak defense, the bet “both teams to score” at 53.61% is appealing.

Based on these data, a possible prediction would be “Niigata wins or draw” and “both teams to score”.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, if you wish to place a bet on the match between Albirex Niigata and Consadole Sapporo, there are several interesting options. The prediction “Draw or Albirex Niigata wins the match” has a particularly high probability of success. It is therefore suggested to bet on this possibility. Additionally, it seems less likely that there will be more than 2.5 goals during the match, considering the past performances of both teams. Finally, it appears probable that both teams will score.

The detailed analysis of all the data leads us to a rather cautious betting strategy, with a particular focus on the likely performance of Albirex Niigata. However, all predictions involve a certain degree of risk, and it is recommended to bet responsibly. Never forget that sports, and football in particular, can be unpredictable and hold surprises.