Tipps Albirex Niigata Yokohama F. Marinos J1 League 15/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Albirex Niigata or draw.

1. Albirex Niigata has a high probability of not losing at home with 60% of draws in their last 5 home matches.
2. Yokohama F. Marinos has a poor away record with only 20% of wins in their last 5 away matches.
3. Statistically, the combination “Draw or Albirex Niigata wins the match” has a higher likelihood of success (65.63%) compared to “Yokohama F. Marinos wins the match” (34.38%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams suggest a high-scoring match. On average, Albirex Niigata scores 1.4 goals and concedes 2.2 goals per game at home, while Yokohama F. Marinos has scored and conceded 1.4 and 1.6 goals respectively away from home.
2. The recent head-to-head records of both teams also point to many goals. Indeed, in the majority of their last 5 matches, Albirex Niigata and Yokohama F. Marinos have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
3. The prediction based on the probability of over 2.5 goals in the match is 52.08%, which is higher than the prediction for under 2.5 goals. This indicates a trend towards high-scoring games between these two teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have an offensive potential of 50% by scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match, indicating that they both have a strong ability to score goals.
2. Both teams have also shown defensive weaknesses with Albirex Niigata conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match (defensive potential of 79%) and Yokohama F. Marinos conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match (defensive potential of 57%).
3. Match histories indicate that both teams have scored in most of their recent matches, with Albirex Niigata scoring in four of their last five home matches and Yokohama F. Marinos scoring in four of their last five away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Albirex Niigata 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos.

1. Albirex Niigata have a high rate of draws at home, with 60% in their last 5 matches. Additionally, they average 1.4 goals per game, which aligns with the prediction of 1 goal in this match.

2. On the other hand, Yokohama F. Marinos have a relatively low success rate when playing away, winning only 20% of the time. However, they manage to score an average of 1.4 goals per game on the road, which is also in line with the prediction of 1 goal from them in this match.

3. The prediction also considers the fact that both teams have a fairly high probability of scoring in a match, at 60.94%. This further supports the idea that a 1-1 scoreline is quite plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Albirex Niigata struggles to win their home matches, with no wins in the last 5. Instead, 60% end in a draw, with 5 goals for and 6 against.

Yokohama F. Marinos, away from home, win 1 out of 5, and draw in 20% of matches. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 8.

Niigata has a 50% offensive potential and 79% defensive potential at home. Yokohama, away, has the same offensive statistics, but a slightly weaker defense at 57%.

The forecast shows a slight advantage for Niigata with a success rate of 39.06% compared to Yokohama’s 34.38%.

Another key data point is the chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, with a 52.08% probability at odds of 1.83. Less convincing, under 1.5 goals is unlikely at odds of only 3.60.

Finally, both teams have a 60.94% chance of scoring at odds of 1.65. However, both teams not scoring is also possible with odds of 2.15.

In summary, this match is likely to be tight with good chances of seeing a higher score. Niigata at home has a slight advantage, despite their recent lack of victories. Their draw rate could suggest a bet on a draw or a Niigata win.

The potential number of goals

Albirex Niigata have struggled at home recently, with no wins and three draws in five matches. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6. Their offensive potential is 50% and defensive potential is 79%.

On the other hand, Yokohama have only won once away and had one draw. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 8. Their offensive potential is also 50%, but their defense is less solid at 57%.

Furthermore, there is a 39.06% probability of Albirex Niigata winning the match with odds of 2.50. The probability of a draw is 26.56% with odds of 3.30. Yokohama has a 34.38% chance of winning with odds of 2.70.

There is a 79.17% probability of seeing more than 1.5 goals in this match and a 52.08% probability of more than 2.5 goals. It is also likely that both teams will score, with a probability of 60.94%.

Based on these numbers, a fairly balanced encounter and some goals are to be expected.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the probabilities and recent statistics of both teams, the match between Albirex Niigata and Yokohama F. Marinos looks to be tight and potentially high-scoring. A bet on “Albirex Niigata or Draw” seems to be a viable option with a 60% chance of Albirex Niigata avoiding defeat in this match. Probabilities also suggest a game with over 2.5 goals, in line with the offensive trend of both teams. A bet on “Both Teams to Score” also seems promising considering a 50% offensive potential and weak defense of both teams. However, as with all sports betting, it is important to play cautiously and only bet what one can afford to lose. Good luck and may the best team win.