Tipps Albirex Niigata Kawasaki Frontale J1 League 22/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Kawasaki Frontale wins the match”

1. Kawasaki Frontale has a higher offensive potential compared to Albirex Niigata, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per match against Albirex’s 2.2. This could mean that Kawasaki will have a better ability to score in this match.

2. Away from home, Kawasaki Frontale has a much stronger defensive potential than Albirex Niigata at home. On average, Kawasaki only concedes 0.8 goals per match compared to Albirex’s 1.6. This suggests that Kawasaki’s defense could be sturdy enough to withstand Albirex’s attacks.

3. The recent away matches of Kawasaki Frontale demonstrate an ability to secure draws in tough situations and to score against strong teams. On the other hand, Albirex Niigata seems to have defensive difficulties at home, conceding many goals in their recent matches. Kawasaki could therefore exploit these weaknesses.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Albirex Niigata and Kawasaki Frontale both have a high offensive potential. In fact, in their last 5 home matches, Albirex Niigata scored an average of 2.2 goals per game while Kawasaki Frontale scored an average of 2.4 goals per game in their last 5 outings.

2. The defenses of both teams are not very solid. Albirex Niigata conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game at home, while Kawasaki Frontale conceded an average of 0.8 goals per game away, which suggests a high probability of both teams scoring in the match.

3. Match histories also indicate a tendency for high-scoring games. The recent home matches of Albirex Niigata have seen plenty of goals (e.g. Albirex Niigata 4 – 4 Kitakyushu), as well as the recent away matches of Kawasaki Frontale (e.g. Sagan Tosu 5 – 2 Kawasaki Frontale). Therefore, it is reasonable to expect at least 3 goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Albirex Niigata has a strong offensive performance at home with an average of 2.2 goals per match and an offensive capability of 79%. Additionally, in their last 5 home matches, Albirex Niigata has scored in every game.

2. Despite a low winning performance in away matches, Kawasaki Frontale has an offensive potential of 86% with an average of 2.4 goals per match. This indicates that they are capable of scoring even when playing away.

3. Both teams have weaknesses in defense, with Albirex Niigata conceding an average of 1.6 goals per home match and Frontale conceding 0.8 goals away. The probability of both teams scoring is 56.99%, which is higher than the probability of neither team scoring (43.01%).

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Albirex Niigata 2-2 Kawasaki Frontale.

1. The offensive potential of Albirex Niigata at home and Kawasaki Frontale away is 79% and 86% respectively. Moreover, both teams have been scoring at least 2 goals per game on average in their recent matches, suggesting a possible 2-2 draw.

2. Looking at Albirex Niigata’s last five home matches, there is a high frequency of draws (40%) and a trend of conceding quite a few goals (16 goals conceded). This indicates that Albirex Niigata might struggle to contain Kawasaki Frontale’s attack, which has scored 6 goals in their last 5 away matches.

3. The probability of both teams scoring in this match is relatively high (56.99%), suggesting that each team is likely to score at least one goal. Furthermore, the probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored in the match is 60.22%, supporting the hypothesis of a 2-2 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Albirex Niigata shows a rather balanced home performance with 40% of wins and draws. They have scored 12 goals while conceding 16. On the other hand, Kawasaki Frontale shows weakness away from home with no wins but 40% draws. They have scored fewer goals (6) but also conceded fewer (8).

Niigata has an offensive strength of 79% with 2.2 goals per match, but a weaker defense at 57% conceding an average of 1.6 goals. Frontale, despite their away struggles, has an offensive power of 86% with 2.4 goals per match, and an excellent defense at 29% conceding only 0.8 goals.

The odds give Kawasaki a higher chance of winning (40.86%) than Albirex (34.41%). A draw is also likely (24.73%). If considering a draw or a win for Albirex, the chances increase to 59.14%, however still lower than a draw or a win for Frontale (65.59%).

The number of goals seems significant with a 77.96% chance for over 1.5 goals and 60.22% for over 2.5 goals. Both teams appear likely to score with a 56.99% probability.

In summary, Kawasaki has a chance to win despite a poor away record. However, Albirex has a high offensive potential that could give them the edge. A high-scoring match is probable.

The potential number of goals

Albirex Niigata shows some strength at home, with a 40% win rate and draw rate each in the last 5 matches. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 16, indicating a strong offense but a somewhat weak defense.

On the other hand, Kawasaki Frontale has not shone in their recent outings. They have failed to win any of their last 5 matches but have drawn in 40% of the cases. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 8.

More precisely, Albirex Niigata has a home offensive potential of 79% and a defensive potential of 57%. Meanwhile, Kawasaki Frontale has an away offensive potential of 86% and a defensive potential of 29%.

Based on their recent matches, the probability of Albirex Niigata winning the match is 34.41%. The draw has a probability of 24.73%. On the other hand, Kawasaki Frontale has a 40.86% chance of winning.

In terms of goals, we could see at least 1.5 goals in the match with a probability of 77.96%. The probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals is also significant at 60.22%. However, the probability of both teams scoring is 56.99%.

Therefore, the match could be tight and offensive with goals from both sides.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Conclusion

Based on the detailed analysis, Kawasaki Frontale appears slightly more favored to win this match, despite their generally weaker away performance. This is mainly due to their strong attacking ability and more solid defense compared to Albirex Niigata.

However, Albirex Niigata should not be underestimated, as their home offensive performance is both impressive and consistent. A draw cannot be ruled out either, as both teams have shown an ability to score regularly.

In terms of betting, a wager on over 2.5 goals seems like a wise choice, considering both teams’ offensive output and tendency for high-scoring matches. Similarly, a bet on both teams to score could be intriguing, given their sometimes vulnerable defenses.

In summary, this match is brimming with potential due to the offensive firepower of both teams. It not only promises to be exciting but also full of opportunities for savvy bettors.