Tipps Alianza Petrolera Envigado Primera A 12/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Alianza Petrolera wins the match

1. Alianza Petrolera has a better home performance with a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches, compared to Envigado FC’s 20% win rate in away matches. Additionally, Alianza Petrolera also has a higher draw rate, indicating greater stability.

2. The probabilities of different predictions also point to a higher likelihood of Alianza Petrolera winning, with a 53.37% chance compared to only 17.79% for Envigado FC.

3. Considering the offensive and defensive potential of both teams, Alianza Petrolera holds an advantage. They have a 36% offensive potential compared to Envigado FC’s 36%, but a 43% defensive potential compared to Envigado FC’s 50%, indicating they are more likely to prevent Envigado FC from scoring.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The recent statistics of both teams show they have a low average of goals per match, with an average of 1 goal scored by Alianza Petrolera and Envigado FC respectively in their last 5 matches.
2. The offensive potential of both teams is 36%, indicating they struggle to score goals. Additionally, the defensive potential of Alianza Petrolera and Envigado FC is 43% and 50% respectively, suggesting they are capable of limiting goals from the opposing team.
3. Looking at the last 5 home matches of Alianza Petrolera and away matches of Envigado FC, a total of 31 goals have been scored, resulting in an average of 3.1 goals per match. However, the probability for under 2.5 goals in the match is 1.65, which is higher than for over 2.5 goals (2.20), indicating the stats predict a low-scoring game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have shown some consistency in scoring goals in their recent matches, with an average of one goal per game.
2. The defenses of Alianza Petrolera and Envigado FC have displayed weaknesses, conceding an average of 1.2 and 1.4 goals per game respectively in their recent home and away matches.
3. The calculated probabilities show a likelihood of over 50% that both teams will score during the match, based on current trends and past statistics.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Draw”

Bet on the exact result

Alianza Petrolera 1-1 Envigado FC

1. The past performances of both teams indicate a high probability of a draw. Alianza Petrolera has drawn 60% of their last home matches and Envigado FC has drawn 20% of their last away matches, suggesting a tendency towards a draw.

2. The average goals scored per match for these two teams is approximately 1 goal per match for each of them, further supporting the prediction of an exact score of 1-1.

3. The probability of both teams scoring is 52.76%, which aligns with a final score of 1-1, with each team scoring once.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Alianza Petrolera is stronger at home, winning 40% of their matches. In addition, they have scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches, showing some offensive capabilities.

On the other hand, Envigado FC shows weakness away from home with only 20% of victories in their last 5 away matches and a total of 8 goals conceded.

Both teams average 1 goal per match, but Alianza Petrolera seems to have a better defense, which could be key in this match.

The statistics favor Alianza Petrolera with a 53.37% probability of winning. The possibility of a draw cannot be ruled out either, with a probability of 28.83%.

The probability is 72.39% for over 1.5 goals in the match. Both teams have shown consistent offensive and defensive potential, so we can expect goals.

Based on this data, Alianza Petrolera seems to have an advantage. However, football remains unpredictable, and any conclusion should be taken with caution.

The potential number of goals

Alianza Petrolera has an average performance at home, with a win in 40% of cases and a draw in 60%. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6 in their last 5 home matches. Envigado FC, on the other hand, has only won 20% of its away matches and drawn in 20% of cases. They have scored the same number of goals as Alianza, 5, but have conceded more, at 8.

The statistics indicate an average of 1 goal scored per match for both teams. While Alianza has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match, Envigado has conceded slightly more, at 1.4. Alianza’s chances of winning the match are more likely, at 53.37%, while Envigado’s chances are only 17.79%.

The probability of more than 1.5 goals in the match is quite high, at 72.39%. The probability of a match with fewer than 3.5 goals is guaranteed at 100%. However, the probability of a match with more than 4.5 goals is 111.04%.

According to the statistics, there is a good chance (52.76%) that both teams will score during the match. So, it is reasonable to predict at least 1.5 goals in the match, with a high probability of both teams scoring.

However, despite Envigado FC’s rather fluctuating previous performances away from home, Alianza seems to have a slight advantage at home.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistics and past data of both teams lean towards Alianza Petrolera for a win or a draw. However, football being an unpredictable sport, a surprise twist can always occur. It is worth noting that both teams tend to score at least one goal per match, leading to a high probability of both teams finding the back of the net in the same game. Furthermore, with a reasonable defensive performance from Alianza Petrolera, a score of under 2.5 goals is more likely. In terms of value betting, the draw presents an interesting proposition. If predicting the exact score, a 1-1 draw seems plausible. That being said, it is crucial to remember that sports betting always involves a level of risk and nothing is guaranteed. Good luck with your bets on this match between Alianza Petrolera and Envigado FC.