Tipps Alianza Lima Cerro Porteno Copa Libertadores 09/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Alianza Lima wins the match

1. Alianza Lima has won 80% of their last 5 home matches, indicating that they have a strong performance when playing on their home turf.
2. Alianza Lima has an average offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of only 7% when playing at home. This means they have a solid defense and are capable of scoring goals, increasing their chances of winning the match.
3. Based on probabilities, Alianza Lima has a higher chance of winning the match with a probability of 42.05%, compared to Cerro Porteno who only has a 25.13% chance of success.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Both teams have impressive defensive statistics, conceding only 0.2 goals on average per game, indicating strong defensive capabilities on both sides that could limit the number of goals scored in this match.
2. Despite a high offensive potential, the total number of goals scored by both teams in their respective last 5 matches remains below 3 goals on average per game, suggesting a higher likelihood of a match with under 2.5 goals.
3. The “Under 2.5 goals in the match” prediction has odds of 1.67, lower than the odds for the “Over 2.5 goals in the match” prediction, which may indicate that betting on under 2.5 goals is more likely to succeed according to the bookmakers.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics of their recent matches show both strong offense and weak defense from both teams. Alianza Lima has scored 10 goals and conceded 10 goals at home, while Cerro Porteno has scored 9 goals and conceded 9 goals away. This confirms the possibility of both teams scoring.

2. The average goals per match also indicate a strong offensive potential on both sides. Alianza Lima averages 1.8 goals per match at home, and Cerro Porteno averages 2.2 goals per match away. These numbers suggest that each team has the ability to score at least one goal during the match.

3. The success probability for the “Both teams to score” option is quite high at 55.9%. This statistic, compared to other available betting options, shows a considerable level of confidence that each team will be able to score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Alianza Lima 2-2 Cerro Porteno

1. Both teams have been performing well recently, with a win rate of 80% for each team. This indicates that they are both in good form and a draw could be the likely outcome.
2. Both teams have a high goal rate, with Alianza Lima scoring 10 goals and conceding 10 goals in their last 5 home matches, and Cerro Porteno scoring 9 goals and conceding 9 goals in their last 5 away matches. This suggests a higher scoring game is expected, supporting the prediction of a 2-2 draw.
3. Bookmakers’ odds also support a close match, with higher probabilities for a draw or either team winning, as opposed to a clear victory for one team. Additionally, there is a higher probability of both teams scoring (55.9%), which lends credence to a prediction of a draw with goals from both sides.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Alianza Lima shines at home, with an 80% winning rate in their last 5 matches, but they have a neutral record of 10 goals scored and 10 conceded.

Cerro Porteno is also strong away from home with an 80% winning rate, and a similar record to Alianza with 9 goals scored and 9 conceded.

In terms of potential, Alianza has an offensive potential of 64% but a weak defensive potential of 7%. Cerro Porteno has a higher offensive potential of 86% and a similar defensive potential of 7%.

The probability of Alianza Lima winning is 42.05%, a draw is at 32.82%, and Cerro Porteno’s chances of winning are 25.13%.

If you bet on a draw or a victory for either team, you have a success probability of 74.87% for Alianza and 57.95% for Cerro.

The match is likely to have over 1.5 goals (71.79% chance) and under 3.5 goals (78.97% chance).

Both teams are expected to score in this match, with a success probability of 55.9%.

Analyzing the latest matches, everything suggests it will be an offensive game. It remains to be seen which team will score more.

The potential number of goals

Alianza Lima has shown a solid performance at home with an 80% win rate. However, they have both scored and conceded the same number of goals (10), indicating a not always reliable defense.

Cerro Porteno also displays a strong away performance, with an 80% win rate. They have scored 9 goals and conceded the same amount, showing a similar defense.

Alianza Lima has an offensive potential of 64%, averaging 1.8 goals scored per match, but the defense is questionable with 10 goals conceded.

Cerro Porteno is more attacking with 86% and scores more (2.4 goals/match). Their defense is comparable, conceding 0.2 goals per match.

In terms of probabilities, the match could end in favor of Alianza Lima (42.05%) or a draw (32.82%). Cerro Porteno’s victory is less likely (25.13%).

Regarding goals, over 1.5 goals in the match have a probability of 71.79%. Less than 3.5 goals is the most likely outcome with a 78.97% chance.

Ultimately, both teams have a good chance of scoring, with a probability of 55.9%.

Based on this information, I would say that Alianza Lima has a good chance of winning, but it is possible that both teams will score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, we anticipate an intense and offensive match between Alianza Lima and Cerro Porteno. The statistics, performances, and recent trends suggest a high likelihood of victory for Alianza Lima. However, the possibility of a draw cannot be ruled out, considering the comparable goal-scoring performances of both teams. Overall, we advise betting on Alianza Lima for the win, with probably fewer than 2.5 goals in the entire match, given the impressive defensive capabilities of both teams. There is also a strong probability of both teams scoring. While predicting the exact score could be risky, a forecast of 2-2 could provide an interesting bet for those willing to take more risks. That being said, every bet carries risk and is always subject to the inherent uncertainty of sports.