Tipps Alianza Petrolera Once Caldas Primera A 06/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Once Caldas wins the match.”

1. Once Caldas has a higher win rate (60%) in away matches compared to Alianza Petrolera, who only wins 20% of their home matches.

2. Once Caldas has a higher offensive potential (50%) than Alianza Petrolera (14%) and their defensive potential is also superior (29% versus 50%).

3. The odds indicate a higher probability of victory for Once Caldas (36.26%) compared to Alianza Petrolera (32.42%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Based on previous match statistics, the offensive performance of the home team, Alianza Petrolera, is quite weak, with an average of only 0.4 goals scored per match. This suggests that there will be a low number of goals in this match against Once Caldas.

2. An analysis of the away team, Once Caldas, also indicates a rather defensive style of play, with an average of goals conceded limited to 0.8 per match. This increases the likelihood of a match with a low number of goals.

3. Another argument that could reinforce this prediction is that when examining the recent score history of both teams, a significant portion of their last matches have indeed seen fewer than 2.5 goals, further supporting the trend towards a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Alianza Petrolera has shown a weak offensive potential at home, with an average of 0.4 goals scored per match in their last 5 games. This suggests they might struggle to score in this match.

2. Once Caldas appears to be quite solid defensively, conceding only 0.8 goals per away game in their last 5 matches. This defensive solidity could limit Alianza Petrolera’s scoring opportunities.

3. Looking at the recent home scores of Alianza Petrolera and the away games of Once Caldas, there seems to be a trend of few goals being scored. In particular, Once Caldas has won several matches 1-0, indicating they can control the game and limit scoring opportunities for both sides.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Alianza Petrolera 1-2 Once Caldas.

1. The statistics show that Once Caldas has a better performance away from home than Alianza Petrolera at home. Once Caldas has won 60% of their last 5 away matches, while Alianza Petrolera has only won 20% of their home matches.
2. The offensive and defensive performances of both teams favor Once Caldas. Alianza Petrolera has scored an average of 0.4 goals per match and conceded 1.4 goals on average in their last 5 home matches, giving Once Caldas an advantage as they score an average of 1.4 goals per match and only concede 0.8 goals on average away from home.
3. The match-winning probabilities also favor Once Caldas with a 36.26% chance of winning the match compared to 32.42% for Alianza Petrolera. Additionally, the probability of scoring more than 1.5 goals in the match is higher with a 70.33% chance of success.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The recent form of Alianza Petrolera at home is not impressive. They have only won 20% of their last 5 matches. Their defense shows weaknesses, having conceded 8 goals. Their attack is not very productive either with 7 goals scored.

On the other hand, Once Caldas has performed well away from home, winning 60% of their last matches. Their defense is solid with 5 goals conceded, as well as their attack with 5 goals scored.

On paper, Once Caldas seems to have the advantage with a 36.26% probability of winning the match. However, a draw is still a possibility with a 31.32% probability.

Alianza’s offensive potential is low, their matches tend to have fewer goals. We can expect less than 3.5 goals with a probability of 91.76% occurrence.

Considering these numbers, our prediction indicator points towards a victory for Once Caldas or a draw.

The potential number of goals

Alianza Petrolera struggles to win at home. They have only won 20% of their last 5 matches. Concern arises as they have conceded more goals (8) than they have scored (7). Their offensive potential is low at 14%. Their defense remains inadequate at 50%.

Once Caldas makes a better impression. They have won 60% of their away matches and scored as many goals as they have conceded (5). Their offensive potential is at 50%. Their defensive potential is stronger at 29%.

Regarding the match, Once Caldas is more likely to win (36.26%). A draw is also possible (31.32%). A forecast of under 3.5 goals in the match is the safest bet (91.76%). It is worth noting that the probability of both teams scoring is as likely as the opposite outcome (50%).

Recent matches show some trends. Alianza Petrolera, with several 1-1 draws, could repeat this pattern. Once Caldas, having won several matches 1-0, could also repeat this trend.

In summary, for bettors, betting on Once Caldas or under 3.5 goals in the match seems to be the safest options.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, when it comes to this match between Alianza Petrolera and Once Caldas, the analysis leads us to favor Once Caldas. This team indeed shows a better overall performance, in terms of both victories and goals scored, and plays in a more offensive manner.

However, the weak offensive potential of Alianza Petrolera combined with a solid defense from Once Caldas points us towards a low-scoring match, with probably less than 2.5 total goals. Furthermore, it seems unlikely that both teams will be able to score.

Regarding value-added bets, the possibility of a match with more than 2.5 goals, despite the trend, can be considered.

For bettors interested in betting on the exact score, a potential score of 1-2 in favor of Once Caldas has emerged from our analysis. However, it’s important to note that even though all indicators seem to favor this outcome, in the realm of sports betting, uncertainty prevails and each match is a new adventure. Good luck to the bettors!