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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Alcorcon Burgos
Tipps Alcorcon Burgos Segunda División 02/06/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Draw or Alcorcon wins the match
1. Alcorcon has a solid performance at home, winning 40% of the cases in their last 5 matches and has not lost in these, which increases the probability of a draw or an Alcorcon victory.
2. Burgos has a poorer away performance, winning only in 20% of the cases with a relatively weak defense scoring more goals than they have conceded in their last 5 matches. This suggests that Alcorcon has better chances of winning or drawing.
3. In terms of probabilities, “Draw or Alcorcon wins the match” has a success probability of 64.92%, the highest among all other options. This is a strong indicator in favor of this prediction.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match
1. In their last 5 home matches, Alcorcon has scored only 4 goals (0.8 goals per match) and conceded the same amount (1.2 goals per match). Their offensive potential at home is currently at 29%.
2. On the other hand, Burgos is not particularly prolific away from home, with only 5 goals scored in their last 5 away games (an average of 1 goal per match). Burgos’s offensive potential away from home is 50%.
3. Historical data also suggests a low-scoring match. In the last 10 matches (5 at home for Alcorcon, 5 away for Burgos), 7 ended with less than 2.5 goals scored.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. Both teams have shown in their recent form that they are capable of scoring but also conceding goals. Alcorcon has scored in 60% of their last 5 home matches, while Burgos has scored in 80% of their last 5 away matches.
2. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams is significant. Alcorcon has an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 43%. On the other hand, Burgos has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 50%. These numbers show that both teams have the potential to attack and defend, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.
3. The probability of both teams scoring has been evaluated at 54.45%, which is the final argument. Not only is this probability higher than 50%, indicating it is more likely to happen, but the odds of 1.80 also suggest that bookmakers consider it a very possible outcome.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Under 3.5 goals in the match.
1. Recent statistics analysis: By analyzing the last 5 home matches of Alcorcon and the last 5 away matches of Burgos, it can be seen that the 3.5 goals mark has never been surpassed. Additionally, Alcorcon has an average of 0.8 goals scored per home match and Burgos has 1.4 goals scored per away match, resulting in a cumulative average of 2.2 goals per match, well below the 3.5 goals line.
2. Defensive performance: Alcorcon has a defensive potential of 43% at home and Burgos has 50% away. These figures indicate relatively strong defensive performances for both teams, which could limit the number of goals scored during the match.
3. Calculated probability: The bet “Under 3.5 goals in the match” has a calculated success probability of 79.58%. This is a relatively high probability indicating that the game is more likely to end with fewer than 3.5 goals. Therefore, it could be considered a ‘value bet’.
Bet on the exact result
Alcorcon 1-1 Burgos
1. Score statistics: In the last 5 home matches of Alcorcon, there has been a tendency towards low scores, with an average of 0.8 goals scored per match. Additionally, Alcorcon has had two 1-1 draws among these matches. Burgos, playing away, has a similar trend with an average of 1.4 goals scored and conceded per match. These statistics suggest that a 1-1 scoreline is plausible.
2. Offensive and defensive potential: Alcorcon and Burgos have similar offensive and defensive potentials. Alcorcon has an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 43%, while Burgos records 50% and 50% respectively. As a result, both teams have relatively balanced strengths, increasing the likelihood of a draw.
3. Result and goal probabilities: A draw has a probability of 27.75%, and there is a 73.3% chance that the number of goals in the match will be over 1.5. Furthermore, the “Both teams to score” bet has a success probability of 54.45%. These data reinforce the idea that a 1-1 draw is a very likely outcome.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
For Alcorcon, their home performances have been moderate lately, with two wins, two draws, and one loss. They have scored and conceded a total of four goals each, highlighting a strong defense but a weak attack.
On the other hand, Burgos has shown weaknesses away from home, with only one win and four losses. They have managed to score five goals, but have conceded a total of eight goals, indicating a weak defense.
In terms of overall statistics, Alcorcon has a win probability of 37.17% compared to Burgos’ 35.08%. A draw is estimated at 27.75%. Both teams seem more likely to not lose, with a probability of 64.92% for Alcorcon and 62.83% for Burgos.
The number of goals could be low, with a 79.58% probability of less than 3.5 goals in the match. Additionally, there is a 93.72% probability of less than 4.5 goals.
Finally, the probability of both teams scoring is 54.45%, suggesting a tight match.
The potential number of goals
The recent performances of both teams are reflected in their statistics. Alcorcon has a 40% home win rate with a total of 4 goals scored. However, they have also conceded 4 goals, indicating average defensive stability.
