Tipps Albirex Niigata Sagan Tosu J1 League 06/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Albirex Niigata wins the match.”

1. Albirex Niigata’s offensive potential compared to Sagan Tosu’s: In their respective last 5 matches, Albirex Niigata has an offensive potential of 64% with an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Sagan Tosu has an offensive potential of 43% with an average of 1.2 goals per match. Therefore, Albirex Niigata is more likely to score goals than Sagan Tosu, increasing their chances of winning.

2. Albirex Niigata’s recent home score: Recent results of Albirex Niigata at home show a good team performance. Indeed, in their last 5 home matches, they have won 2 matches and drawn once. Thus, the team’s trend of performing well at home can be considered a major asset for their victory in this match.

3. Team success probability: According to the probabilities, Albirex Niigata has a success probability of 50.51% to win the match, which is significantly higher than Sagan Tosu’s victory probability (20.92%). This suggests that the probabilities favor Albirex Niigata to win this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent goal statistics: Albirex Niigata has an offensive potential of 64% with an average of 1.8 goals per home match in their last 5 games. Similarly, Sagan Tosu has an offensive potential of 43% with an average of 1.2 goals per away match in their last 5 games. These statistics suggest a likely total of over 2.5 goals.

2. Defensive performances: Albirex Niigata has a defensive potential of 57% and concedes an average of 1.6 goals per home match, while Sagan Tosu also has a defensive potential of 57% and concedes an average of 1.6 goals per away match. This indicates that both teams are likely to concede goals, contributing to the total of over 2.5 goals.

3. Head-to-head history: The recent home matches of Albirex Niigata and the recent away matches of Sagan Tosu have all exceeded the total of 2.5 goals, indicating a consistent trend towards high-scoring games between these two teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. According to statistics, Albirex Niigata has scored and conceded goals in most of their recent home matches, showing a clear trend towards both teams scoring.
2. Sagan Tosu, during their away games, has also displayed a tendency to score and concede goals, further supporting the argument that both teams are likely to score during the match.
3. The statistics regarding the probability of both teams scoring – 57.14% success rate – add significant weight to this prediction, making it based on strong statistical probability.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Both teams to score at 1.68

Bet on the exact result

Albirex Niigata 2-1 Sagan Tosu

1. Albirex Niigata’s home performance: Albirex Niigata’s home performance shows higher scores, with an average of 1.8 goals per match. This is higher than Sagan Tosu’s average of 1.2 goals per away match. This supports the prediction of Albirex scoring two goals.

2. Sagan Tosu’s defensive potential: Sagan Tosu’s defensive potential away from home is 57%. Compared to their offensive potential of 43%, there is a likelihood that this team will concede more goals than they score. This supports the prediction that Sagan Tosu will score one goal but concede two.

3. Goal statistics in the match: According to the odds, there is a 55.1% probability of there being more than 2.5 goals in the match, favoring the prediction of a 2-1 exact score. Additionally, the probability of both teams scoring is 57.14%, which also aligns with this prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Albirex Niigata has a mixed form at home with 40% wins and 20% draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 12 goals but also conceded 13 goals, showing a slightly weak defense.

Sagan Tosu, on the other hand, has a weaker performance away from home with only 20% wins and 20% draws. They have scored fewer goals (5) and conceded more (6), indicating a lack of offensive firepower.

In terms of potential, Albirex Niigata has an offensive rate of 64% with an average of 1.8 goals per home match. Their defensive potential is 57%. Sagan Tosu has an offensive potential of 43% with an average of 1.2 goals per away match. Their defensive potential is the same as Albirex’s, at 57%.

The probability of Albirex Niigata winning the match is 50.51%. A draw has a slightly lower probability of 28.57%. Sagan Tosu only has a 20.92% chance of winning.

The probability of there being over 1.5 goals in the match is 79.59%. Both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 57.14%.

Based on these statistics, a prediction could suggest a win for Albirex Niigata or a draw with over 1.5 goals. However, sports betting is unpredictable. Nothing is guaranteed.

The potential number of goals

Albirex Niigata, at home, has a rather balanced offensive and defensive strength. In 5 matches, they have scored 12 goals and conceded 13. Their offensive potential is 64% and defensive is 57%.

Conversely, Sagan Tosu scores less but defends better away. In 5 matches, they have scored 5 goals and conceded 6. Their offensive potential is 43% and defensive is 57%.

Still at home, Albirex Niigata wins in 40% of cases and draws in 20%. However, Sagan Tosu, away, struggles to win with only 20% victories and 20% draws.

Overall, Albirex Niigata has a slight edge in terms of success probabilities, with 50.51% against 20.92% for Sagan Tosu.

The most successful option is “Over 1.5 goals in the match” at 79.59%. This suggests a rather lively game.

In summary, Albirex Niigata at home seems to have a slight advantage. However, a close match with several goals is to be expected.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistics and analysis indicate a favorable trend for Albirex Niigata to win in this match against Sagan Tosu. An interesting betting strategy could involve placing a bet on Albirex Niigata to win with a score exceeding 2.5 goals, combined with the probability that both teams will score at least one goal. That being said, a bet on an exact score of 2-1 in favor of Albirex Niigata also seems like an interesting bet in terms of potential reward. However, it is always important to remember that sports betting carries risks and it is essential to bet responsibly.