Tipps Albirex Niigata FC Tokyo J1 League 27/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Given the statistics provided, my prediction would be “FC Tokyo to win the match”. FC Tokyo has shown a higher offensive and defensive potential in their last 5 away matches and has scored more goals in previous games. The probability of winning the match for Albirex Niigata appears lower due to their home game history.

1. FC Tokyo’s offensive potential: FC Tokyo has an offensive potential of 71% away from home, scoring an average of 2 goals per game in its last 5 away matches. Additionally, the team has scored 11 goals in these matches, which is significantly higher than Albirex Niigata who has only scored 4 goals in their last 5 home matches.

2. FC Tokyo’s defensive performance: FC Tokyo also has a better defensive performance with a defensive potential of 43% compared to Albirex Niigata’s 29%. Although FC Tokyo has conceded more goals (13 goals) than Niigata (4 goals), it is mainly due to their more aggressive offensive strategy which has also led to a higher goal production.

3. Recent performance history: Looking at the results of the last 5 matches, FC Tokyo has more often emerged victorious or drawn (80% of the time), while Albirex Niigata has less frequently won their home matches (40% win rate, 20% draws). Furthermore, FC Tokyo’s recent performance away from home in matches against YSCC, Tokyo Verdy, Kawasaki Frontale, Avispa Fukuoka, and Cerezo Osaka reveals a significant trend in scoring, with results such as 0-4, 2-2, 3-0, 1-3, and 2-2 respectively.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive performance of Albirex Niigata at home is weak, with an average of 0.8 goals scored per match in their last 5 matches. This low productivity could lead to a low total number of goals.
2. FC Tokyo, despite averaging 2 goals per away match, will be playing against Albirex Niigata’s defense which has been relatively solid at home, conceding only 0.8 goals on average per match.
3. Albirex Niigata’s recent home matches have generally produced less than 2.5 goals (for example, 1-1 against Consadole Sapporo, 0-1 against Cerezo Osaka, 1-0 against Nagoya Grampus, etc.), indicating a trend of low-scoring matches for the home team.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Score history: Recent home matches for Albirex Niigata and away matches for FC Tokyo indicate that both teams tend to score. Albirex Niigata has scored in 4/5 recent home matches, while FC Tokyo has scored in all recent away matches.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Albirex Niigata has an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 29%, indicating they are likely to both score and concede. Additionally, FC Tokyo has an offensive potential of 71% and a defensive potential of 43%, indicating they are more than likely to both score and concede.

3. Average goals per match: The average goals per match for Albirex Niigata at home is 0.8 (both scored and conceded), while for FC Tokyo away, it is an average of 2 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match, suggesting both teams have the ability to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 1.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Albirex Niigata 1-2 FC Tokyo

1. Recent statistics: In their last 5 home matches, Albirex Niigata have scored and conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match. This indicates a balanced attack and defense that could justify a potential goal in this match. As for FC Tokyo, they score an average of 2 goals and concede 1.2 goals away from home. These data suggest an aggressive attack and a slightly more vulnerable defense, likely to score 2 goals and concede 1 during the match.

2. Head-to-head history: FC Tokyo’s previous matches have mainly been high-scoring affairs, with a minimum of 2 goals scored in four of their last five away matches. Additionally, Albirex Niigata has managed to score at least one goal in four of their last five home matches, suggesting they have the capability to score at least one goal in this match.

3. Offensive and defensive potentials: FC Tokyo have an offensive potential of 71%, a high score reflecting their ability to score goals. With a defensive potential of 43%, it is also plausible that they may concede a goal. On the other hand, Albirex Niigata has an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 29%, meaning they could potentially score but also concede a goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Albirex Niigata, in the last 5 home matches, has shown resilience but lacks offensive firepower. They have won 2 matches, drawn 2, and lost 1, scoring 4 goals while conceding 4.

On the other hand, Tokyo FC has established themselves as an attacking force on the road with 11 goals scored in 5 matches. They have secured 2 wins and 2 draws, but have also allowed 13 goals.

Albirex Niigata has a mediocre offensive and defensive potential at 29%. FC Tokyo, on the other hand, is more impressive in attack at 71% and defends at 43%.

The stats predict a relatively close match. No clear prediction is given for the winner, with a 0% probability for all outcomes.

In terms of goals, it is likely that this match will end with fewer than 3.5 or 4.5 goals. Both teams might even struggle to score.

These two teams have had mixed results in their home and away matches. Albirex Niigata has struggled against teams like Consadole Sapporo and Cerezo Osaka. Meanwhile, FC Tokyo has impressed against YSCC and Avispa Fukuoka but lost to Kawasaki Frontale.

Given this data, the outcome of the match appears uncertain. Take these statistics into consideration when placing your bets.

The potential number of goals

Analysis of the Albirex Niigata vs. FC Tokyo match:

Albirex Niigata has shown a stable performance at home, winning 40% of matches and maintaining a balance between goals scored and conceded (4 goals). This reflects an offensive and defensive potential of 29%.

On the other hand, FC Tokyo has displayed a strong away performance, averaging 2 goals per match and an offensive potential of 71%. However, their defense leaves something to be desired, with a defensive potential of 43%.

Based on statistics, it is likely that the match will see less than 3.5 goals, given the 100% success rate. Additionally, it is interesting to note that the data suggests that both teams may not score, with a success probability of 100%.

Looking at recent results, FC Tokyo appears to be the in-form team, scoring multiple goals away from home. Nevertheless, Albirex Niigata has shown that they can hold their own at home.

The statistics do not point to a clear favorite for this match, but indicate a low-scoring game. Prediction: under 3.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Albirex Niigata and FC Tokyo appears to be in favor of FC Tokyo based on previous performances and offensive potential. However, Albirex Niigata’s relatively strong defensive potential at home could make the match more competitive and lead to a final score of 1-2 in favor of FC Tokyo.

In terms of “Over/Under” bets, the option of “Under 2.5 goals in the match” seems most likely given Niigata’s offensive performance and Tokyo’s solid but not infallible defense.

The bet “Both teams to score: Yes” also looks promising based on recent scoring history of both teams. As for the bet on “Over 1.5 goals in the match,” the data suggests it offers an interesting value bet.

It is always important to remember that sports betting carries risks and should be done responsibly. Past performances do not guarantee future results, and every football match remains unpredictable. However, statistical data can help make a more informed choice.