Tipps Albirex Niigata Machida Zelvia J1 League 25/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Machida Zelvia wins the match.”

1. Machida Zelvia has a better win rate in their last 5 away matches, with 60% wins compared to only 20% for Albirex Niigata at home.
2. Although both teams have a similar defensive potential, Machida Zelvia has slightly superior offensive potential, averaging one goal per match while Albirex Niigata scores 1.4 goals per home match.
3. The calculated success probability for a Machida Zelvia win is higher (41.05%) compared to that of an Albirex Niigata win (26.84%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Considering the recent performances of both teams, Albirex Niigata averages 1.4 goals per home match, while Machida Zelvia scores an average of 1 goal per away match. When combined, these averages give us a total of only 2.4 goals per match, which is less than 2.5.

2. Albirex Niigata has conceded an average of 1 goal per home match, and Machida Zelvia has conceded an average of 1 goal per away match. This shows the defensive strength of both teams, which could result in a low-scoring match.

3. The bookmakers’ odds also seem to support the prediction of under 2.5 goals in the match, as the odds for under 2.5 goals are lower (1.70) than those for over 2.5 goals (2.10), indicating that it is more likely that there will be under 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The goal statistics of both teams in their last 5 matches show a trend of scoring and conceding goals. Albirex Niigata has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and Machida Zelvia an average of 1 goal per match, with average goals conceded of 1 each.

2. The probabilities of a draw are quite high for both teams, with 32.11% for Albirex Niigata and 40% for Machida Zelvia. This indicates a possibility of a scenario where both teams will score.

3. The recent home match history of Albirex Niigata and away match history of Machida Zelvia demonstrate that both teams have the ability to score in each match, with most of these matches ending with goals scored by both sides.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Machida Zelvia wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Albirex Niigata 1-2 Machida Zelvia

1. Machida Zelvia has shown better performances away from home: in the last 5 matches, Machida Zelvia has won in 60% of the cases. This contrasts with Albirex Niigata’s home performances, where they only win in 20% of the cases. Furthermore, Machida Zelvia has scored more goals on the road while Albirex Niigata has conceded a significant number of goals at home.

2. A significant number of Machida Zelvia’s recent away matches have ended with over 2 total goals: most of Machida’s recent matches have seen over 2 total goals. This, combined with Albirex Niigata conceding many goals at home, strengthens the idea of a match with at least 3 total goals.

3. The provided probabilities give Machida Zelvia a higher chance of winning the match: with a probability of 41.05% for Machida Zelvia’s victory compared to only 26.84% for Albirex Niigata, these data support the idea that Machida Zelvia is the favorite for this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Albirex Niigata struggles at home, with only a 20% win rate and 40% draws. Scoring 10 goals in 5 matches doesn’t offset the 12 goals conceded. Offensive potential: 50% and defensive potential: 36%.

Machida Zelvia performs well away, winning 60% of their matches and drawing 40%. Goals scored and conceded are balanced with seven each. Offensive and defensive potential set at 36%.

Probability of victory: Albirex Niigata 26.84%, Draw 32.11%, Machida Zelvia 41.05%. Albirex Niigata or Draw has a 58.95% chance.

There’s a 73.16% probability of over 1.5 goals in the match, compared to under 3.5 goals at 73.16% as well.

The probability of both teams scoring is 52.63%.

Past performances indicate weakness for Albirex Niigata at home and strong performance for Machida Zelvia away.

Prediction based on these data: a win for Machida Zelvia, with over 1.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Albirex Niigata is less successful at home, with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 matches. They score an average of 1.4 goals per home game, but their defense is lacking, having conceded 12 goals in their last 5 matches.

Machida Zelvia is performing well, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 away matches. They score less, with an average of 1 goal per match, but their defense is strong, having only conceded 8 goals.

Machida’s offensive and defensive potential is similar to Niigata’s. The probabilities favor a Machida win with a 41.05% chance, followed by a 32.11% chance of a draw.

It is likely that the number of goals in this match will be low, with odds of 3.00 for under 1.5 goals. The probability of both teams scoring is 52.63%, which could be interesting for a riskier bet.

In conclusion, it seems more prudent to bet on a Machida Zelvia win or under 1.5 goals. Remember, nothing is certain in the world of football, and the element of surprise is always present.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on recent statistics, offensive and defensive performances, as well as calculated probabilities, it appears that the most likely scenario for the match between Albirex Niigata and Machida Zelvia is a victory for Machida Zelvia. The probabilities also suggest that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals in total during the match, and a bet on both teams scoring could be wise.

It is also worth considering Machida Zelvia’s recent away performance, which has been stronger than Albirex Niigata’s home record.

However, despite these forecasts being based on data and statistical analysis, football is an unpredictable sport and unforeseen events could always influence the match outcome. That is why it’s important to bet responsibly and not risk more money than you can afford to lose.