On the other hand, Burgos has a low away win rate, winning only 20% of cases. Their matches have seen 5 goals scored but 8 conceded, highlighting defensive weaknesses.
In terms of potentials, Alcorcon is weak offensively (29%) but stronger defensively at 43%. Burgos plays a more balanced game with offensive and defensive potentials at 50%.
The chances of victory are relatively similar for both teams, offering little indication for a safe bet. Given the average goal rates per match, it is more likely to have less than 3.5 goals in the match (79.58% probability).
Furthermore, it appears that both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 54.45%. This could provide an interesting betting opportunity.
In conclusion, one can expect a fairly balanced match with few goals, where both teams have a chance to score.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
Based on the previously analyzed statistics and the determined probabilities, it appears that the match between Alcorcon and Burgos is likely to be a balanced encounter with a relatively low number of goals. Alcorcon has shown a strong home performance recently, which could help them resist a Burgos team that seems to be less effective away from home.
Predicting a draw or an Alcorcon win, and betting on a total of fewer than 2.5 goals, may therefore seem like interesting choices for bettors. However, the potential for both teams to score should also be taken into account, as this could upset the initial predictions. In this sense, it would also be wise to consider the “Both teams to score: Yes” bet.
Finally, considering these factors and the high probabilities, opting for the “Under 3.5 goals in the match” bet could represent an attractive value bet. The most likely exact score taking these factors into account would be 1-1.
It is important to note that every bet carries a degree of uncertainty, and despite expert predictive analysis, the final outcome of a football match can still be influenced by many factors independent of statistics and probabilities. Therefore, every bet should be placed responsibly.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Alcorcon against Burgos on 02/06/2024
1. Alcorcon has a solid performance at home, winning 40% of the cases in their last 5 matches and has not lost in these, which increases the probability of a draw or an Alcorcon victory.
2. Burgos has a poorer away performance, winning only in 20% of the cases with a relatively weak defense scoring more goals than they have conceded in their last 5 matches. This suggests that Alcorcon has better chances of winning or drawing.
3. In terms of probabilities, “Draw or Alcorcon wins the match” has a success probability of 64.92%, the highest among all other options. This is a strong indicator in favor of this prediction.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Alcorcon vs Burgos match!
To not miss anything from the Alcorcon vs Burgos match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 02/06/2024 in the Segunda División live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Alcorcon vs Burgos
Lineups Alcorcon
Lineups Burgos
Match Highlights Alcorcon vs Burgos on 02/06/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Alcorcon vs Burgos match on 02/06/2024 at Estadio Santo Domingo stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Alcorcon and Burgos
All statistics for the match between Alcorcon and Burgos will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Alcorcon against Burgos!
Form state of Alcorcon in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Alcorcon has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Alcorcon has a form rating of %.
Form state of Burgos in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Burgos has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Burgos has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Alcorcon against Burgos!
Average goals scored by Alcorcon in the current season.
Goals scored by Alcorcon in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Alcorcon
Alcorcon has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Alcorcon in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Alcorcon
Alcorcon has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Burgos in the current season
Goals scored by Burgos in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Burgos
Burgos has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Burgos in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Burgos
Burgos has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Alcorcon and Burgos, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Alcorcon vs Burgos: Probabilities for the outcome
1. In their last 5 home matches, Alcorcon has scored only 4 goals (0.8 goals per match) and conceded the same amount (1.2 goals per match). Their offensive potential at home is currently at 29%.
2. On the other hand, Burgos is not particularly prolific away from home, with only 5 goals scored in their last 5 away games (an average of 1 goal per match). Burgos’s offensive potential away from home is 50%.
3. Historical data also suggests a low-scoring match. In the last 10 matches (5 at home for Alcorcon, 5 away for Burgos), 7 ended with less than 2.5 goals scored.
Forecast results from winflix for Alcorcon and Burgos!
The last 5 winning predictions für Alcorcon
The last 5 winning predictions für Burgos
How do I find the best forecast for Alcorcon Burgos?
Finding a forecast for the Alcorcon Burgos match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Alcorcon Burgos on 02/06/2024 in Estadio Santo Domingo are the team's past performance in the Segunda División, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Alcorcon at home and Burgos away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 02/06/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Alcorcon and Burgos on 02/06/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Segunda División, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Santo Domingo, Alcorcon could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Alcorcon and Burgos, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Alcorcon and the away win rate of Burgos, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 02/06/2024!
The individual performances of players from Alcorcon and Burgos can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 02/06/2024 at Estadio Santo Domingo.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Alcorcon and Burgos, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Alcorcon or Burgos on 02/06/2024.
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